Tropical Storm ROKE
Moderator: S2k Moderators
Forum rules
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.
- AussieMark
- Category 5

- Posts: 5858
- Joined: Tue Sep 02, 2003 6:36 pm
- Location: near Sydney, Australia
Tropical Storm ROKE
we have a invest in West Pacific it seems
http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc-bin/tc_home2.cgi?YEAR=2005&MO=MAR&BASIN=WPAC&STORM_NAME=99W.INVEST&PROD=ir1km_bw&PHOT=yes&AGE=Latest&ARCHIVE=active&TYPE=ssmi&SIZE=full&NAV=tc&CURRENT=20050311.1155.goes9.x.ir1km_bw.99WINVEST.15kts-NAmb-45N-1520E.jpg&DIR=/data/www/tropical_cyclones/tc05/WPAC/99W.INVEST/ssmi/ir1km_bw&STYLE=tables&ATCF_NAME=1
anyone expect anything from it
http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc-bin/tc_home2.cgi?YEAR=2005&MO=MAR&BASIN=WPAC&STORM_NAME=99W.INVEST&PROD=ir1km_bw&PHOT=yes&AGE=Latest&ARCHIVE=active&TYPE=ssmi&SIZE=full&NAV=tc&CURRENT=20050311.1155.goes9.x.ir1km_bw.99WINVEST.15kts-NAmb-45N-1520E.jpg&DIR=/data/www/tropical_cyclones/tc05/WPAC/99W.INVEST/ssmi/ir1km_bw&STYLE=tables&ATCF_NAME=1
anyone expect anything from it
Last edited by AussieMark on Tue Mar 15, 2005 2:28 am, edited 2 times in total.
0 likes
- Hurricanehink
- S2K Supporter

- Posts: 2044
- Joined: Sun Nov 16, 2003 2:05 pm
- Location: New Jersey
- senorpepr
- Military Met/Moderator

- Posts: 12542
- Age: 43
- Joined: Fri Aug 22, 2003 9:22 pm
- Location: Mackenbach, Germany
- Contact:
JTWC wrote:(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 6.3N9
150.8E4, HAS BEEN RELOCATED NEAR 5.8N3 151.6E3, APPROXIMATELY 85
NM SOUTH OF CHUUK. ANIMATED INFRARED AND RECENT MICROWAVE SATEL-
LITE IMAGERY SHOW IMPROVED ORGANIZATION OF THE DEEP CONVECTION
ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. UPPER LEVEL
CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE WITH LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND GOOD
POLEWARD DIFFLUENCE. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO
BE 1006 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15
TO 20 KNOTS. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT
TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO FAIR.
(2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS
0 likes
- HURAKAN
- Professional-Met

- Posts: 46086
- Age: 38
- Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
- Location: Key West, FL
- Contact:
12/2025 UTC 6.5N 150.0E T1.5/1.5 99W -- West Pacific Ocean
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT/122151ZMAR2005//
RMKS/
1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN
120 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 6.8N4 148.1E4 TO 8.2N0 144.6E5
WITHIN THE NEXT 06 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY
ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME.
WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. METSAT IM
AGERY AT 122030Z8 INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED
NEAR 6.9N5 149.3E7. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT
07 KNOTS.
2. REMARKS: THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR
5.8N3 151.6E3, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 06.9N5 149.3E7, APPROXIMATELY
140 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF CHUUK. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY
SHOWS IMPROVED ORGANIZATION OF THE DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED
WITH A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. UPPER LEVEL CONDITIONS
ARE FAVORABLE WITH LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND GOOD POLEWARD
DIVERGENCE. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS.
THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL
CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD.
3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY
132200Z8.//
TD 2W SEEMS TO BE AROUND THE CORNER.
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT/122151ZMAR2005//
RMKS/
1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN
120 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 6.8N4 148.1E4 TO 8.2N0 144.6E5
WITHIN THE NEXT 06 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY
ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME.
WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. METSAT IM
AGERY AT 122030Z8 INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED
NEAR 6.9N5 149.3E7. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT
07 KNOTS.
2. REMARKS: THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR
5.8N3 151.6E3, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 06.9N5 149.3E7, APPROXIMATELY
140 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF CHUUK. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY
SHOWS IMPROVED ORGANIZATION OF THE DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED
WITH A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. UPPER LEVEL CONDITIONS
ARE FAVORABLE WITH LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND GOOD POLEWARD
DIVERGENCE. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS.
THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL
CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD.
3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY
132200Z8.//
TD 2W SEEMS TO BE AROUND THE CORNER.
0 likes
- senorpepr
- Military Met/Moderator

