March Snow for the TX and OK Panhandles

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CaptinCrunch
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March Snow for the TX and OK Panhandles

#1 Postby CaptinCrunch » Mon Mar 14, 2005 10:32 am

Hazardous Weather Outlook

TEXAS/OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
600 AM CST MON MAR 14 2005


OKZ001>003-TXZ001>020-141900-
ARMSTRONG-BEAVER-CARSON-CIMARRON-COLLINGSWORTH-DALLAM-DEAF SMITH-
DONLEY-GRAY-HANSFORD-HARTLEY-HEMPHILL-HUTCHINSON-LIPSCOMB-MOORE-
OCHILTREE-OLDHAM-POTTER-RANDALL-ROBERTS-SHERMAN-TEXAS-WHEELER-
600 AM CST MON MAR 14 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA
PANHANDLES.

.DAY ONE...

...A WINTER STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT TONIGHT FOR THE WESTERN TWO-
THIRDS OF THE OKLAHOMA AND TEXAS PANHANDLES...

...A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE
OKLAHOMA PANHANDLE AND FOR THE TEXAS PANHANDLE EXCEPT THE EXTREME
SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS PANHANDLE...

A STRONG TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE IN THE UPPER ATMOSPHERE OVER THE
GREAT BASIN REGION AND SOUTHWESTERN STATES WILL MOVE EASTWARD
TOWARDS THE PANHANDLES AND WILL BEGIN PRODUCING ACCUMULATING
SNOWFALL STARTING THIS EVENING AND CONTINUING THROUGH THE REST OF
TONIGHT. SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS THROUGH TONIGHT WILL RANGE FROM
UP TO 1 INCH IN THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY AREA TO AROUND 3 TO 5
INCHES IN THE WINTER STORM WARNING AREA. LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS OF 4
TO 6 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE NORTHWESTERN TEXAS PANHANDLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...

...A WINTER STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING FOR
THE WESTERN TWO-THIRDS OF THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES...

...A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING FOR
THE EASTERN OKLAHOMA PANHANDLE AND THE EASTERN THIRD OF THE TEXAS
PANHANDLE EXCEPT THE EXTREME SOUTHEAST SECTION...

A WINTER STORM WILL AFFECT THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES TUESDAY
AND LASTING THROUGH WEDNESDAY. AT THIS TIME...AREAS ACROSS THE
WINTER STORM WARNING AREA COULD SEE ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF
3 TO 5 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES ACROSS
THE NORTHWESTERN TEXAS PANHANDLE. ADDITIONAL SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS
ACROSS THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY AREA WILL BE AROUND 2 TO 4 INCHES.
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hey cap

#2 Postby Guest » Mon Mar 14, 2005 10:57 am

hey capn more colder air is coming then expected this is great! the latest maps have snow mixing in in abilene and wichita falls. and wednesday night some maps have dfw in the mid 30s with precip who knows? whats on the euro? this is a true blue norther! too bad its not jan or feb or north texas would be talking snow around dfw. why does it have to be march u should keep a close eye on this i dont trust any of the metorologist exept steve maglauphin on channel 8 and troy dungan. i wouldnt be surprised to see wet snow in weatherford or grahnm. letus north texans know the latest..
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Re: hey cap

#3 Postby CaptinCrunch » Mon Mar 14, 2005 11:23 am

eminem wrote:hey capn more colder air is coming then expected this is great! the latest maps have snow mixing in in abilene and wichita falls. and wednesday night some maps have dfw in the mid 30s with precip who knows? whats on the euro? this is a true blue norther! too bad its not jan or feb or north texas would be talking snow around dfw. why does it have to be march u should keep a close eye on this i dont trust any of the metorologist exept steve maglauphin on channel 8 and troy dungan. i wouldnt be surprised to see wet snow in weatherford or grahnm. letus north texans know the latest..


Well I hate to burst your snow bubble but the likelyhood of seeing a wet snow or even a flurrie across NTX is very unlikely, temps are forecasted to only be about 10 degrees difference between the high and low for Tuesday thru Wednesday night (46 to 49 highs and 38 to 40 lows) even if the upper part of the atmosphere where cold enought for it to snow the warm air just above to ground would change anything frozen back to a liquid.

The best thing about this cold snap is that I will get to use the remaining firewood I have Tuesday and Wednesday night, and I just love having a nice fire going on a cold rainy night. :D
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#4 Postby CaptinCrunch » Mon Mar 14, 2005 5:09 pm

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
1232 PM CST MON MAR 14 2005



Late Afternoon: A 40 percent chance of rain. Cloudy, with a high near 39. Wind chill values between 29 and 34. South southeast wind around 20 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph.

