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Winter Weather Discussion

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QCWx
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#1 Postby QCWx » Fri Feb 25, 2005 2:00 am

0Z euro blows up a monster Miller A snowstorm..

Image
Image
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krysof

#2 Postby krysof » Fri Feb 25, 2005 6:04 am

it's not impacting anyone, remains offshore.
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#3 Postby Jrodd312 » Fri Feb 25, 2005 7:42 am

Euro is calling or 24+ for philly. Lolcal mets here said that they are going to go with this models because it has done so well in the past.
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#4 Postby Ed Spacer » Fri Feb 25, 2005 7:44 am

How does 2-4 FEET grab you?60-70 MPH winds? Major league coastal flooding,severe weather,etc,mimic the 93' March storm.
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#5 Postby BlizzzardMan » Fri Feb 25, 2005 7:51 am

Jrodd312 wrote:Euro is calling or 24+ for philly. Lolcal mets here said that they are going to go with this models because it has done so well in the past.


Where do I go to look at the latest EURO, and the rest of them for that matter? Only one I know how to get to is the GFS and we all know how inaccurate that one can be sometimes. Thanks.
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#6 Postby Ed Spacer » Fri Feb 25, 2005 7:52 am

If I want weather,I come here,the NWS/NOAA have been blowing it hardcore all winter long.....
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krysof

#7 Postby krysof » Fri Feb 25, 2005 8:14 am

this is becoming a very real possibility, we have 8 inches right now and a huge dumping of snow is possible again, the snow on the ground will not melt much, today highs might get to 32, 37 on Saturday, 33-34 on Sunday, but it could be colder because of snowcover
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#8 Postby fasteddy77 » Fri Feb 25, 2005 11:51 am

So are we looking at the 24"++ from Philly to be in that specific area or are we also looking for totals like this through PA, MD, and Northern VA??
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#9 Postby MGC » Fri Feb 25, 2005 12:37 pm

I hope this comes to pass. I love watching TV of those poor poor Yankees stuck in the snow.....MGC
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#10 Postby angelwing » Fri Feb 25, 2005 1:41 pm

How much for Philly?????????
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#11 Postby QCWx » Fri Feb 25, 2005 1:47 pm

12Z Stays with it...great cad signal into the western carolinas. Low appears to move from FL to Myrtle Beach or just offshore. Images will be coming later.
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#12 Postby SnowGod » Fri Feb 25, 2005 1:52 pm

The ETA is a huge crawl in the Europeans skin. The Foriegn models are taking a REALLY weird view of this system. American models finally win one? Stay tuned
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#13 Postby IndianaJonesDDT » Fri Feb 25, 2005 1:53 pm

Image
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#14 Postby Stephanie » Fri Feb 25, 2005 2:16 pm

MGC wrote:I hope this comes to pass. I love watching TV of those poor poor Yankees stuck in the snow.....MGC


Not a big fan of "Yankees", are you MGC?
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#15 Postby DLI2k5 » Fri Feb 25, 2005 2:30 pm

What impact would this have on my area and places like CLT, or ATL? I noticed you said low looks like it moves from FL to around Myrtle Beach. Anything similar to Jan.2000?
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#16 Postby QCWx » Fri Feb 25, 2005 2:47 pm

if I had to hazard a guess, and really this is based off of 0z 850 temps, Charlotte has the best shot at seeing frozen precip. Atlanta and Columbia appear to be too warm at this time. GSP also looks like a decent bet to start off as snow or maybe sleet.
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#17 Postby IndianaJonesDDT » Fri Feb 25, 2005 2:48 pm

The SST's should play a big role in the formation of the storm. The Gulf stream has relapsed in the past month which means a strong Labrador Current is currently bringing very cold water by the Delmarva region. This is the reason the last storm didn't track as north as they expected; it was because the Low was feeding off of the Gulf Stream and followed it out to sea just a bit. This is what may happen with the Monday and Tuesday storm. (I'm already changing my mind about the storm LOL)

The storm will not hug the coast, but it will hug the Gulf Stream which will take the storm on a track headed northeast off of Norfolk, Virginia. The storm for reason of feeding off of he Gulf Stream, will therefore track more out to sea and will in turn cause deep snow across much of the Mid-Atlantic and the Northeast--most of which will be un-plowable (YAY!!)

This will likely cause a vast area of icing to occur in the areas of Southern Virginia and North Carolina.

Also, with the Low further off the coast, the moisture will have more time to cool, but since the High will be weak, there will be less damming of the air and would lead to freezing rain across the southern mid-atlantic.

As for Northern Virginia and Areas to the north, you will all receive 6 inches to an upwards of 30 inches in isolated spots. I would say that you can count on a minimum of 6 inches for any place north of Virginia.

The accumulating will begin Sunday Night and will last through Monday and Tuesday. The clipper system will move in quickly and will likely be the first shot of snow we get--it will not come together with the other low at first but the moisture should transfer rapidly durring the morning of the 28th.

Let's see how many times I change my mind...
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krysof

#18 Postby krysof » Fri Feb 25, 2005 2:55 pm

I sort of agree with you, based on the storms this year, no one storm ever really hugged the coast this year, go way back to December, even the big late January near-blizzard didn't hug the coast, because if it did, The storm would go more on a northern track not northeast track. The gulf stream is closer to the coast than December which is why we have been hit with that big storm and recent storms. In December, cape cod got it all because the gulf stream was further offshore and it missed most of us.
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#19 Postby IndianaJonesDDT » Fri Feb 25, 2005 2:59 pm

Accuweather just released a few new maps. I laughed my ass off when I saw them. That has to be the worst prediction that I have ever seen in my life. The storm will move fruther east without a doubt.

here's what they posted:

Image

Image

Image
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krysof

#20 Postby krysof » Fri Feb 25, 2005 3:02 pm

there's little difference with the scenarios, bad prediction
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