Ex - Tropical Cyclone INGRID (22P)

[HurricaneBill]

It isn't moving that slow though 10kts is pretty much average for a cyclone like this. At the period where it was slowest, it actually underwent its fastest intensification. I was looking at the IR and it seemed as though a large mass of clouds was sucked into the cyclone and the cyclone pretty much burped whilst ingesting it. Seems to be becoming more circular again and I certainly wouldn't rule out reintensification before landfall...

Right. Look at what happened to Isabel and Frances. They didn't strengthen but they got more organized and increased in size.

Plus, slow movement is not a good thing. That means areas of the coast will experience cyclone conditions for a longer period of time.

[HURAKAN]

Name: Ingrid
Severity Category: 4
Situation At: 7AM EST Wednesday 9 March 2005
Warning Area: Cape Grenville to Cooktown
Watch Area: Gilbert River Mouth to Weipa
Location: 13.6S 145.9E
Recent Movement: W at 7 km/h
Remarks: Severe Tropical Cyclone Ingrid poses a serious threat to the far north Queensland coast with very destructive wind gusts to 280 km/hr near the centre.

Gales are expected to develop between Cape Grenville and Cooktown within the next few hours. Destructive winds are expected between Coen and Cape Flattery later in the day. The very destructive core of the cyclone is expected near the coast between Coen and Cape Melville early on Thursday.

Coastal residents between Coen and Cape Flattery are specifically warned of the dangerous storm tide as the cyclone crosses the coast early Thursday. The sea is likely to rise steadily to a level significantly above the highest tides of the year with damaging waves, strong currents and flooding of low-lying areas extending some way inland. People living in areas likely to be affected by this flooding should be prepared to evacuate if advised to do so.

Very heavy rain can be expected to develop on the coast and ranges north of Cooktown.

People in near coastal areas between Cape Grenville and Cooktown should have completed preparations and should be ready to take shelter.

People over inland areas across Cape York Peninsula to the eastern Gulf of Carpentaria coast should also consider actions they will need to take as the cyclone moves further towards them.

Marine users please note: Warnings specific to the marine community are contained in Coastal Wind Warnings and Ocean Wind Warnings. Refer to those warnings for the winds associated with Severe Tropical Cyclone Ingrid.

The next track map will be issued by 11am EST Wednesday 9 March.

CYCLONE WARNING IS EXPANDED WESTWARD.

[HURAKAN]

08/2025 UTC 13.3S 145.7E T5.0/6.5 INGRID -- South Pacific Ocean

DVORAK BEGINS TO SHOW INGRID'S DECAY IN ORGANIZATION AND INTENSIFICATION.

[AussieMark]

Ingrid bares her teeth
Jennifer Dudley, Michael Madigan and AAP
09mar05

EYE of the storm . . . the intensity of Cyclone Ingrid is shown in this NASA satellite image yesterday afternoon.

AUSTRALIA'S worst cyclone in more than 30 years is expected to hit the coast tomorrow morning.

Winds of up to 280km/h near the storm centre of Cyclone Ingrid are threatening to destroy coastal homes and vessels and flood low-lying areas.

Ingrid was a category five cyclone but this morning was downgraded to category four, the same rating as Cyclone Tracy which flattened Darwin in 1974, killing 65 people.

This morning it was about 220km north-northeast of Cooktown and 295km east of Coen, and moving westward at 7km/h.

The Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre in Brisbane said the cyclone was expected to move southwest throughout the day and could reach the coast between Cape Flattery and Coen early tomorrow.

"There is a small risk it could cross the coast near Cooktown," a weather bureau spokesman said earlier. "But it's most likely to cross the coast in relatively unpopulated areas."

The current warning area extends from Lockhart River to Port Douglas, with a watch area including Cairns and as far south as Innisfail.

"Severe Tropical Cyclone Ingrid has a very destructive core . . . and poses a serious threat to the far north Queensland coast," the bureau's website said today.

The warning centre said gales were expected to develop between Cape Grenville and Cooktown this morning with destructive winds predicted between Coen and Cape Flattery later in the day.

The State Emergency Service yesterday set up emergency headquarters from Cairns to Cooktown and volunteers encouraged beachfront home owners to arrange alternative accommodation for the coming days.

