BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY
Northern Territory Region
Darwin Regional Forecasting Centre
TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 64
Issued by the BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, DARWIN
at 5:00 am CST [3:30 am WST] Monday 14 March 2005
A CYCLONE WARNING continues for coastal and island communities between DALY
RIVER MOUTH and POINT STUART, including the TIWI ISLANDS and DARWIN.
A CYCLONE WATCH extends southwest to KALUMBURU in Western Australia.
At 4am CST [02:30 am WST] SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE INGRID, CATEGORY 3, was
located about 50 kilometres west of SNAKE BAY and 125 kilometres northwest of
DARWIN, moving west southwest at 10 kilometres per hour.
The VERY DESTRUCTIVE CORE of SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE INGRID, with gusts to 215
kilometres per hour, is currently crossing BATHURST ISLAND, and is expected to
move into the Timor Sea later this morning.
GALES with gusts to 120 kilometres per hour are being experienced on the TIWI
ISLANDS. GALES will extend southwest to DARWIN briefly this morning before
easing during the day. At this stage, it is expected that only the southeastern
edge of INGRID will affect DARWIN.
GALES may extend further southwest to DALY RIVER MOUTH during today, and then
further southwest to KALUMBURU by Tuesday evening, if the cyclone takes a
southwest track into the Timor Sea.
DANGEROUSLY HIGH TIDES could cause EXTENSIVE FLOODING on the coasts of the TIWI
ISLANDS.
HEAVY RAIN may cause localised flooding and significant river and stream rises
in the northwest TOP END.
Details of SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE INGRID at 4 am CST [02:30 am WST]:
. Centre located near...... 11.5 degrees South 130.2 degrees East
. Location accuracy........ within 30 kilometres
. Recent movement.......... towards the west southwest at 10 km/h
. Wind gusts near centre... 215 kilometres per hour
. Intensity................ CATEGORY 3
. Central pressure......... 955 hectoPascals
REPEATING: The VERY DESTRUCTIVE CORE of SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE INGRID is
currently crossing BATHURST ISLAND and is expected to move into the Timor Sea
later this morning.
The NEXT ADVICE will be issued at 8 am CST [6:30 am WST].
This advice is available on telephone NT-1300 659 211 and WA-1300 659 210
DARWIN Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre
BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY
Northern Territory Region
Darwin Regional Forecasting Centre
40:2:2:24:12S130E999:11:00
PANPAN
HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING
HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10/11
Issued by the AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, DARWIN
at 1930 UTC 13 MARCH 2005
PLEASE BE AWARE
Wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the averages given here,
and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.
HURRICANE WARNING FOR NORTHERN AREA
SITUATION
At 1800 UTC Severe Tropical Cyclone INGRID estimated within 15 nautical miles of
11.5 S 130.2 E moving WEST SOUTHWEST at 5 knots. Central pressure 955 hPa.
AREA AFFECTED
Within 50 nautical miles of the centre.
FORECAST
Sustained winds to 80 knots near centre.
Winds above 64 knots within 10 nautical miles with very rough to high seas and
moderate to heavy swell.
Winds above 48 knots within 25 nautical miles with very rough seas and moderate
to heavy swell.
Winds above 34 knots within 50 nautical miles of centre with rough to very rough
seas and moderate swell.
0600 UTC 14 Mar: 11.9 S 129.4 E 955hPa. Winds to 80 knots near centre.
1800 UTC 14 Mar: 12.5 S 128.6 E 950hPa. Winds to 90 knots near centre.
REMARKS
Ships in the general area please transmit 3-hourly weather reports.
DARWIN Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre
TC INGRID CENTER IS NOW COMPLETELY OVER WATER, AND REINTENSIFICATION SHOULD BEGIN IN THE NEAR FUTURE AS THE POSSIBLE LANDFALL IN WESTERN AUSTRALIAN SOIL.
Ex - Tropical Cyclone INGRID (22P)
Moderator: S2k Moderators
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P.K.
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 5149
- Joined: Thu Sep 23, 2004 5:57 pm
- Location: Watford, England
- Contact:
Looks like it probably will be over water when the next radar image comes out. http://mirror.bom.gov.au/products/IDR632.loop.shtml
They've increased their forecast then.
They've increased their forecast then.
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HurricaneBill
- Category 5
- Posts: 3420
- Joined: Sun Apr 11, 2004 5:51 pm
- Location: East Longmeadow, MA, USA
P.K. wrote:Looks like it probably will be over water when the next radar image comes out. http://mirror.bom.gov.au/products/IDR632.loop.shtml
They've increased their forecast then.
