Fl east coast vs Fl west cost Hurricanes 05

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K

What will get hit worse summer 05? West coast of Fl or east cost of Fl

West coast central
7
20%
East coast central
6
17%
West coast southern
3
9%
East coast southern
19
54%
 
Total votes: 35

Message
Author
User avatar
Noah
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 541
Joined: Fri Sep 24, 2004 10:41 am
Location: Sarasota FL

Fl east coast vs Fl west cost Hurricanes 05

#1 Postby Noah » Thu Mar 17, 2005 3:56 pm

:?:
0 likes   

StormChasr

#2 Postby StormChasr » Thu Mar 17, 2005 4:18 pm

Neither. I am an optimist.
0 likes   

User avatar
AdvAutoBob
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 85
Joined: Mon Aug 30, 2004 5:03 pm
Location: North Ft Myers, FL
Contact:

#3 Postby AdvAutoBob » Thu Mar 17, 2005 5:12 pm

This I don't wish to speculate on...
0 likes   

Steve H.
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2163
Joined: Sat Oct 19, 2002 9:06 am
Location: Palm Bay, Florida

#4 Postby Steve H. » Thu Mar 17, 2005 8:03 pm

I'll bow out on this.....I'm still waiting for shingles (for my roof) :roll: Please keep those damn storms away from the east coast!! :x
0 likes   

Derek Ortt

#5 Postby Derek Ortt » Thu Mar 17, 2005 8:53 pm

statistically, the south coast is due
0 likes   

User avatar
Noah
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 541
Joined: Fri Sep 24, 2004 10:41 am
Location: Sarasota FL

#6 Postby Noah » Thu Mar 17, 2005 9:15 pm

Steve H. wrote:I'll bow out on this.....I'm still waiting for shingles (for my roof) :roll: Please keep those damn storms away from the east coast!! :x



I hear ya, so are some of my family and friends in Port charlotte from charley..i cant beleive im back on the hurricane board again since all this rain in florida im wondering whats up. :eek:
0 likes   

Brent
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 38266
Age: 37
Joined: Sun May 16, 2004 10:30 pm
Location: Tulsa Oklahoma
Contact:

#7 Postby Brent » Fri Mar 18, 2005 5:38 pm

South Florida from the East. LONG LONG overdue. Miami got lucky with Andrew.

A Charley-type track will be very hard unless it's late in the season and one forms down around the Yucatan or Western Cuba. Having one in August would take a powerful, very rare trough like we saw last year.
0 likes   
#neversummer

User avatar
weatherwindow
Category 4
Category 4
Posts: 904
Joined: Mon Sep 20, 2004 9:48 am
Location: key west/ft lauderdale

#8 Postby weatherwindow » Sat Mar 19, 2005 8:27 am

am leaning toward a late 40s pattern...southeast coast landfall(late aug-sept) followed by a keys landfall out of the northwest carib around mid-october....perhaps this will become known as the decade of the paired landfalls for florida :roll:
0 likes   

Derek Ortt

#9 Postby Derek Ortt » Sat Mar 19, 2005 8:49 am

as I said in a different post, it looks like if activity is only in decades that we have just completed our active decade as we have had 28 lsystems to significantly impact Florida since 1994, compared with only 13 in the previous 11 years (which included 5 from 1985)


Even in 1995, we were significantly impacted by 3 hurricanes (though Allison weakened to just below cane intensity at landfall
0 likes   

User avatar
weatherwindow
Category 4
Category 4
Posts: 904
Joined: Mon Sep 20, 2004 9:48 am
Location: key west/ft lauderdale

#10 Postby weatherwindow » Sat Mar 19, 2005 10:09 am

derek....i think you misinterpreted my last post...i was referring to the southeast coast...pb, broward, dade, monroe...not fla as a whole
0 likes   

User avatar
cajungal
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2336
Age: 49
Joined: Sun Mar 14, 2004 9:34 pm
Location: Schriever, Louisiana (60 miles southwest of New Orleans)

#11 Postby cajungal » Sat Mar 19, 2005 12:13 pm

I voted south east coast. We may get an Andrew set up with something hitting south Florida, then going further in the gulf. With a second hit like Louisiana or the Panhandle. But, I am just making pure guesses. It is too early and all we can do is just sit down and see what happens. We can't do nothing to control the acts of nature. Just hope for the best but prepare for the worst. Now, is a good time to recheck your supplies and plans for the 2005 season.
0 likes   

Derek Ortt

#12 Postby Derek Ortt » Sat Mar 19, 2005 3:43 pm

erin
jerry
georges
floyd
irene
gabrielle
edouard
charley
frances
jeanne


10 storms have had a significant impact on the EC of FL (and the Keys) during the past 10 years. This seems like a very active period
0 likes   

User avatar
weatherwindow
Category 4
Category 4
Posts: 904
Joined: Mon Sep 20, 2004 9:48 am
Location: key west/ft lauderdale

#13 Postby weatherwindow » Sat Mar 19, 2005 9:07 pm

derek, i am simply suggesting that the we are may be entering a decade of multiple major landfalls in sfla.....the 40s were quite a show in that regard....majors: 1944. 1945. 1947, 1948(2), 1949, 1950(2)...in addition to cat 1/2..1941, 1946..can we regard this notable decade?. i am not disregarding your post. i am simply suggesting that the 40s were a rather special decade for south florida. ....similiar to the 20s in terms of frequency and intensity. together the 60s, 70s, 80s and 90s resulted in only three major sfla landfalls. perhaps, we are entering an era which we havent seen in quite some time........(certainly hope not!)....rich
0 likes   

Derek Ortt

#14 Postby Derek Ortt » Sat Mar 19, 2005 9:16 pm

my opinion is that we may have seen the activity and were a bit lucky (or unlucky before0

of course, my research and knowledge is more on intensity change than climo
0 likes   

T'Bonz
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 421
Joined: Wed Sep 01, 2004 5:23 pm
Location: Cary, North Carolina

#15 Postby T'Bonz » Sun Mar 20, 2005 12:52 am

I'm in Broward and it seems we've been spared, with Andrew to the south and Frances and Jeanne to the north.

One day, our luck will run out, I'm afraid.
0 likes   

robag
Tropical Low
Tropical Low
Posts: 45
Joined: Mon Apr 12, 2004 10:55 am
Location: key largo, florida

#16 Postby robag » Sun Mar 20, 2005 11:20 am

The upper Keys are very long overdue. Key Largo's luck can't hold out too much longer. My town is definitely feeling very lucky.
0 likes   

User avatar
MSRobi911
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1259
Age: 70
Joined: Sun Sep 14, 2003 1:55 pm
Location: Pascagoula, Misssissippi

#17 Postby MSRobi911 » Sun Mar 20, 2005 2:41 pm

You don't give a choice for the panhandle in the Central Gulf Coast.

Mary
0 likes   

User avatar
MomH
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 473
Joined: Sun Aug 29, 2004 12:45 am
Location: Central FL

Doesn't matter to me---

#18 Postby MomH » Thu Mar 24, 2005 1:56 am

I'm in the middle and four of them came within 50 miles of me -- one came over and at least one other was closer to 20 miles. I worry about the 2005 season. We are still seeing lots and lots of blue plactic roofs in this area. Oh well --life goes on.
0 likes   

Rainband

#19 Postby Rainband » Thu Mar 24, 2005 10:44 am

No way to tell. Way too early. Hopefully Florida is missed this year. As Mwatkins said "overdue" doesn't matter. Where a storm makes landfall does. :wink: One thing is for sure. Our dry season here has started off very wet :lol:
0 likes   


Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 660 guests