Residents in the affected areas cleaned yards, secured boats and bought provisions in preparation for the cyclone as insurance agencies began stockpiling tarpaulins and rallying home assessors to deal with the potential fallout.

Residents of the Aboriginal communities of Hopevale and Wujul Wujul, home to more than 1500 people, were on standby to evacuate, along with the nearby 2000-strong township of Cooktown.

The bureau also warned of high seas and expected flooding between Cape Melville and Cape Tribulation.

In Cairns, more than 340km south, emergency workers were filling sandbags, the port was closed and fishing trips cancelled, with a 3.4m king tide scheduled to hit early today.

Authorities are concerned because more than 20 per cent of the city's 130,000 residents have never experienced a cyclone, having moved from southern states within the last five years.

Queensland Parks and Wildlife Service yesterday evacuated and closed all national park visitor sites north of the Daintree River and erected signs advising visitors to leave the area.

Wet tropics district manager Andrew Millerd said staff also evacuated campers and visitors to nearby islands with national parks, including Lizard, Flinders, Hope and Snapper Islands.

The Lizard Island Resort last night appeared deserted, with the telephone answered by a message stating: "We're experiencing cyclonic conditions at the moment. To leave a message . . ."

But despite the imminent category-five cyclone and strengthening winds, many far north Queensland residents yesterday calmly completed cyclone preparations.

On the Cooktown waterfront, Brian Tinkler moved his 9m yacht to a secluded creek north of the town by trailer.

"It's best to get these sorts of things done now before the wind arrives," Mr Tinkler said.

But there was little panic and many residents said they hoped to avoid destruction and reap the benefits of heavy rainfalls.

A spokeswoman for the Cape Flattery Silica Mine, directly in the path of the storm, said most of the workers were evacuated yesterday.

"We've got gale force winds here and we've already had a big clean-up to make sure there's nothing that can fly around. We got most of the workers out yesterday, but there are 29 of us still here and we'll just sit it out," she said.

[HURAKAN]

Tropical Cyclone Ingrid nears the Qld coast.

Tropical Cyclone Ingrid is moving westwards towards the far north Qld coast and although she has been downgraded to a category 4 she still poses a serious threat to many communities of the Cape York Peninsula with destructive wind gusts to 280 km/hr near the centre. A Cyclone warning is current for coastal and island communities between Cape Grenville and Cooktown and has been cancelled between Cooktown and Cape Tribulation. However, a Cyclone WATCH extends across Cape York Peninsula to the eastern Gulf of Carpentaria between the mouth of the Gilbert River and Weipa. At 7:00 am EST Ingrid, with central pressure 935 hPa, was located about 220 km north northeast of Cooktown and 295 kilometres east of Coen. The cyclone was moving westward at 7 km/h but is expected to move in a west southwest direction later in the day. Gales are expected to develop between Cape Grenville and Cooktown in the next few hours and destructive winds are likely between Coen and Cape Flattery later in the day. The very destructive core of the cyclone is expected near the coast between Coen and Cape Melville early tomorrow with a storm surge expected to rise steadily to a level significantly above the highest tides of the year early tomorrow with damaging waves, strong currents and flooding of low-lying areas extending some way inland. People living in areas likely to be affected by this flooding should be prepared to evacuate if advised to do so. Heavy rain can be expected to develop on the coast and ranges north of Cooktown.

AUSTRALIAN WEATHER CHANNEL

[AussieMark]

Ingrid should be our 14th severe cyclone to hit us in the last 11 years but the first to hit Queensland since 1989.

[HURAKAN]

Name: Ingrid
Severity Category: 4
Situation At: 10AM EST Wednesday 9 March 2005
Warning Area: Cape Grenville to Cooktown, extending inland to central parts of Cape Yorke Peninsula
Watch Area: Kowanyama to Weipa
Location: 13.5S 145.5E
Recent Movement: WNW at 10 km/h
Remarks: Severe Tropical Cyclone Ingrid poses a serious threat to the far north Queensland coast with very destructive wind gusts to 280 km/hr near the centre.

Gales are expected to develop between Cape Grenville and Cooktown during the afternoon. Destructive winds are expected between Coen and Cape Flattery overnight. The very destructive core of the cyclone is expected near the coast between Coen and Cape Melville on Thursday morning.