Looks like Darwin got a heavy pocket of rain.
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the eye is now totally over water by the looks off things about 125kms NW off Darwin at present and is looking fairly good indeed with a fairly impressive eye and still decent eyewall.A nice system no doubt about and reintensification now its back over water is quite possible with some high SST's and also decent shear levels as well up ahead off it and it has enough sea ahead off it for some decent intensification,worht watching but a third landfall is looking likely now,this system certainly has been about for a long time and it may have a little while left yet before it makes a final landfall.I think it is probable that it could well still get upto category-4 yet,who knows!
and yes there is a band off heavy rain affecting Darwin now,as it has been for the last 30 minutes,still maybe another 20-30 minutes off torrential rain for Darwin from this band,coupled with Gale winds it must be quite nasty out there at present!
and yes there is a band off heavy rain affecting Darwin now,as it has been for the last 30 minutes,still maybe another 20-30 minutes off torrential rain for Darwin from this band,coupled with Gale winds it must be quite nasty out there at present!
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HurricaneBill
- Category 5
- Posts: 3420
- Joined: Sun Apr 11, 2004 5:51 pm
- Location: East Longmeadow, MA, USA
I guess the pearl industry has taken a beating from Ingrid.
A ship sank (crew wasn't hurt) and pearl farms (evacuated) were badly damaged. Damage is expected to be millions of dollars.
Some ships with 70 Indonesian fishermen sought shelter near an Australian military base. The military base felt it would be too dangerous for the fishermen to ride out the storm on their ships and allowed the fishermen to come onto the base.
It's perfectly fine for Indonesian fishermen to seek shelter in Australian waters during cyclones. A lot safer too. In 1989, 40 Indonesian fishermen drowned during Cyclone Orson.
Croker Island is being described as "decimated" by Ingrid. It's reported that the island received gusts up to 320 km/h!
A ship sank (crew wasn't hurt) and pearl farms (evacuated) were badly damaged. Damage is expected to be millions of dollars.
Some ships with 70 Indonesian fishermen sought shelter near an Australian military base. The military base felt it would be too dangerous for the fishermen to ride out the storm on their ships and allowed the fishermen to come onto the base.
It's perfectly fine for Indonesian fishermen to seek shelter in Australian waters during cyclones. A lot safer too. In 1989, 40 Indonesian fishermen drowned during Cyclone Orson.
Croker Island is being described as "decimated" by Ingrid. It's reported that the island received gusts up to 320 km/h!
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HURAKAN
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 46086
- Age: 38
- Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
- Location: Key West, FL
- Contact:
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
WTXS32 PGTW 132100
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 22P (INGRID) WARNING NR 017
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
131800Z3 --- NEAR 11.6S8 130.2E6
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 250 DEGREES AT 05 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
OVER WATER
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
OVER WATER
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
OVER WATER
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
OVER WATER
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
OVER WATER
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
OVER WATER
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 11.6S8 130.2E6
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
140600Z1 --- 11.9S1 129.2E4
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
141800Z4 --- 12.4S7 128.1E2
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
150600Z2 --- 13.1S5 127.1E1
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
OVER WATER
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
OVER WATER
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 215 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
151800Z5 --- 14.0S5 126.4E3
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
OVER WATER
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
OVER WATER
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
132100Z7 POSITION NEAR 11.7S9 129.9E1.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 140900Z4 AND 142100Z8.
REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 23S (WILLY) WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW)
FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.
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HURAKAN
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 46086
- Age: 38
- Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
- Location: Key West, FL
- Contact:
CYCLONE WARNING
TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 65
Issued by the BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, DARWIN
at 8:00 am CST [6:30 am WST] Monday 14 March 2005
A CYCLONE WARNING continues for coastal and island communities between CAPE
HOTHAM and DALY RIVER MOUTH, including the TIWI ISLANDS and DARWIN.
A CYCLONE WATCH extends southwest to KALUMBURU in Western Australia.
The CYCLONE WARNING between CAPE HOTHAM and POINT STUART has been cancelled.
At 7am CST [05:30 am WST] SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE INGRID, CATEGORY 3, was
located about 85 kilometres west of SNAKE BAY and 150 kilometres northwest of
DARWIN, moving west at 10 kilometres per hour.
