Cool water off SE coast

[DS]

It will be interesting to see what happens with the vast area of cool water of the Southeast and Florida coast during summer of '05. Here is the current anomalies:

http://www.osdpd.noaa.gov/PSB/EPS/SST/data/anomnight.3.15.2005.gif

During the winter, cooler (relative to normal) water tends to produce upper level ridging in the northern hemisphere, due to the low solar radiation. In fact, this cool water of Fl is what caused major forecast busts for winter forecasts in the southeast. However, in the summer, it tends to produce cool, moist surface high pressures. If this is indeed true, then there could once again be a high proportion of hurricanes to make landfall, because the Bermuda high will be strengthened, limiting and movement of tropical storms into the middle of the atlantic.

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

I agree with your thinking. A good amount of my thinking for 2005 is this.

It would almost be cheaper to let Cuba have Florida. Its hurting us so it is not worth it any more. Let Castro have it.

That would be a fast way to get out of 50 billion worth of damage.

[AussieMark]

I agree with your thinking. A good amount of my thinking for 2005 is this.

It would almost be cheaper to let Cuba have Florida. Its hurting us so it is not worth it any more. Let Castro have it.

That would be a fast way to get out of 50 billion worth of damage.

I hope this is sarcasm

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

Don't worrie it is

[StormChasr]

During the winter, cooler (relative to normal) water tends to produce upper level ridging in the northern hemisphere, due to the low solar radiation. In fact, this cool water of Fl is what caused major forecast busts for winter forecasts in the southeast. However, in the summer, it tends to produce cool, moist surface high pressures. If this is indeed true, then there could once again be a high proportion of hurricanes to make landfall, because the Bermuda high will be strengthened, limiting and movement of tropical storms into the middle of the atlantic.

I believe this is contradictory to the SST theories, and doesn't wash, if one believes that increased SST leads to tropical activity. Also, to remind everybody, the Bermuda High is NOT around now--whether it will come back in the position it was in Summer 2004 is anybody's guess.