Coastal residents between Coen and Cape Flattery are specifically warned of the dangerous storm tide as the cyclone crosses the coast on Thursday morning. The sea is likely to rise steadily to a level significantly above the highest tides of the year with damaging waves, strong currents and flooding of low-lying areas extending some way inland. People living in areas likely to be affected by this flooding should be prepared to evacuate if advised to do so.

Very heavy rain can be expected to develop on the coast and ranges north of Cooktown.

People in near coastal areas between Cape Grenville and Cooktown should have completed preparations and should be ready to take shelter.

People over inland areas across Cape York Peninsula to the eastern Gulf of Carpentaria coast should also consider actions they will need to take as the cyclone moves further towards them.

TC INGRID BEGINS TO MOVE QUICKER TOWARD THE YORK PENINSULA. EVEN THOUGH IT LOOKS TO HAVE WEAKENED OVER THE LAST HOURS, ACCORDING TO BoM WINDS AND PRESSURE REMAIN THE SAME.

[HURAKAN]

BAD NEWS, EYE BEGINS TO REDEVELOP.

[HurricaneBill]

Some storms will trick you with their appearance.

Remember Hurricane Earl in 1998? Looked nothing like a hurricane yet reached Category 2 status.

Or Cyclone Alby in 1978. Alby was a Category 4 (both Australian and SS scales) that underwent extratropical transition and appeared to lose most of its convection. On satellite, the center was void of any convection and Alby appeared to have weakened well below storm status. However, when Alby made a direct hit (not landfall) on the coast of SW Australia, it was still a Category 3 (Australian Scale) and a strong Category 1 on the SS scale.

[HURAKAN]

BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY
Queensland Region
Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre

Media: For immediate broadcast. Transmitters in the area Cape Grenville to
Cooktown are requested to use the Standard Emergency Warning Signal.

TOP PRIORITY
TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 15
Issued by the Bureau of Meteorology, Brisbane
Issued at 1:52pm on Wednesday the 9th of March 2005

A Cyclone WARNING is current for communities between Cape Grenville and
Cooktown. The warning extends inland across central Cape York Peninsula.
A Cyclone WATCH is current for coastal and island communities on the eastern
Gulf of Carpentaria between Weipa and Kowanyama.

Although Ingrid has weakened a little, the cyclone still poses a serious threat
to far north Queensland with a very destructive core and the potential to
generate a dangerous storm tide.

At 1:00 pm EST Severe Tropical Cyclone Ingrid, Category 4, with central pressure
945 hPa, was located near latitude 13.5 south longitude 145.2 east, which is
about 105 km northeast of Cape Melville and 220 kilometres east of Coen. The
cyclone was moving west at 10 km/h.

Gales are expected to develop between Cape Grenville and Cooktown later this
afternoon. Destructive winds are expected between Coen and Cape Flattery
overnight. The very destructive core with wind gusts to 260km/h is expected
near the coast between Coen and Cape Melville on Thursday morning.

Coastal residents between Coen and Cape Flattery are specifically warned of the
dangerous storm tide as the cyclone crosses the coast early Thursday. The sea is
likely to rise steadily to a level significantly above the highest tides of the
year with damaging waves, strong currents and flooding of low-lying areas
extending some way inland. People living in areas likely to be affected by this
flooding should be prepared to evacuate if advised to do so.

Very heavy rain can be expected to develop on the coast and ranges north of
Cooktown.

Details of SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE Ingrid, Category 4, for 1:00 pm EST
Central Pressure : 945 Hectopascals
Location of Centre : within 20 kilometres of
latitude 13.5 degrees south
longitude 145.2 degrees east
about 105 kilometres northeast of Cape Melville
and 220 km east of Coen.
Recent Movement : towards the west at 10 km/hr.
Destructive winds : out to 75 kilometres from the centre
Very destructive winds: out to 35 kilometres from the centre.
Maximum wind gusts : 260 kilometres per hour near the centre.

People in near coastal areas between Cape Grenville and Cooktown should have
completed preparations and should be ready to take shelter away from the
shoreline.

People in the warning area over inland Cape York Peninsula should immediately
commence or continue preparations, especially securing property, using available
daylight hours.

People in coastal areas between Weipa and Kowanyama should consider what action
they will need to take if the cyclone threat increases, and listen to the next
advice at 5pm. If you are unsure about actions to be taken, information is
available from your local government or local State Emergency Service.

The next advice will be issued at 5 pm EST Wednesday afternoon.