The VERY DESTRUCTIVE CORE of SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE INGRID, with gusts to 215
kilometres per hour, is currently clearing the west coast of BATHURST ISLAND,
and moving slowly into the Timor Sea.
GALES with gusts to 120 kilometres per hour are being experienced on the TIWI
ISLANDS. GALES are still possible between CAPE HOTHAM and DALY RIVER MOUTH
today, if the system takes a more southerly track.
GALES may extend further southwest to KALUMBURU late Tuesday.
DANGEROUSLY HIGH TIDES could cause EXTENSIVE FLOODING at the coast on the west
end of the TIWI ISLANDS.
HEAVY RAIN may cause localised flooding and significant river and stream rises
in the northwest TOP END.
Details of SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE INGRID at 7 am CST [05:30 am WST]:
. Centre located near...... 11.5 degrees South 129.9 degrees East
. Location accuracy........ within 30 kilometres
. Recent movement.......... towards the west at 10 km/h
. Wind gusts near centre... 215 kilometres per hour
. Intensity................ CATEGORY 3
. Central pressure......... 955 hectoPascals
REPEATING: The VERY DESTRUCTIVE CORE of SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE INGRID is
currently clearing the west coast of BATHURST ISLAND, and moving slowly into the
Timor Sea.
The NEXT ADVICE will be issued at 11 am CST [9:30 am WST].
This advice is available on telephone NT-1300 659 211 and WA-1300 659 210
DARWIN Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre
TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 65
Issued by the BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, DARWIN
at 8:00 am CST [6:30 am WST] Monday 14 March 2005
A CYCLONE WARNING continues for coastal and island communities between CAPE
HOTHAM and DALY RIVER MOUTH, including the TIWI ISLANDS and DARWIN.
A CYCLONE WATCH extends southwest to KALUMBURU in Western Australia.
The CYCLONE WARNING between CAPE HOTHAM and POINT STUART has been cancelled.
At 7am CST [05:30 am WST] SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE INGRID, CATEGORY 3, was
located about 85 kilometres west of SNAKE BAY and 150 kilometres northwest of
DARWIN, moving west at 10 kilometres per hour.
The VERY DESTRUCTIVE CORE of SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE INGRID, with gusts to 215
kilometres per hour, is currently clearing the west coast of BATHURST ISLAND,
and moving slowly into the Timor Sea.
GALES with gusts to 120 kilometres per hour are being experienced on the TIWI
ISLANDS. GALES are still possible between CAPE HOTHAM and DALY RIVER MOUTH
today, if the system takes a more southerly track.
GALES may extend further southwest to KALUMBURU late Tuesday.
DANGEROUSLY HIGH TIDES could cause EXTENSIVE FLOODING at the coast on the west
end of the TIWI ISLANDS.
HEAVY RAIN may cause localised flooding and significant river and stream rises
in the northwest TOP END.
Details of SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE INGRID at 7 am CST [05:30 am WST]:
. Centre located near...... 11.5 degrees South 129.9 degrees East
. Location accuracy........ within 30 kilometres
. Recent movement.......... towards the west at 10 km/h
. Wind gusts near centre... 215 kilometres per hour
. Intensity................ CATEGORY 3
. Central pressure......... 955 hectoPascals
REPEATING: The VERY DESTRUCTIVE CORE of SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE INGRID is
currently clearing the west coast of BATHURST ISLAND, and moving slowly into the
Timor Sea.
The NEXT ADVICE will be issued at 11 am CST [9:30 am WST].
This advice is available on telephone NT-1300 659 211 and WA-1300 659 210
DARWIN Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre
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HURAKAN
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 46086
- Age: 38
- Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
- Location: Key West, FL
- Contact:
BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY
Northern Territory Region
Darwin Regional Forecasting Centre
TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 66
Issued by the BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, DARWIN
at 11:00 am CST [9:30 am WST] Monday 14 March 2005
A CYCLONE WARNING continues for coastal and island communities between CAPE
HOTHAM and DALY RIVER MOUTH, including DARWIN and the TIWI ISLANDS west of SNAKE
BAY.
A CYCLONE WATCH now extends southwest to MITCHELL PLATEAU in Western Australia.
The CYCLONE WARNING for the TIWI ISLANDS east of SNAKE BAY has been cancelled.
At 10am CST [08:30 am WST] SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE INGRID, CATEGORY 3, was
located about 45 kilometres northwest of CAPE FOURCROY and 165 kilometres
northwest of DARWIN, moving west at 10 kilometres per hour. It is expected to
take a more southwesterly track across the Timor Sea during the next couple of
days.
