Worldwide Tropical Update: 24 February 2005

[senorpepr]

The Storm2K Worldwide Tropical Update for 24 February 2005 at 06Z.

Invest (xxx/97W) (24/00Z)
Position: 3.8N 174.5E (315 mi SE of Majuro, Marshall Islands)
Movement: ***
Winds: 25 mph
Pressure: 1004 mb / 29.65"
Dvorak Est: Too weak

This invest is fairly weak, but has a slight chance for development.

Invest (xxx/97S) (24/06Z)
Position: 6.5S 85.0E (865 mi E of Diego Garcia)
Movement: ***
Winds: 15 mph
Pressure: 1008 mb / 29.77"
Dvorak Est: Too weak

This invest is also fairly weak, but will be monitored for development.

For more information on the aforementioned system(s), to include official advisories from the Regional Specialized Meteorological Centers, go to the Storm2K’s Worldwide Tropical Update website at
http://tropicalupdates.nhcwx.com

[senorpepr]

The Storm2K Worldwide Tropical Update for 24 February 2005 at 18Z.

Invest (xxx/97W) (24/18Z)
Position: 2.3N 179.6E (660 mi SE of Majuro, Marshall Islands)
Movement: ***
Winds: 15 mph
Pressure: 1006 mb / 29.71"
Dvorak Est: Too weak

This invest is fairly weak, but has a slight chance for development.

Invest (xxx/97S) (24/18Z)
Position: 9.8S 83.0E (745 mi SE of Diego Garcia)
Movement: ***
Winds: 15 mph
Pressure: 1006 mb / 29.71"
Dvorak Est: T1.0/1.0

This invest is beginning to develop some and will be monitored for further intensification.

Invest (xxx/98P) (24/18Z)
Position: 8.0S 179.6W (90 mi SE of Funafuti, Tuvalu)
Movement: ***
Winds: 30 mph
Pressure: 1002 mb / 29.59"
Dvorak Est: T1.5/1.5

Although the latest Dvorak estimates are too weak to be displayed, expect numbers to come out fairly soon. This wave has intensified throughout the day, but will continue to battle shear for a little while longer. After the 24-36 hour point, expect shear to become lax and allow for development.

For more information on the aforementioned system(s), to include official advisories from the Regional Specialized Meteorological Centers, go to the Storm2K’s Worldwide Tropical Update website at
http://tropicalupdates.nhcwx.com

[senorpepr]

I meant to add this comment earlier... for Invest 98P... the JTWC has issued a TCFA. You can view the topic here on S2K about 98P (http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic.php?t=58333). Model guidance paints this system to possibly affect Western Samoa/American Samoa and/or the Cook Islands in a few days. This will be the fourth system in a matter of weeks. The three prior systems (Meena, Nancy, and Olaf) were all major cyclones. This will definately be something to monitor as the clean up effort in that region continues.

[senorpepr]

I've amended the 18Z update to reflect the Dvorak estimates on Invest 98P from Too weak to T1.5/1.5.

It would not surprise me if we have Percy on our hands fairly soon...

[chadtm80]

Thank You Mike!

[senorpepr]

I've added links to the webpage for the official advisories from Fiji as well as the Navy bulletins. Satellite imagery is available as well on 10F/20P.

http://tropicalupdates.nhcwx.com/

[senorpepr]

The Storm2K Worldwide Tropical Update for 24 February 2005 at 21Z.

Invest (xxx/97W) (24/18Z)
Position: 2.3N 179.6E (660 mi SE of Majuro, Marshall Islands)
Movement: ***
Winds: 15 mph
Pressure: 1006 mb / 29.71"
Dvorak Est: Too weak

This invest is fairly weak, but has a slight chance for development.

Invest (xxx/97S) (24/18Z)
Position: 9.8S 83.0E (745 mi SE of Diego Garcia)
Movement: ***
Winds: 15 mph
Pressure: 1006 mb / 29.71"
Dvorak Est: T1.0/1.0

This invest is beginning to develop some and will be monitored for further intensification.

Tropical Cyclone Noname (10F/20P) (24/21Z)
Position: 8.3S 179.0W (130 mi SE of Funafuti, Tuvalu)
Movement: E at 12 mph
Winds: 40 mph
Pressure: 997mb / 29.44"
Dvorak Est: T1.5/1.5

Fiji has upgraded this area into the newest depression. The US Navy has followed suit. Expect 10F to continue to undergo explosive cyclogenesis for a while longer. Shear is fairly low and water temperatures are near 31C/88F. Expect further development over the next few days as this systems becomes a threat for the Samoan and Cook Islands.

For more information on the aforementioned system(s), to include official advisories from the Regional Specialized Meteorological Centers, go to the Storm2K’s Worldwide Tropical Update website at
http://tropicalupdates.nhcwx.com