- Posts: 12542
- Age: 43
- Joined: Fri Aug 22, 2003 9:22 pm
- Location: Mackenbach, Germany
- Contact:
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/122151Z MAR 05//
AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT//
WTPN31 PGTW 130900
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W WARNING NR 001
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
130600Z0 --- NEAR 8.0N8 147.1E3
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 13 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
REPEAT POSIT: 8.0N8 147.1E3
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
131800Z3 --- 9.1N0 144.7E6
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
140600Z1 --- 9.9N8 142.2E9
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
141800Z4 --- 10.3N4 139.4E7
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
150600Z2 --- 10.9N0 136.4E4
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
160600Z3 --- 11.5N7 130.4E8
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
130900Z3 POSITION NEAR 8.3N1 146.5E6.
THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS REF A, NAVPACMETOCCEN 122151Z
MAR 05 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN22 PGTW 122200 )
NEXT WARNINGS AT 131500Z0, 132100Z7, 140300Z8 AND 140900Z4.
//
BT
#0001
NNNN
REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/122151Z MAR 05//
AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT//
WTPN31 PGTW 130900
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W WARNING NR 001
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
130600Z0 --- NEAR 8.0N8 147.1E3
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 13 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
REPEAT POSIT: 8.0N8 147.1E3
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
131800Z3 --- 9.1N0 144.7E6
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
140600Z1 --- 9.9N8 142.2E9
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
141800Z4 --- 10.3N4 139.4E7
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
150600Z2 --- 10.9N0 136.4E4
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
160600Z3 --- 11.5N7 130.4E8
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
130900Z3 POSITION NEAR 8.3N1 146.5E6.
THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS REF A, NAVPACMETOCCEN 122151Z
MAR 05 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN22 PGTW 122200 )
NEXT WARNINGS AT 131500Z0, 132100Z7, 140300Z8 AND 140900Z4.
//
BT
#0001
NNNN
0 likes
- HURAKAN
- Professional-Met

- Posts: 46086
- Age: 38
- Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
- Location: Key West, FL
- Contact:
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W WARNING NR 002
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
131200Z7 --- NEAR 8.3N1 145.8E8
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 13 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
REPEAT POSIT: 8.3N1 145.8E8
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
140000Z5 --- 9.1N0 143.4E2
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
141200Z8 --- 9.9N8 140.5E0
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
150000Z6 --- 10.5N6 137.5E6
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
151200Z9 --- 10.8N9 134.4E2
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
161200Z0 --- 10.7N8 128.1E2
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
131500Z0 POSITION NEAR 8.5N3 145.2E2.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 02W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 315 NM
SOUTH OF ANDERSEN AFB, GUAM, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD
AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. RECENT ANIMATED WATER VAPOR
IMAGERY SHOWS THAT TD 02W IS BECOMING MORE ORGANIZED WITH DEEP
CONVECTION BEGINNING TO CONSOLIDATE OVER A DEVELOPING LOW LEVEL
CIRCULATION CENTER. OUTFLOW CONTINUES TO BE GOOD AS EVIDENCED
BY THE RADIAL SPIRAL BANDS. NEXT WARNINGS AT 132100Z7, 140300Z8,
140900Z4 AND 141500Z1.//

SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W WARNING NR 002
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
131200Z7 --- NEAR 8.3N1 145.8E8
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 13 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
REPEAT POSIT: 8.3N1 145.8E8
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
140000Z5 --- 9.1N0 143.4E2
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
141200Z8 --- 9.9N8 140.5E0
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
150000Z6 --- 10.5N6 137.5E6
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
151200Z9 --- 10.8N9 134.4E2
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
161200Z0 --- 10.7N8 128.1E2
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
131500Z0 POSITION NEAR 8.5N3 145.2E2.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 02W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 315 NM
SOUTH OF ANDERSEN AFB, GUAM, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD
AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. RECENT ANIMATED WATER VAPOR
IMAGERY SHOWS THAT TD 02W IS BECOMING MORE ORGANIZED WITH DEEP
CONVECTION BEGINNING TO CONSOLIDATE OVER A DEVELOPING LOW LEVEL
CIRCULATION CENTER. OUTFLOW CONTINUES TO BE GOOD AS EVIDENCED
BY THE RADIAL SPIRAL BANDS. NEXT WARNINGS AT 132100Z7, 140300Z8,
140900Z4 AND 141500Z1.//

0 likes
- HURAKAN
- Professional-Met

- Posts: 46086
- Age: 38
- Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
- Location: Key West, FL
- Contact:
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 2A
500 AM GUAM LST MON MAR 14 2005
...TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W SLOWLY INTENSIFYING...
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR FAIS...ULITHI AND YAP.
TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...INCLUDING
DAMAGING WINDS OF 39 MPH OR MORE...ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN 48 HOURS.
AT 4 AM GUAM LST...1800Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 9.0 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 143.6
DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 215 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF FAIS
280 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF ULITHI
375 MILES EAST OF YAP
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 15 MPH. THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 35 MPH. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W IS
EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATE THIS MORNING.
REPEATING THE 4 AM POSITION...9.0 DEGREES NORTH AND 143.6 DEGREES
EAST...MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 15 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS
OF 35 MPH.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR LOCAL AREA...REFER TO
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W LOCAL STATEMENT /WTPQ81 PGUM/ AND OTHER
PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT 8 AM GUAM LST FOLLOWED BY AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY AT 11
AM GUAM LST.
TD 2W INTENSIFIES SLOWLY.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 2A
500 AM GUAM LST MON MAR 14 2005
...TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W SLOWLY INTENSIFYING...
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR FAIS...ULITHI AND YAP.
TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...INCLUDING
DAMAGING WINDS OF 39 MPH OR MORE...ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN 48 HOURS.
AT 4 AM GUAM LST...1800Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 9.0 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 143.6
DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 215 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF FAIS
280 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF ULITHI
375 MILES EAST OF YAP
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 15 MPH. THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 35 MPH. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W IS
EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATE THIS MORNING.
REPEATING THE 4 AM POSITION...9.0 DEGREES NORTH AND 143.6 DEGREES
EAST...MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 15 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS
OF 35 MPH.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR LOCAL AREA...REFER TO
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W LOCAL STATEMENT /WTPQ81 PGUM/ AND OTHER
PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT 8 AM GUAM LST FOLLOWED BY AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY AT 11
AM GUAM LST.
TD 2W INTENSIFIES SLOWLY.
0 likes
- HURAKAN
- Professional-Met

- Posts: 46086
- Age: 38
- Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
- Location: Key West, FL
- Contact:
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
WTPN31 PGTW 132100
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W WARNING NR 003
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
131800Z3 --- NEAR 9.0N9 143.8E6
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 16 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
REPEAT POSIT: 9.0N9 143.8E6
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
140600Z1 --- 9.8N7 140.6E1
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 16 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
141800Z4 --- 10.3N4 137.4E5
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
150600Z2 --- 10.4N5 135.3E2
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 16 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
151800Z5 --- 10.4N5 132.0E6
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 16 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
161800Z6 --- 10.4N5 125.3E1
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
132100Z7 POSITION NEAR 9.2N1 143.0E8. REFER TO WWPW31 PHNC FOR
SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 140300Z8, 140900Z4, 141500Z1 AND 142100Z8.
0 likes
- senorpepr
- Military Met/Moderator