The VERY DESTRUCTIVE CORE of SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE INGRID, with gusts to 215
kilometres per hour, has cleared BATHURST ISLAND and is now moving into the
Timor Sea.
GALES with gusts to 120 kilometres per hour are being experienced on the western
end of the TIWI ISLANDS, and should ease during this afternoon. GALES are still
possible between CAPE HOTHAM and DALY RIVER MOUTH today, if the system takes a
more southerly track, however this is considered unlikely.
GALES may extend further southwest to MITCHELL PLATEAU late Tuesday.
HEAVY RAIN may cause localised flooding and significant river and stream rises
about the northwest coast of the TOP END.
Details of SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE INGRID at 10am CST [08:30 am WST]:
. Centre located near...... 11.5 degrees South 129.7 degrees East
. Location accuracy........ within 30 kilometres
. Recent movement.......... towards the west at 10 km/h
. Wind gusts near centre... 215 kilometres per hour
. Intensity................ CATEGORY 3
. Central pressure......... 960 hectoPascals
REPEATING: The VERY DESTRUCTIVE CORE of SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE INGRID, with
gusts to 215 kilometres per hour, has cleared BATHURST ISLAND and is now moving
into the Timor Sea.
The NEXT ADVICE will be issued at 2 pm CST [12:30 pm WST].
This advice is available on telephone NT-1300 659 211 and WA-1300 659 210
DARWIN Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre
BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY
Northern Territory Region
Darwin Regional Forecasting Centre
40:2:2:24:12S130E999:11:00
PANPAN
HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING
HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10/11
Issued by the AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, DARWIN
at 0130 UTC 14 MARCH 2005
PLEASE BE AWARE
Wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the averages given here,
and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.
HURRICANE WARNING FOR NORTHERN AREA
SITUATION
At 0000 UTC Severe Tropical Cyclone INGRID estimated within 15 nautical miles of
11.5 S 129.7 E moving WEST at 5 knots. Central pressure 960 hPa.
AREA AFFECTED
Within 50 nautical miles of the centre.
FORECAST
Sustained winds to 80 knots near centre increasing to 100 knots within 12 to 24
hours.
Winds above 64 knots within 12 nautical miles with very rough to high seas and
moderate to heavy swell.
Winds above 48 knots within 25 nautical miles with very rough seas and moderate
to heavy swell.
Winds above 34 knots within 50 nautical miles of centre with rough to very rough
seas and moderate swell.
1200 UTC 14 Mar: 11.9 S 128.8 E 950hPa. Winds to 90 knots near centre.
0000 UTC 15 Mar: 12.6 S 127.9 E 940hPa. Winds to 100 knots near centre.
REMARKS
Ships in the general area please transmit 3-hourly weather reports.
DARWIN Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre
THE BOMB (INGRID) WILL EXPLODE AT ANY MINUTE, WATCH OUT IF YOU ARE CLOSE TO IT!
Northern Territory Region
Darwin Regional Forecasting Centre
TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 66
Issued by the BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, DARWIN
at 11:00 am CST [9:30 am WST] Monday 14 March 2005
A CYCLONE WARNING continues for coastal and island communities between CAPE
HOTHAM and DALY RIVER MOUTH, including DARWIN and the TIWI ISLANDS west of SNAKE
BAY.
A CYCLONE WATCH now extends southwest to MITCHELL PLATEAU in Western Australia.
The CYCLONE WARNING for the TIWI ISLANDS east of SNAKE BAY has been cancelled.
At 10am CST [08:30 am WST] SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE INGRID, CATEGORY 3, was
located about 45 kilometres northwest of CAPE FOURCROY and 165 kilometres
northwest of DARWIN, moving west at 10 kilometres per hour. It is expected to
take a more southwesterly track across the Timor Sea during the next couple of
days.
The VERY DESTRUCTIVE CORE of SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE INGRID, with gusts to 215
kilometres per hour, has cleared BATHURST ISLAND and is now moving into the
Timor Sea.
GALES with gusts to 120 kilometres per hour are being experienced on the western
end of the TIWI ISLANDS, and should ease during this afternoon. GALES are still
possible between CAPE HOTHAM and DALY RIVER MOUTH today, if the system takes a
more southerly track, however this is considered unlikely.
GALES may extend further southwest to MITCHELL PLATEAU late Tuesday.