FORTUNATELY, WEAKENING CONTINUES.

[AussieMark]

[HurricaneBill]

Even with the weakening, this could still be a serious situation.

The area where Ingrid is poised to make landfall has not had a cyclone of hurricane strength since Cyclone Ivor in 1990. Ivor was a Category 1 on the SS scale.

[HURAKAN]

BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY
Queensland Region
Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre

Media: For immediate broadcast. Transmitters in the area Cape Grenville to Cape
Flattery are requested to use the Standard Emergency Warning Signal.

TOP PRIORITY
TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 17
Issued by the Bureau of Meteorology, Brisbane
Issued at 7:52pm on Wednesday the 9th of March 2005

A Cyclone WARNING is current for communities between Cape Grenville and Cape
Flattery and extends inland across central Cape York Peninsula.
A Cyclone WATCH is current for coastal and island communities on the eastern
Gulf of Carpentaria between Weipa and Kowanyama.

Ingrid has continued to weaken over the past few hours and is now classified as
a category 3 tropical cyclone. The cyclone still poses a serious threat to far
north Queensland with a very destructive winds near the centre and the potential
to generate a dangerous storm tide.

At 7 pm EST Severe Tropical Cyclone Ingrid, Category 3, with central pressure
960 hPa, was located near latitude 13.6 south longitude 144.8 east, which is
about 70 km north northeast of Cape Melville and 180 kilometres east of Coen.
The cyclone was moving west-southwest at 8 km/h.

Gales are expected to develop between Cape Grenville and Cape Flattery this
evening. Destructive winds are expected between Lockhart River and Cape
Melville overnight. The centre of the cyclone with very destructive wind gusts
to 220km/h, is expected near the coast east of about Coen on Thursday morning.

Coastal residents between Coen and Cape Melville are specifically warned of the
dangerous storm tide as the cyclone crosses the coast early Thursday. The sea is
likely to rise steadily to a level significantly above the highest tides of the
year with damaging waves, strong currents and flooding of low-lying areas
extending some way inland. People living in areas likely to be affected by this
flooding should be prepared to evacuate if advised to do so.

Very heavy rain can be expected to develop north of Cape Flattery overnight.

Details of SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE Ingrid, Category 3, for 7 pm EST
Central Pressure : 960 Hectopascals
Location of Centre : within 20 kilometres of
latitude 13.6 degrees south
longitude 144.8 degrees east
about 70 kilometres north northeast of Cape Melville
and 180 km east of Coen.
Recent Movement : towards the west-southwest at 8 km/hr.
Destructive winds : out to 60 kilometres from the centre
Very destructive winds: out to 25 kilometres from the centre.
Maximum wind gusts : 220 kilometres per hour near the centre.

People in near coastal areas between Cape Grenville and Cape Flattery should
have completed preparations and should be ready to take shelter away from the
shoreline.

People in the warning area over inland Cape York Peninsula should continue
preparations for when the cyclone moves inland during Thursday.

People in coastal areas between Weipa and Kowanyama should consider what action
they will need to take if the cyclone threat increases. If you are unsure about
actions to be taken, information is available from your local government or
local State Emergency Service.

The next advice will be issued at 11 pm EST Wednesday evening.

WEAKENING CONTINIES.

[P.K.]

09/0825 UTC 13.6S 144.7E T4.5/5.0 INGRID -- South Pacific Ocean

IDQP0005
BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY
Queensland Region
Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre

Media: For immediate broadcast. Transmitters in the area Cape Grenville to Cape
Melville are requested to use the Standard Emergency Warning Signal.


TOP PRIORITY
TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 18
Issued by the Bureau of Meteorology, Brisbane
Issued at 10:51pm on Wednesday the 9th of March 2005

A Cyclone WARNING is current for communities between Cape Grenville and Cape
Melville and extends inland across central Cape York Peninsula. The cyclone
warning is cancelled between Cape Flattery and Cape Melville.
A Cyclone WATCH is current for coastal and island communities on the eastern
Gulf of Carpentaria between Weipa and Kowanyama.

Ingrid continues to weaken as it approaches the north Queensland coast and is
now classified as a mid range category 3 tropical cyclone. The cyclone still
poses a serious threat to far north Queensland with very destructive winds near
the centre and the potential to generate a dangerous storm tide.

