Worldwide Tropical Update: 25 February 2005

[senorpepr]

The Storm2K Worldwide Tropical Update for 25 February 2005 at 00Z.

Invest (xxx/97W) (25/00Z)
Position: 2.2N 180.0 (690 mi SE of Majuro, Marshall Islands)
Movement: ***
Winds: 15 mph
Pressure: 1006 mb / 29.71"
Dvorak Est: Too weak

This invest is fairly weak, but has a slight chance for development.

Invest (xxx/97S) (24/18Z)
Position: 9.8S 83.0E (745 mi SE of Diego Garcia)
Movement: ***
Winds: 15 mph
Pressure: 1006 mb / 29.71"
Dvorak Est: T1.0/1.0

This invest is beginning to develop some and will be monitored for further intensification.

Tropical Cyclone Percy (10F/20P) (25/00Z)
Position: 8.5S 178.4W (170 mi SE of Funafuti, Tuvalu)
Movement: ESE at 16 mph
Winds: 45 mph
Pressure: 995 mb / 29.38"
Dvorak Est: T1.5/1.5

Fiji has upgraded this area into Percy while the US Navy has upgraded the cyclone to 20P. Expect Percy to continue to undergo explosive cyclogenesis for a while longer. Shear is fairly low and water temperatures are near 31C/88F. Expect further development over the next few days as this system becomes a threat for the Samoan and Cook Islands.

For more information on the aforementioned system(s), to include official advisories from the Regional Specialized Meteorological Centers, go to the Storm2K’s Worldwide Tropical Update website at
http://tropicalupdates.nhcwx.com

[senorpepr]

The Storm2K Worldwide Tropical Update for 25 February 2005 at 18Z.

Invest (xxx/97W) (25/12Z)
Position: 3.2N 177.5E (505 mi SE of Majuro, Marshall Islands)
Movement: ***
Winds: 15 mph
Pressure: 1006 mb / 29.71"
Dvorak Est: Too weak

This invest is fairly weak, but has a slight chance for development.

Invest (xxx/97S) (25/18Z)
Position: 11.5S 83.4E (805 mi SE of Diego Garcia)
Movement: ***
Winds: 30 mph
Pressure: 1002 mb / 29.59"
Dvorak Est: T1.5/1.5

This invest is beginning to develop some and will be monitored for further intensification.

Severe Tropical Cyclone Percy (10F/20P) (25/18Z)
Position: 9.0S 175.0W (390 mi NW of Apia, Samoa)
Movement: ESE at 17 mph
Winds: 100 mph
Pressure: 960 mb / 28.35"
Dvorak Est: T5.0/5.0

Percy continues to deepen as it forms a ragged eye. Strong divergence aloft persists near Percy while there is great outflow throughout. A trough deepening to Percy’s southwest will help deepen the cyclone further and, with little shear nearby, Percy is forecast to become a major cyclone near or to the northeast of the Samoan Islands. Those is the Cook Islands will also need to monitor the progress of Percy.

For more information on the aforementioned system(s), to include official advisories from the Regional Specialized Meteorological Centers, go to the Storm2K’s Worldwide Tropical Update website at
http://tropicalupdates.nhcwx.com