HEAVY RAIN may cause localised flooding and significant river and stream rises
about the northwest coast of the TOP END.
Details of SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE INGRID at 10am CST [08:30 am WST]:
. Centre located near...... 11.5 degrees South 129.7 degrees East
. Location accuracy........ within 30 kilometres
. Recent movement.......... towards the west at 10 km/h
. Wind gusts near centre... 215 kilometres per hour
. Intensity................ CATEGORY 3
. Central pressure......... 960 hectoPascals
REPEATING: The VERY DESTRUCTIVE CORE of SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE INGRID, with
gusts to 215 kilometres per hour, has cleared BATHURST ISLAND and is now moving
into the Timor Sea.
The NEXT ADVICE will be issued at 2 pm CST [12:30 pm WST].
This advice is available on telephone NT-1300 659 211 and WA-1300 659 210
DARWIN Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre
BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY
Northern Territory Region
Darwin Regional Forecasting Centre
40:2:2:24:12S130E999:11:00
PANPAN
HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING
HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10/11
Issued by the AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, DARWIN
at 0130 UTC 14 MARCH 2005
PLEASE BE AWARE
Wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the averages given here,
and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.
HURRICANE WARNING FOR NORTHERN AREA
SITUATION
At 0000 UTC Severe Tropical Cyclone INGRID estimated within 15 nautical miles of
11.5 S 129.7 E moving WEST at 5 knots. Central pressure 960 hPa.
AREA AFFECTED
Within 50 nautical miles of the centre.
FORECAST
Sustained winds to 80 knots near centre increasing to 100 knots within 12 to 24
hours.
Winds above 64 knots within 12 nautical miles with very rough to high seas and
moderate to heavy swell.
Winds above 48 knots within 25 nautical miles with very rough seas and moderate
to heavy swell.
Winds above 34 knots within 50 nautical miles of centre with rough to very rough
seas and moderate swell.
1200 UTC 14 Mar: 11.9 S 128.8 E 950hPa. Winds to 90 knots near centre.
0000 UTC 15 Mar: 12.6 S 127.9 E 940hPa. Winds to 100 knots near centre.
REMARKS
Ships in the general area please transmit 3-hourly weather reports.
DARWIN Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre
THE BOMB (INGRID) WILL EXPLODE AT ANY MINUTE, WATCH OUT IF YOU ARE CLOSE TO IT!
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Scorpion
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HurricaneBill
- Category 5
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- Location: East Longmeadow, MA, USA
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AussieMark
- Category 5
- Posts: 5858
- Joined: Tue Sep 02, 2003 6:36 pm
- Location: near Sydney, Australia
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HurricaneBill
- Category 5
- Posts: 3420
- Joined: Sun Apr 11, 2004 5:51 pm
- Location: East Longmeadow, MA, USA
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AussieMark
- Category 5
- Posts: 5858
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- Location: near Sydney, Australia
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HURAKAN
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 46086
- Age: 38
- Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
- Location: Key West, FL
- Contact:
BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY
Northern Territory Region
Darwin Regional Forecasting Centre
TOP PRIORITY
TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 69
Issued by the BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, DARWIN
at 8:00 pm CST [6:30 pm WST] Monday 14 March 2005
A CYCLONE WARNING continues for coastal and island communities between PORT
KEATS and MITCHELL PLATEAU in Western Australia, including WYNDHAM.
A CYCLONE WATCH extends southwest to KURI BAY in Western Australia.
The CYCLONE WARNING for BATHURST ISLAND has been cancelled.
At 7 pm CST [5:30 pm WST] SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE INGRID, CATEGORY 3, was
located about 210 kilometres west northwest of DARWIN and 400 kilometres north
northeast of Wyndham in Western Australia, moving southwest at 12 kilometres per
hour.
GALES with gusts to 120 kilometres per hour may develop between PORT KEATS and
MITCHELL PLATEAU late Tuesday. GALES may extend further southwest to KURI BAY on
Wednesday afternoon. GALES are no longer being experienced on the western end of
BATHURST ISLAND as TROPICAL CYCLONE INGRID continues to move southwest into the
TIMOR SEA.
HEAVY RAIN may cause localised flooding and significant river and stream rises
about the northwest coast of the TOP END.
