Poll: How Many People Think S. Florida Will Get hit in 2005?

[Rainband]

After last year, florida is definately prepared. Hopefully we don't have a single storm. NO ONE knows where the storms that form will go. I am so shocked that people actually want to get hit by hurricanes after what we all witnessed last year Be careful what you wish for. This is one floridian that hopes Florida is spared this year

[Scorpion]

Well, what would all us wx weenies do without hurricanes?

[StormChasr]

Huckster is right. Remember what Jeanne did to HAITI in 2004? What about Gilbert and Mexico in 1988??? Does a hurricane strike in the CONUS carry more pollitically correct weight than one in a third-world area? I find that concept more than a little disturbing.

[Derek Ortt]

the 2 events that will be remembered about this season 50 years from now.

1. Ivan levels Cayman
2. Jeanne kills 3,000

a passing mention will be Charley's rapid intensification, but the storm wont be remembered as will Ivan and Jeanne. Iva's US landfall also wont be remembered, except as an historical footnote

[HurricaneBill]

Huckster is right. Remember what Jeanne did to HAITI in 2004? What about Gilbert and Mexico in 1988??? Does a hurricane strike in the CONUS carry more pollitically correct weight than one in a third-world area? I find that concept more than a little disturbing.

A lot of focus may be on the U.S. because the U.S. has such a large coastline.

A lot of focus may be on Florida because Florida not only faces threats from the Atlantic, but from the Gulf of Mexico as well.

Plus, after the 2004 season, of course all eyes will be on Florida!

[boca]

If we get hit in Florida it will be from the South, not from the East because the Bermuda high is alot weaker this year according to an article in the Sun Sentinel in this Saturday's paper.

[Brent]

By South Florida I mean West Palm Beach/Ft. Lauderdale/Miami

No thanks! The close calls last year were excitement enough for me. Besides, I don't yet have hurricane shutters.

[StormChasr]

A lot of focus may be on the U.S. because the U.S. has such a large coastline.

A lot of focus may be on Florida because Florida not only faces threats from the Atlantic, but from the Gulf of Mexico as well.

Plus, after the 2004 season, of course all eyes will be on Florida.

That may be so, (we had the news men and doomsday projectors swarming here last year like lice) but the Long Island area of NY poses a greater 50 year hurricane likelihood than many areas of Florida. Visit the Tropical Landfalling Project and see for yourself. http://www.e-transit.org/hurricane/welcome.html

[cyclonaut]

If we get hit in Florida it will be from the South, not from the East because the Bermuda high is alot weaker this year according to an article in the Sun Sentinel in this Saturday's paper.

Whether or not the BH is weaker or stronger that does not mean that a hurricane will not strike Fla from the east.You dont need a powerful BH to make a storm move west or W/NW for a while.ALso not impossible for a trough to be in place most of the season & then have a ridge set up just as a hurricane arrives on the scene.Where a hurricane will hit in AUG,SEPT & what direction this hurricane is coming from are questions that cannot be answered on April 2nd or even July 2nd.

& BTW the BH wasnt that strong last season the problem was where it was centered that caused all the problems.

[Scorpion]

That may be so, (we had the news men and doomsday projectors swarming here last year like lice) but the Long Island area of NY poses a greater 50 year hurricane likelihood than many areas of Florida. Visit the Tropical Landfalling Project and see for yourself. http://www.e-transit.org/hurricane/welcome.html

Maybe so for places like Jacksonville and Tampa where it is virtually impossible for a hurricane to make a direct hit, but the Panhandle and the Southeast Coast of Florida are ranked among the Outer Banks as the most likely areas to get hit.

[StormChasr]

Well, regions 4, 5 , and 7 have a very much LOWER chance than the others in Florida, but it is by no means IMPOSSIBLE.

[T'Bonz]

By South Florida I mean West Palm Beach/Ft. Lauderdale/Miami

No thanks! The close calls last year were excitement enough for me. Besides, I don't yet have hurricane shutters.

Yeah, I know. But with two in college, can't afford several thou.

Our house was built just 2-3 years before they were mandatory for new homes.

[MWatkins]

Wish I had a good way to answer that...again...I really don't believe that there is any skillful way to determine that now...and I don't ever post any of my "gut" feelings.

So...I really really hope that South FL doesn't get socked this year. But think doesn't enter the picture anywhere.

Case in point...had anyone asked this question in April 1992...if it were possible of course...with an Nino and cool Atlantic SST's...nobody...NOBODY would have answered this question yes.

MW