- Posts: 12542
- Age: 43
- Joined: Fri Aug 22, 2003 9:22 pm
- Location: Mackenbach, Germany
- Contact:
JMA is now posting advisories on TD 0502 (02W)
Winds of 40 mph (1-min avg)
WTPQ20 RJTD 132100
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TD
ANALYSIS
PSTN 132100UTC 09.4N 142.7E FAIR
MOVE WNW 18KT
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 030KT
FORECAST
24HF 142100UTC 10.3N 137.6E 90NM 70%
MOVE W 13KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 040KT =
Winds of 40 mph (1-min avg)
WTPQ20 RJTD 132100
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TD
ANALYSIS
PSTN 132100UTC 09.4N 142.7E FAIR
MOVE WNW 18KT
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 030KT
FORECAST
24HF 142100UTC 10.3N 137.6E 90NM 70%
MOVE W 13KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 040KT =
0 likes
- HURAKAN
- Professional-Met

- Posts: 46086
- Age: 38
- Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
- Location: Key West, FL
- Contact:
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
WTPN31 PGTW 140300
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W WARNING NR 004
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
140000Z5 --- NEAR 10.2N3 142.4E1
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 18 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
REPEAT POSIT: 10.2N3 142.4E1
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
141200Z8 --- 11.4N6 139.3E6
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 16 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
150000Z6 --- 11.9N1 136.0E0
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 16 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
151200Z9 --- 11.8N0 132.8E4
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 16 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
160000Z7 --- 11.6N8 129.6E8
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 16 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
170000Z8 --- 11.0N2 123.2E8
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
OVER WATER
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
OVER WATER
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
OVER WATER
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
140300Z8 POSITION NEAR 10.5N6 141.6E2. REFER TO WWPW30 PHNC FOR
SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 140900Z4, 141500Z1, 142100Z8 AND 150300Z9.
MATTHEW, WE STILL HAVE A TROPICAL DEPRESSION
0 likes
- HURAKAN
- Professional-Met

- Posts: 46086
- Age: 38
- Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
- Location: Key West, FL
- Contact:
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 3A
1100 AM GUAM LST MON MAR 14 2005
...TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W MOVING RAPIDLY WEST-NORTHWEST...
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR FAIS...ULITHI AND YAP.
AT 10 AM GUAM LST...0000Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 10.2 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 142.4
DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 130 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF FAIS
190 MILES EAST OF ULITHI
295 MILES EAST OF YAP
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 21 MPH. THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 35 MPH. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W IS
EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS...AND SHOULD BECOME A
TROPICAL STORM LATE THIS AFTERNOON OR EVENING.
REPEATING THE 10 AM POSITION...10.2 DEGREES NORTH AND 142.4 DEGREES
EAST...MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 21 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS
OF 35 MPH.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR LOCAL AREA...REFER TO
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W LOCAL STATEMENT /WTPQ81 PGUM/ AND OTHER
PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT 2 PM GUAM LST...FOLLOWED BY AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY AT
5 PM.
SPEEDY GONZALEZ, I MEAN, TROPICAL DEPRESSION 2W RAPIDLY MOVES WNW.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 3A
1100 AM GUAM LST MON MAR 14 2005
...TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W MOVING RAPIDLY WEST-NORTHWEST...
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR FAIS...ULITHI AND YAP.
AT 10 AM GUAM LST...0000Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 10.2 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 142.4
DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 130 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF FAIS
190 MILES EAST OF ULITHI
295 MILES EAST OF YAP
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 21 MPH. THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 35 MPH. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W IS
EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS...AND SHOULD BECOME A
TROPICAL STORM LATE THIS AFTERNOON OR EVENING.
REPEATING THE 10 AM POSITION...10.2 DEGREES NORTH AND 142.4 DEGREES
EAST...MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 21 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS
OF 35 MPH.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR LOCAL AREA...REFER TO
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W LOCAL STATEMENT /WTPQ81 PGUM/ AND OTHER
PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT 2 PM GUAM LST...FOLLOWED BY AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY AT
5 PM.
SPEEDY GONZALEZ, I MEAN, TROPICAL DEPRESSION 2W RAPIDLY MOVES WNW.
0 likes
Who is online
Users browsing this forum: chaser1 and 527 guests