Details of SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE INGRID at 7:00pm CST [5:30 pm WST]:
. Centre located near...... 12.0 degrees South 129.0 degrees East
. Location accuracy........ within 15 kilometres
. Recent movement.......... towards the southwest at 12 km/h
. Wind gusts near centre... 215 kilometres per hour
. Intensity................ CATEGORY 3
. Central pressure......... 960 hectoPascals
REPEATING: A CYCLONE WARNING is current for coastal and island communities
between PORT KEATS and MITCHELL PLATEAU in Western Australia. A CYCLONE WATCH
extends southwest to KURI BAY in Western Australia.
The NEXT ADVICE will be issued at 11 pm CST [9:30 pm WST].
This advice is available on telephone NT-1300 659 211 and WA-1300 659 210
DARWIN Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre
Northern Territory Region
Darwin Regional Forecasting Centre
TOP PRIORITY
TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 69
Issued by the BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, DARWIN
at 8:00 pm CST [6:30 pm WST] Monday 14 March 2005
A CYCLONE WARNING continues for coastal and island communities between PORT
KEATS and MITCHELL PLATEAU in Western Australia, including WYNDHAM.
A CYCLONE WATCH extends southwest to KURI BAY in Western Australia.
The CYCLONE WARNING for BATHURST ISLAND has been cancelled.
At 7 pm CST [5:30 pm WST] SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE INGRID, CATEGORY 3, was
located about 210 kilometres west northwest of DARWIN and 400 kilometres north
northeast of Wyndham in Western Australia, moving southwest at 12 kilometres per
hour.
GALES with gusts to 120 kilometres per hour may develop between PORT KEATS and
MITCHELL PLATEAU late Tuesday. GALES may extend further southwest to KURI BAY on
Wednesday afternoon. GALES are no longer being experienced on the western end of
BATHURST ISLAND as TROPICAL CYCLONE INGRID continues to move southwest into the
TIMOR SEA.
HEAVY RAIN may cause localised flooding and significant river and stream rises
about the northwest coast of the TOP END.
Details of SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE INGRID at 7:00pm CST [5:30 pm WST]:
. Centre located near...... 12.0 degrees South 129.0 degrees East
. Location accuracy........ within 15 kilometres
. Recent movement.......... towards the southwest at 12 km/h
. Wind gusts near centre... 215 kilometres per hour
. Intensity................ CATEGORY 3
. Central pressure......... 960 hectoPascals
REPEATING: A CYCLONE WARNING is current for coastal and island communities
between PORT KEATS and MITCHELL PLATEAU in Western Australia. A CYCLONE WATCH
extends southwest to KURI BAY in Western Australia.
The NEXT ADVICE will be issued at 11 pm CST [9:30 pm WST].
This advice is available on telephone NT-1300 659 211 and WA-1300 659 210
DARWIN Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre
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P.K.
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 5149
- Joined: Thu Sep 23, 2004 5:57 pm
- Location: Watford, England
- Contact:
IDDP0002
BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY
Northern Territory Region
Darwin Regional Forecasting Centre
TOP PRIORITY
TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 70
Issued by the BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, DARWIN
at 11:00 pm CST [9:30 pm WST] Monday 14 March 2005
A CYCLONE WARNING continues for coastal and island communities between PORT
KEATS in the Northern Territory and MITCHELL PLATEAU in Western Australia,
including WYNDHAM.
A CYCLONE WATCH extends southwest to KURI BAY in Western Australia.
At 10 pm CST [8:30 pm WST] SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE INGRID, CATEGORY 4, was
located about 240 kilometres west of DARWIN and 330 kilometres northeast of
KALUMBURU in Western Australia, moving west southwest at 15 kilometres per hour
into the Timor Sea.
GALES with gusts to 120 kilometres per hour may develop between PORT KEATS and
MITCHELL PLATEAU late Tuesday. GALES may extend further southwest to KURI BAY on
Wednesday.
Details of SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE INGRID at 7:00pm CST [5:30 pm WST]:
. Centre located near...... 12.1 degrees South 128.7 degrees East
. Location accuracy........ within 20 kilometres
. Recent movement.......... towards the west southwest at 15 km/h
. Wind gusts near centre... 230 kilometres per hour intensifying
. Intensity................ CATEGORY 4
. Central pressure......... 950 hectoPascals
REPEATING: A CYCLONE WARNING is current for coastal and island communities
between PORT KEATS in the Northern Territory and MITCHELL PLATEAU in Western
Australia. A CYCLONE WATCH extends southwest to KURI BAY in Western Australia.
The NEXT ADVICE will be issued at 2 am CST [12:30 am WST].