At 10 pm EST Severe Tropical Cyclone Ingrid, Category 3, with central pressure
970 hPa, was located near latitude 13.5 south longitude 144.5 east, which is
about 150 kilometres east northeast of Coen. The cyclone was moving in a general
westerly direction at 10 km/h.

Gales are expected between Cape Grenville and Cape Melville. Destructive winds
are expected between Lockhart River and Princess Charlotte Bay. The centre of
the cyclone with very destructive wind gusts to 190 km/h, is expected near the
coast east of about Coen on Thursday morning.

Coastal residents between Coen and Cape Melville are specifically warned of the
dangerous storm tide as the cyclone crosses the coast Thursday morning. The sea
is likely to rise steadily to a level significantly above the highest tides of
the year with damaging waves, strong currents and flooding of low-lying areas
extending some way inland. People living in areas likely to be affected by this
flooding should be prepared to evacuate if advised to do so.

Very heavy rain can be expected to develop north of Cape Melville.

Details of SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE Ingrid, Category 3, for 10 pm EST
Central Pressure : 970 Hectopascals
Location of Centre : within 20 kilometres of
latitude 13.5 degrees south
longitude 144.5 degrees east
about 150 km east northeast of Coen.
Recent Movement : towards the west at 10 km/hr.
Destructive winds : out to 50 kilometres from the centre
Very destructive winds: out to 20 kilometres from the centre.
Maximum wind gusts : 190 kilometres per hour near the centre.





People in near coastal areas between Cape Grenville and Cape Melville should
have completed preparations and should be ready to take shelter away from the
shoreline.

People in the warning area over inland Cape York Peninsula should continue
preparations for when the cyclone moves inland during Thursday.

People in coastal areas between Weipa and Kowanyama should consider what action
they will need to take. If you are unsure about actions to be taken, information
is available from your local government or local State Emergency Service.

The next advice will be issued at 2 am EST Thursday morning.

[P.K.]

Maximum gusts are back up 30kph.

IDQP0005
BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY
Queensland Region
Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre

dia: For immediate broadcast. Transmitters in the area Cape Grenville to Cape
Melville are requested to use the Standard Emergency Warning Signal.


TOP PRIORITY
TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 19
Issued by the Bureau of Meteorology, Brisbane
Issued at 1:48am on Thursday the 10th of March 2005

A Cyclone WARNING is current for communities between Cape Grenville and Cape
Melville and extends inland across central Cape York Peninsula.

A Cyclone WATCH is current for coastal and island communities on the eastern
Gulf of Carpentaria between Weipa and Kowanyama.

Ingrid has began another period of intensification and is now classified as a
high range category 3 SEVERE Tropical Cyclone. The cyclone still poses a
serious threat to far north Queensland with very destructive winds near the
centre and the potential to generate a dangerous storm tide.

At 1 am EST SEVERE Tropical Cyclone Ingrid, Category 3, with central pressure
965 hPa, was located near latitude 13.2 south longitude 144.0 east, which is
about 120 kilometres northeast of Coen and 60 kilometres east southeast of
Lockhart River. The cyclone recently has been moving west northwest at 15 km/hr.


Gales are expected between Cape Grenville and Cape Melville. Destructive winds
are expected between Lockhart River and Princess Charlotte Bay. The very
destructve core is expected to cross the coast near Lockhart River between 6am
and 9am this morning.

Coastal residents between Lockhart River and Coen are specifically warned of the
dangerous storm tide as the cyclone crosses the coast Thursday morning. The sea
is likely to rise steadily to a level significantly above the highest tides of
the year with damaging waves, strong currents and flooding of low-lying areas
extending some way inland. People living in areas likely to be affected by this
flooding should be prepared to evacuate if advised to do so.

Very heavy rain can be expected to develop north of Cape Melville.

Details of SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE Ingrid, Category 3, for 1 am EST
Central Pressure : 965 Hectopascals
Location of Centre : within 20 kilometres of
latitude 13.2 degrees south
longitude 144.0 degrees east
about 120 km northeast of Coen
and 60 km east southeast of Lockhart River.
Recent Movement : towards the west northwest at 15 km/hr.
Destructive winds : out to 50 kilometres from the centre
Very destructive winds: out to 20 kilometres from the centre.
Maximum wind gusts : 220 kilometres per hour near the centre.




