SNOW IN DALLAS/FORT WORTH FORM MARCH 1-4? THERE FORECASTING

[Guest]

A SNOW AND ICE EVENT FROM MARCH1-4 ON ACCUWEATHER 15 DAY FORECAST ANYBODY HAVE ANY INFORMATION ON THAT? CAPN CRUNCH DO U HAVE ANY INFO? INTERESTING....

[southerngale]

They're showing us cold then too, with one of those days saying cold rain. No snow of course, but when was the last time it snowed in MARCH in Southeast Texas? We're lucky if we see anything in December, January, or February. Today's been a chilly day, but a few days ago it was like spring had sprung already.

[gboudx]

Do not put any stock into accuweather.com that far out. You can barely trust it to be accurate at 5 days. Keep watching this board, and if any interesting weather looks possible, you can bet posters like Captn Crunch and aggiecutter will be all over it.

[JenyEliza]

They're showing us cold then too, with one of those days saying cold rain. No snow of course, but when was the last time it snowed in MARCH in Southeast Texas? We're lucky if we see anything in December, January, or February. Today's been a chilly day, but a few days ago it was like spring had sprung already.

When was the last time it snowed a FOOT in Victoria TX on Christmas Eve?

March snow in TX wouldn't surprise me at all with the strange winter we've had.

I hope you Texans have a big snow...(afterall, everything IS bigger there, right?)

[JenyEliza]

Do not put any stock into accuweather.com that far out. You can barely trust it to be accurate at 5 days. Keep watching this board, and if any interesting weather looks possible, you can bet posters like Captn Crunch and aggiecutter will be all over it.

Excellent advice. Still, (my non-scientific opinion purely) a March snow in TX wouldn't suprise me a bit this year.

[Kennethb]

Does anyone recall the March 23-24, 1968 southern snow. Here in Baton Rouge we had about 1 inch while 2-3 inches fell in the north part of Louisiana and other areas of the south.

[Sean in New Orleans]

The patterns will turn very cold one more time, for sure. It will probably be in the first 7 days of March, as well, so, snow in Texas doesn't seem ridiculous, IMO. It just depends on how things play out and it's too far away to know how things will occur.

[sertorius]

I hope you are correct-the mid range models do hint at something for next week for the central plains-however, the PNA is forecast to go to plus 2 or above by next weekend-the models also show the ridge developing over the Western US-not off the coast, but over the inner mountain west-that, in my humble opinion, will cause most of the colder air (cold for this time of year) to shuffle east and not really hit the central and southern plains. I could be totally wrong, but even our NWS has us in the 40's thru next Friday and based on this past week (the cold front did nothing to us really) that seems right on the mark. Could this all change-absolutely-however, with the way the Jan. and Feb. pattern has gone so far, I think we really have to use extreme caution with cold air in the Central and Southern plains. I hope I am wrong, but if I were going to forecast the next couple of weeks, I'd say more of the same for this area: storms tracking North of me or comming way south into the gulf, but not much cold air in this area. Time will tell.

[aggiecutter]

There is no doubt the pattern the first week of March will be condusive for a late season wintry event in the southern plains. This is the classic setup: Positive PNA, Strongly Negative NOA, and the SOI is going into the tank. Doesn't mean this will happen, but if you were going to draw the weather maps for such an event, you'd draw the 8-10 day EURO means.

http://vortex.plymouth.edu/cgi-bin/gen_ ... &cu=latest

[PTrackerLA]

I don't know I'm almost ready to throw in the towel for winter. For the second year in a row winter pretty much ended right when it started around here (December).

[gboudx]

Interesting:

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
310 PM CST SUN FEB 20 2005

.DISCUSSION...
WARM WEATHER WILL HOLD THROUGH MONDAY AS DOWNSLOPING WESTERLY LOW
LEVEL FLOW PREVAILS ACROSS NORTH TEXAS. WE HAVE INCLUDED A
SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EXTREME EASTERN ZONES
TONIGHT...AS A DIFFUSE SURFACE DRY LINE AND WEAK UPPER AIR SUPPORT
MOVE AN AREA OF MODERATE INSTABILITY.

A 500 MB REX BLOCK (RIDGE OVER TROUGH) FORMS FROM WESTERN CANADA
SOUTHWARD INTO THE DESERT SOUTHWEST DURING THE MID WEEK PERIOD. THIS
WILL BRING SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT OVER A CANADIAN FRONT
THAT MOVES INTO NORTH TEXAS AT MID-WEEK. THE RESULT WILL BE
CLOUDY...COOL...AND WET WEATHER. SOME LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IS
POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTH TEXAS IN THE MID-WEEK PERIOD.
THE HIGH OVER LOW BLOCK WILL RESULT IN LINGERING RAIN CHANCES
THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK.

THE DGEX AND EURO MODELS SET UP A POTENTIAL LATE WINTER PRECIP
EVENT FOR LATE THURSDAY/EARLY FRIDAY. WE ARE EYEING THIS
CAREFULLY...BUT IT IS TOO EARLY TO FALL INTO A TRAP AT THIS TIME.
THERE IS TOO MUTCH UNCERTAINTY TO ISSUE A WINTRY PRECIP FORECAST
AT THIS TIME. WE WILL WATCH THE CONTINUITY (OR LACK THEREOF) OF
THIS SITUATION OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.

WE HAVE GENERALLY GONE ABOVE MOS TEMPERATRURE FORECASTS OVER THE
NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. #26

[LaBreeze]

It seems that it wasn't cold enough or for a long enough amount of time to kill all of the mosquitoes. Have you all seen the size of those buggers!! They're huge already!!