This advice is available on telephone NT-1300 659 211 and WA-1300 659 210
DARWIN Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre
BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY
Northern Territory Region
Darwin Regional Forecasting Centre
TOP PRIORITY
TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 70
Issued by the BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, DARWIN
at 11:00 pm CST [9:30 pm WST] Monday 14 March 2005
A CYCLONE WARNING continues for coastal and island communities between PORT
KEATS in the Northern Territory and MITCHELL PLATEAU in Western Australia,
including WYNDHAM.
A CYCLONE WATCH extends southwest to KURI BAY in Western Australia.
At 10 pm CST [8:30 pm WST] SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE INGRID, CATEGORY 4, was
located about 240 kilometres west of DARWIN and 330 kilometres northeast of
KALUMBURU in Western Australia, moving west southwest at 15 kilometres per hour
into the Timor Sea.
GALES with gusts to 120 kilometres per hour may develop between PORT KEATS and
MITCHELL PLATEAU late Tuesday. GALES may extend further southwest to KURI BAY on
Wednesday.
Details of SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE INGRID at 7:00pm CST [5:30 pm WST]:
. Centre located near...... 12.1 degrees South 128.7 degrees East
. Location accuracy........ within 20 kilometres
. Recent movement.......... towards the west southwest at 15 km/h
. Wind gusts near centre... 230 kilometres per hour intensifying
. Intensity................ CATEGORY 4
. Central pressure......... 950 hectoPascals
REPEATING: A CYCLONE WARNING is current for coastal and island communities
between PORT KEATS in the Northern Territory and MITCHELL PLATEAU in Western
Australia. A CYCLONE WATCH extends southwest to KURI BAY in Western Australia.
The NEXT ADVICE will be issued at 2 am CST [12:30 am WST].
This advice is available on telephone NT-1300 659 211 and WA-1300 659 210
DARWIN Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre
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P.K.
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 5149
- Joined: Thu Sep 23, 2004 5:57 pm
- Location: Watford, England
- Contact:
Over 300mm of precipitation have been recorded in some areas. 
[img]ftp://ftp.bom.gov.au/anon/home/ncc/www/rainfall/totals/week/colour/latest.qd.gif[/img]
[img]ftp://ftp.bom.gov.au/anon/home/ncc/www/rainfall/totals/week/colour/latest.nt.gif[/img]
Latest advisory has the same figures as before.
FLOOD WARNING CENTRE
PERTH
FLOOD WATCH
FOR THE KIMBERLEY REGION
Issued at 4:03pm WST on Monday the 14th of March 2005
At 2:30 pm WST Severe Tropical Cyclone INGRID was located about 65 kilometres
west of CAPE FOURCROY and 175 kilometres west northwest of DARWIN, moving
southwest at 8 kilometres per hour into the Timor Sea. Based on the expected
movement of Tropical Cyclone INGRID during the the next 24 to 48 hours heavy
rainfall is forecast for catchments between Kalumburu and Kununurra including
the Drysdale, Carson, Forrest and Durack River catchments.
Based on this rainfall forecast, significant stream rises with possible flooding
is expected in the northeast Kimberley during Wednesday and Thursday.
FESA's SES division advises people and communities to be aware that
flooding is possible and be prepared to relocate equipment and
livestock. Watch water levels. Travellers need to be aware that road
conditions may be adversely affected and travel plans may need to be
reconsidered. Do not drive into water of unknown depth and velocity.
This Advice remains current until 11am WST on Tuesday 15th of March 2005.
[img]ftp://ftp.bom.gov.au/anon/home/ncc/www/rainfall/totals/week/colour/latest.qd.gif[/img]
[img]ftp://ftp.bom.gov.au/anon/home/ncc/www/rainfall/totals/week/colour/latest.nt.gif[/img]
Latest advisory has the same figures as before.
FLOOD WARNING CENTRE
PERTH
FLOOD WATCH
FOR THE KIMBERLEY REGION
Issued at 4:03pm WST on Monday the 14th of March 2005
At 2:30 pm WST Severe Tropical Cyclone INGRID was located about 65 kilometres
west of CAPE FOURCROY and 175 kilometres west northwest of DARWIN, moving
southwest at 8 kilometres per hour into the Timor Sea. Based on the expected
movement of Tropical Cyclone INGRID during the the next 24 to 48 hours heavy
rainfall is forecast for catchments between Kalumburu and Kununurra including
the Drysdale, Carson, Forrest and Durack River catchments.
