NCEP anomaly forecast for next 6 months

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cycloneye
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NCEP anomaly forecast for next 6 months

#1 Postby cycloneye » Thu Mar 10, 2005 7:35 am

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Let's see what happens in the next few months as those WWB or Kelvin waves are strong enough or not to trigger an el nino episode or leave neutral conditions at the equatorial pacific.
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#2 Postby Aquawind » Thu Mar 10, 2005 7:46 am

Well the MDR looks like it will continue to be warm in the ATL.. The PAC certainly is not looking El Nino like as the cool anom in the EPAC takes over at the end of the period..That is a cooling trend atrighty..
Continued very warm anomolies in the N PAC and N ATL..

Paul
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#3 Postby cycloneye » Thu Mar 10, 2005 7:49 am

Aquawind wrote:Well the MDR looks like it will continue to be warm in the ATL.. The PAC certainly is not looking El Nino like as the cool anom in the EPAC takes over at the end of the period..That is a cooling trend atrighty..
Continued very warm anomolies in the N PAC and N ATL..

Paul


Yes the MDR is what worries me the most being warm at March imagine when August rolls in.
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#4 Postby Aquawind » Thu Mar 10, 2005 7:53 am

It should worry everyone in the islands.. Fortunately it actually moderates a tad but still looks like it could be a busy season from the islands to CV at least..

Paul
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#5 Postby cycloneye » Tue Mar 15, 2005 7:41 pm

Actually it is not very important what the sst's are doing in march but what will they be by august and september however if the MDR area of Tropical Atlantic stays like it is now it is worrisom so imagine more warming up of those waters to +1.0 at the least.I hope it cools a tad at MDR by summer.
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