People in coastal areas between Cape Grenville and Cape Melville should have
completed preparations and should be ready to take shelter away from the
shoreline.

People in the warning area over inland Cape York Peninsula should continue
preparations for when the cyclone moves inland during Thursday.

People in coastal areas between Weipa and Kowanyama should consider what action
they will need to take.

If you are unsure about actions to be taken, information is available from your
local government or local State Emergency Service.

The next advice will be issued at 5 am EST Thursday morning.

[P.K.]

Even stronger now

IDQP0005
BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY
Queensland Region
Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre

dia: For immediate broadcast. Transmitters in the area Cape Grenville to Cape
Melville are requested to use the Standard Emergency Warning Signal.


TOP PRIORITY
TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 21
Issued by the Bureau of Meteorology, Brisbane
Issued at 4:09am on Thursday the 10th of March 2005

A Cyclone WARNING is current for communities between Cape Grenville and Cape
Melville and extends inland across central Cape York Peninsula.

A Cyclone WATCH is current for coastal and island communities on the eastern
Gulf of Carpentaria between Weipa and Kowanyama.

Ingrid IS STILL INTENSIFYING AND IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTENSIFYING until it
hits the coast. Ingrid is currently classified as a category 4 SEVERE Tropical
Cyclone. The cyclone poses a serious threat in PARTICULAR TO THE LOCKHART
RIVER AREA with very destructive winds near the centre and the potential to
generate a dangerous storm tide.

At 4 am EST SEVERE Tropical Cyclone Ingrid, Category 4, with central pressure
960 hPa, was located near latitude 13.2 south longitude 143.8 east, which is 40
kilometres east southeast of Lockhart River. The cyclone recently has been
moving west northwest at 12 km/hr.

Gales are expected between Cape Grenville and Cape Melville. Destructive winds
are expected between Lockhart River and Princess Charlotte Bay STARTING AROUND
4:30 AM. The VERY DESTRUCTIVE CORE is expected to cross the coast NEAR LOCKHART
RIVER around 5 TO 5:30 AM.

Coastal residents between Lockhart River and Coen are specifically warned of the
dangerous storm tide as the cyclone crosses the coast. The sea is likely to rise
steadily to a level significantly above the highest tides of the year with
damaging waves, strong currents and flooding of low-lying areas extending some
way inland. People living in areas likely to be affected by this flooding should
be prepared to evacuate if advised to do so.

Very heavy rain can be expected to develop north of Cape Melville.

Details of SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE Ingrid, Category 4, for 4 am EST
Central Pressure : 960 Hectopascals
Location of Centre : within 20 kilometres of
latitude 13.2 degrees south
longitude 143.8 degrees east
and 40 km southeast of Lockhart River.
Recent Movement : towards the west northwest at 10 km/hr.
Destructive winds : out to 50 kilometres from the centre
Very destructive winds: out to 20 kilometres from the centre.
Maximum wind gusts : 230 kilometres per hour near the centre.


People in coastal areas between Cape Grenville and Cape Melville should have
completed preparations and should be ready to take shelter away from the
shoreline.

People in the warning area over inland Cape York Peninsula should continue
preparations for when the cyclone moves inland during Thursday.

People in coastal areas between Weipa and Kowanyama should consider what action
they will need to take.

If you are unsure about actions to be taken, information is available from your
local government or local State Emergency Service.

The next advice will be issued at 5 am EST Thursday morning.

[HurricaneBill]

Eye has reappeared and reintensification is occuring!



I hope everyone in Northern Australia will be OK.

[DoctorHurricane2003]

Not surprising that Ingrid is restrengthening:

Reasons:
-Completion of ERC
-Weakening of weak NEly shear over the system.

[HURAKAN]

https://www.fnmoc.navy.mil/CGI/PUBLIC/w ... 2005030912

NOGAPS is forecasting INGRID to cross into the Gulf of Carpentaria, and then continues over the Northern Territory and Western Australia northermost areas until emerging in the Indian Ocean to intensify again. If this true, we have INGRID a for a long time.

[HurricaneBill]

https://www.fnmoc.navy.mil/CGI/PUBLIC/wxmap_loop.cgi?area=ngp_tropwpac&prod=usf&dtg=2005030912

It looks like NOGAPS is forecasting something to form in the WPAC and head for the Philippines as well.