Based on this rainfall forecast, significant stream rises with possible flooding
is expected in the northeast Kimberley during Wednesday and Thursday.
FESA's SES division advises people and communities to be aware that
flooding is possible and be prepared to relocate equipment and
livestock. Watch water levels. Travellers need to be aware that road
conditions may be adversely affected and travel plans may need to be
reconsidered. Do not drive into water of unknown depth and velocity.
This Advice remains current until 11am WST on Tuesday 15th of March 2005.
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HurricaneBill
- Category 5
- Posts: 3420
- Joined: Sun Apr 11, 2004 5:51 pm
- Location: East Longmeadow, MA, USA
-
HURAKAN
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 46086
- Age: 38
- Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
- Location: Key West, FL
- Contact:
WHAT AN ODD WIND FIELD, RIGHT?
BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY
Northern Territory Region
Darwin Regional Forecasting Centre
TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 72
Issued by the BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, DARWIN
at 5:00 am CST [3:30 am WST] Tuesday 15 March 2005
A CYCLONE WARNING continues for coastal and island communities between PORT
KEATS in the Northern Territory and MITCHELL PLATEAU in Western Australia,
including WYNDHAM.
A CYCLONE WATCH extends southwest to KURI BAY in Western Australia.
At 4 am CST [2:30 am WST] SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE INGRID, CATEGORY 4, was
located about 285 kilometres west of DARWIN and 305 kilometres northeast of
KALUMBURU in Western Australia, moving west at 10 kilometres per hour across the
Timor Sea. The cyclone is expected to resume its southwest track towards the
Kimberley coast during the day.
GALES with gusts to 120 kilometres per hour are expected to develop between PORT
KEATS and MITCHELL PLATEAU tonight. GALES may extend further southwest to KURI
BAY on Wednesday.
DANGEROUSLY HIGH TIDES could cause EXTENSIVE FLOODING at the coast between PORT
KEATS and MITCHELL PLATEAU early Wednesday morning.
HEAVY RAIN may cause localised flooding and significant river and stream rises
in the north and east KIMBERLEY and southwest TOP END from later today.
Details of SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE INGRID at 03:00am CST [1:30 am WST]:
. Centre located near...... 12.1 degrees South 128.3 degrees East
. Location accuracy........ within 20 kilometres
. Recent movement.......... towards the west at 10 km/h
. Wind gusts near centre... 260 kilometres per hour intensifying
. Intensity................ CATEGORY 4
. Central pressure......... 945 hectoPascals
REPEATING: A CYCLONE WARNING is current for coastal and island communities
between PORT KEATS in the Northern Territory and MITCHELL PLATEAU in Western
Australia. A CYCLONE WATCH extends southwest to KURI BAY in Western Australia.
The NEXT ADVICE will be issued at 8 am CST [06:30 am WST].
This advice is available on telephone NT-1300 659 211 and WA-1300 659 210
DARWIN Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre
"ANGRY INGRID" CONTINUES TO LIVE AFTER 72 BOM ADVISORIES. INTENSIFICATION, AS I SAID BEFORE, WILL CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT HOURS AND THE CYCLONE SHOULD FOR THE 3RD TIME GAIN CATEGORY 5 STATUS.
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HURAKAN
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 46086
- Age: 38
- Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
- Location: Key West, FL
- Contact:
WTXS32 PGTW 142100
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 22P (INGRID) WARNING NR 019
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
141800Z4 --- NEAR 12.3S6 128.3E4
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 235 DEGREES AT 04 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 12.3S6 128.3E4
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
150600Z2 --- 13.0S4 127.5E5
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 220 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
151800Z5 --- 13.9S3 126.7E6
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
OVER WATER
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
OVER WATER
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 200 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
160600Z3 --- 14.9S4 126.3E2
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 160 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
161800Z6 --- 15.7S3 126.6E5
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
142100Z8 POSITION NEAR 12.5S8 128.1E2.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 22P, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 150 NM WEST OF
DARWIN, AUSTRALIA, AND IS TRACKING SOUTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER
THE PAST SIX HOURS. UPPER AIR ANALYSIS REVEALS THAT TC 22P WILL
REMAIN IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT AND MAINTAIN CURRENT INTENSITY
PRIOR TO MAKING LANDFALL. NEXT WARNINGS AT 150900Z5 AND 152100Z9.//
INGRID: POWER TO THE MASSES.
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