April Comparisons of SSTA'S from 1995 to 2005

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cycloneye
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April Comparisons of SSTA'S from 1995 to 2005

#1 Postby cycloneye » Fri Apr 08, 2005 2:49 pm


http://www.osdpd.noaa.gov/PSB/EPS/SST/d ... 6.2005.gif

http://www.osdpd.noaa.gov/PSB/EPS/SST/d ... 3.2004.gif

http://www.osdpd.noaa.gov/PSB/EPS/SST/d ... 1.2003.gif

http://www.osdpd.noaa.gov/PSB/EPS/SST/d ... 2.2002.gif

http://www.osdpd.noaa.gov/PSB/EPS/SST/d ... 2.2001.gif

http://www.osdpd.noaa.gov/PSB/EPS/SST/d ... 4.2000.gif

http://www.osdpd.noaa.gov/PSB/EPS/SST/d ... 3.1999.gif

http://www.osdpd.noaa.gov/PSB/EPS/SST/c ... 4.1998.gif

http://www.osdpd.noaa.gov/PSB/EPS/SST/c ... 1.1997.gif

http://www.osdpd.noaa.gov/PSB/EPS/SST/d ... nomaly.gif

http://www.osdpd.noaa.gov/PSB/EPS/SST/d ... nomaly.gif


If anyone has an April grafic of 2004 it would be good to have as I lost it when my old computer crashed. :(

Those grafics show big differences in the ssta's data that right now with the talk about el nino developing or not it is interesting to look at them and compare from this 2005 April to those past years from 1995.If anyone wants to comment about this dont hesitate to stop by and replie.
Last edited by cycloneye on Sun Apr 17, 2005 8:50 pm, edited 3 times in total.
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#2 Postby Andrew92 » Fri Apr 08, 2005 5:25 pm

To me 2005 is most similar to 2003.

But what do I know?

-Andrew92
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#3 Postby Andrew92 » Fri Apr 08, 2005 5:26 pm

2004:
http://www.osdpd.noaa.gov/PSB/EPS/SST/d ... 3.2004.gif
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#4 Postby Anonymous » Fri Apr 08, 2005 5:28 pm

Andrew92 wrote:To me 2005 is most similar to 2003.

But what do I know?

-Andrew92


Think....if the ridge was in the "2004" spot in 2003...and the temperatures were like they are now in the caribbean...

Hurricane Claudette could have been a major hurricane.
Hurricane Fabian could have been a US threat/strike
Hurricane Isabel....FL...Cat 5....
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#5 Postby cycloneye » Fri Apr 08, 2005 5:29 pm



Thank you my friend for posting the April 2004 one. :)
Last edited by cycloneye on Fri Apr 08, 2005 5:31 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#6 Postby Andrew92 » Fri Apr 08, 2005 5:31 pm

~Floydbuster wrote:
Andrew92 wrote:To me 2005 is most similar to 2003.

But what do I know?

-Andrew92


Think....if the ridge was in the "2004" spot in 2003...and the temperatures were like they are now in the caribbean...

Hurricane Claudette could have been a major hurricane.
Hurricane Fabian could have been a US threat/strike
Hurricane Isabel....FL...Cat 5....


I still wonder if Claudette would have been affected by the fast movement and the shear, but I hear you on Fabian and Isabel! :eek:

-Andrew92
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#7 Postby Andrew92 » Fri Apr 08, 2005 5:33 pm

Really, apart from a cold tongue in the Atlantic now, I see little difference between now and '03. When I said most similar, I guess I meant in terms of seeing El Nino, but heck, I'm young and I don't know that much about El Nino.

-Andrew92
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#8 Postby Anonymous » Fri Apr 08, 2005 5:34 pm

Yep...plus I remember we had two Tropical Depressions....TD-6 in July and TD-9 in August.

TD-6 was expected to be "HURRICANE ERIKA" and strike Florida after making a turn over Western Cuba to the north. However, I remember reading and hearing things that noted that "ERIKA" would become a major hurricane in the NW Caribbean.

TD-9 was expected to be to the Southeast of Miami as 70 mph "TROPICAL STORM FABIAN".
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#9 Postby Andrew92 » Fri Apr 08, 2005 5:35 pm

~Floydbuster wrote:Yep...plus I remember we had two Tropical Depressions....TD-6 in July and TD-9 in August.

TD-6 was expected to be "HURRICANE ERIKA" and strike Florida after making a turn over Western Cuba to the north. However, I remember reading and hearing things that noted that "ERIKA" would become a major hurricane in the NW Caribbean.

TD-9 was expected to be to the Southeast of Miami as 70 mph "TROPICAL STORM FABIAN".


I forgot about that! Still, TD 6 was moving really fast and was sheared really bad. In fact, I think it was the shear that nearly killed Claudette. And TD 9 never looked that good and it was about to run into Hispaniola and be badly beaten up.

Still, a good point.

-Andrew92
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#10 Postby vacanechaser » Sat Apr 09, 2005 4:06 pm

I agree with you guys on 2003. However, the main difference I see is the large area of blue showing up in the atlantic. Interesting twist there. Will be interesting to see how quickly that warms if at all..
I just wonder if this would have an effect on the stirring of the canes from the MDR later in the season if it were to remain cooler.


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#11 Postby Andrew92 » Sat Apr 09, 2005 6:36 pm

Still, that blue tongue doesn't appear to me in the MDR.....

It appears to be in the graveyard for hurricanes more than anywhere they would typically develop, if my eyes are right.

-Andrew92
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#12 Postby Aquawind » Sat Apr 09, 2005 7:24 pm

vacanechaser wrote:I agree with you guys on 2003. However, the main difference I see is the large area of blue showing up in the Atlantic. Interesting twist there. Will be interesting to see how quickly that warms if at all..
I just wonder if this would have an effect on the stirring of the canes from the MDR later in the season if it were to remain cooler.


Jesse V. Bass III
http://www.vastormphoto.com
Hurricane Intercept Research Team


I am not aware of SSTs steering or altering hurricane movement..Your not the first to mention this recently so I am interested to know why this is or could be the case..I tend to think the cool anomalies to the north of the MDR will be warm enough during the season to not have much influence on landfalls. With the sun angle over 2 months from the summer solstice we have prime time heating just beginning. If the cool anomalies were to continue maybe we would have less genesis in that area unlike last year..Otto, Nicole, Hermine and Ten..I will be watching along with most everyone else for the next couple months.. 8-)

I just noticed most of the gensis during the el nino 1997 WAS north of the MDR and the SST's at this time were cool as well according to the map above. El Nino seemlingly made more of a difference than any cool amonalies in the Atl at least durring a strong event..

http://weather.unisys.com/hurricane/atl ... index.html



Paul
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#13 Postby vacanechaser » Sun Apr 10, 2005 2:40 pm

I guess what I am thinking about is how that would play a role in pressures. High pressure versus low pressure and that the high could be in a different location due to cooler temps north of the MDR. The waters north of the MDR last season were warmer than normal, and the Bermuda high ruled the west, so to speak. Will it set up differently this season. It seems in the past if you watch the hurricane tracks, they alomost seem to follow or turn where the water is warmer. Almost like they know!! I know they don't... It was just a thought.


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