Tonight: Rain and snow likely, becoming all snow after 8pm. Cloudy, with a low around 29. Wind chill values between 19 and 24. Southeast wind between 15 and 20 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New snow accumulation of around 3 inches.

Tuesday: Periods of snow. High near 34. Wind chill values between 18 and 24. East wind around 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New snow accumulation of around 4 inches.

Tuesday Night: Periods of snow, mainly before midnight. Low near 24. Wind chill values between 12 and 22. North northeast wind around 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%.

Wednesday: A chance of snow before noon, then a slight chance of rain and snow between noon and 2pm, then a slight chance of rain after 2pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high around 38. North northwest wind around 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%
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#5 Postby CaptinCrunch » Tue Mar 15, 2005 11:10 am

SOME PARTS OF THE TX PANHANDLE HAVE RECEIVED UP TP 10 INCHES ALREADY AND SOME PLACES WILL RECEIVE A FOOT OF SNOW BEFORE ALL IS SAID AND DONE.
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#6 Postby gboudx » Tue Mar 15, 2005 12:19 pm

They can have it. Everything is blooming at my house, and I just planted some herbs. I'm glad the freezing temps are staying to our NW.
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#7 Postby CaptinCrunch » Wed Mar 16, 2005 9:16 am

Image
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#8 Postby CaptinCrunch » Wed Mar 16, 2005 9:18 am

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
350 AM CST WED MAR 16 2005


.DISCUSSION...
SNOW MOVING OFF TO THE EAST AND SOUTH EARLY THIS MORNING AND FEEL
JUSTIFIED TO CANCEL ALL WARNINGS BEFORE 12Z TODAY. SKIES CLEARING
FROM NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE PANHANDLES WITH AREAS OF FOG
DEVELOPING WHERE THE SNOW PACK IS. DECIDED TO INTRODUCE AREAS OF FOG
TIL ABOUT 15Z OR SO THIS MORNING WITH SOME LOCATIONS NEAR 1/4 MILE
VISIBILITY. KEPT TEMPS BELOW GUIDANCE TODAY ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND
WEST SECTIONS WHERE THE SNOW PACK IS GREATEST AND BUMPED UP TEMP
GRIDS TODAY ACROSS THE NORTH AND EASTERN SECTIONS WHERE LITTLE SNOW
PACK FOUND. EXCEPT FOR MINOR TWEAKING OF TEMP GRIDS...LITTLE OR NO
CHANGES MADE TO PREVIOUS GRIDS. AS UPPER TROUGH MOVES ACROSS THE
FORECAST AREA TODAY...CLEARING SKIES WITH NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT
TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY. UPPER FLOW TRANSITIONS TO MORE ZONAL OR
WEST-NORTHWESTERLY BY THE END OF THE WEEK AS A WEAK UPPER TROUGH
PASSES EAST ACROSS THE CENTRAL ROCKIES AND CENTRAL PLAINS STATES LATE
THURSDAY INTO EARLY FRIDAY. REMOVED MENTION OF ANY PRECIP AS AIR
MASS REMAINS DRY. A PACIFIC COLD FRONT FORECASTED TO PUSH ACROSS
THE PANHANDLES THURSDAY NIGHT WITH NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT RETURNING
AGAIN BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON INTO THE WEEKEND. SLOW MODERATION OF TEMPS
ONCE THE SNOW PACK COMPLETELY MELTS AWAY THEN SLIGHTLY COOLER FRIDAY
BEHIND THE FRONT. WARMING BACK UP AGAIN SATURDAY AHEAD OF ANOTHER
COLD FRONT WHICH IS FORECASTED TO SLIDE SOUTH ACROSS THE PANHANDLES
BY LATE SUNDAY. ENOUGH LOW LEVEL MOISTURE BEHIND THIS FRONT TO
WARRANT AT LEAST A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS SUNDAY INTO SUNDAY NIGHT.
OPEN WAVE FORECASTED TO TRACK EAST ACROSS THE FOUR CORNERS REGION
SUNDAY AND THEN ACROSS THE PANHANDLES SUNDAY NIGHT. UPPER RIDGE
FORECASTED TO DEVELOP OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN STATES INTO THE ROCKIES
EARLY NEXT WEEK ALLOWING FOR A RETURN TO NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT
ACROSS THE PANHANDLES. DRIER AND WARMER BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.
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