Final Snowfall Accumulation Map For Sun-Mon

[Noreaster_Jer_04]

Confidence level high..

[Jrodd312]

Confidence level high..

Nice map Jer but i think that philly will get more like 3-5 (at least thats what there calling for here).

[ohiostorm]

More rain... YIPPY!!

[Lowpressure]

Looks real good. Maybe drop the lower portion of winter precip a little. I am getting picky that's all- very good work. Also quite close to your first call- you have done well with this- now we wait and see how things unfold.

[krysof]

north central new jersey is told to get at least 3-6 inches not 2-4.

[krysof]

you should put another color code that says 3-5 or 3-6 inches around the new york city area and its suburbs. Everything else is pretty good though.

[Dave C]

What's really interesting for New England is this will be warm advection snow as warmer air overruns cold dome. The models indicate the secondary will only intensify well east beyond our area. This snow will be easy to measure, no severe blowing and drifting LOL

[Stephanie]

They're calling for 3 - 6 inches of snow before turnover to a sleet and ice. I'm just south of Philadelphia. However, your map does look pretty close to what they are calling for.

[WXBUFFJIM]

If the transition occurs sooner as indicated by the 12z models, 2-4" sounds more realistic southeast of Philadelphia and likewise for NYC. Areas closer to the coast including the Jersey Shore and Long Island I think will see amounts on the lower end of the 2-4" range. But areas near Philly could see up to 4", possibly 5". Areas northwest of PHL, BWI, and DCA are primed for a 4-8" wet snowfall. Seems as though everything overall is on track.

Will watch this afternoon when winter storm watches may become neccessary, especially for PHL and BWI points northwest and also for areas NW of New York City in the Hudson Valley and eventually the Boston area . Those areas are more likely to see warning criteria snow totals. An interesting event coming up. The key is how long the cold air will remain in place and more importantly how deep will be cold air be. The shallower the cold air is closer to the ground, the higher the chance for mixed precip or even freezing rain. But with sub freezing temps at all columns of the atmosphere, snow will be the precip type. These scenarios will greatly determine precip types and amounts and likewise the storm track. Models have not been real confident for the exact storm track as of yet.

Jim

[BlizzzardMan]

More rain... YIPPY!!

I should have thrown away my useless snow shovel and built an ark instead.

[Tri-State_1925]

24 hours to go and still no specific snowfall prediciton from the Taunton NWS...

And instead I am being bombarded with the same carbon-copy "3-6 inches" map and "plowable" (I wonder who they are quoting) snow reports by every local met from CT to Boston...

[Brett Adair]

Confidence level high..

Very nice image. I think your prediction will be pretty accurate besides the rainfall threats.

[Stormsfury]

Overall, the ideas are definitely correct. The biggest problem with holding onto the snowfall/frozen aspect is that the damming high is depicted for the most part to be sliding out, as the confluence is lost. The 500mb low that's supposed to be in the 50/50 area to help lock down that high is too far east, and we're just beginning to see some sort of blocking over Greenland/Iceland ...

It's very, very hard, especially along the inland coastal counties/coastal regions to maintain frozen precip with SE winds.

SF