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Winter Weather Discussion

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#5041 Postby Guest » Sun Apr 24, 2005 2:07 am

Someone, not going to name any names... What if someone had planned a picnic for sunday when it was suppose to reach 80 degrees, and your forecast was 2 days off and they should have planned their picnic for friday.. They would be pretty pissed... Good thing nobody relied on your forecast.

Notice how on the map i posted, the 558 line goes to 80 degrees north latitude!
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Guest

#5042 Postby Guest » Sun Apr 24, 2005 2:08 am

And by the way... The official high at sea tac today... 64*... that is a little off your prediction of 71... A picnic is nice at 71*, dreadful at 64*
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TT-SEA

#5043 Postby TT-SEA » Sun Apr 24, 2005 2:20 am

TT-SEA wrote:It will be interesting.

AGAIN.. JUST TO REPEAT... I BELIEVE THERE WILL BE SCATTERED SHOWERS AROUND FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

DO NOT JUMP ALL OVER ME THE FIRST TIME SOMETHING APPEARS ON THE RADAR.

My predicted highs for Sea-Tac:

Friday - 68 degrees
Saturday - 71 degrees
Sunday - 67 degrees

My predicted highs for Bellevue:

Friday - 71 degrees
Saturday - 72 degrees
Sunday - 69 degrees

My predicted highs in North Bend:

Friday - 72 degrees
Saturday - 76 degrees
Sunday - 69 degrees


Currently sunny and 67 degrees at my house.





Nobody else even ventured to forecast. My revised forecast had Saturday being the warmest day.


THIS APRIL IS VERY CLOSE TO NORMAL.

ASK ANY PERSON AT THE NWS OFFICE.... PLEASE!!!!!!!




It is normal to have temperature swings.

It is normal to have thunderstorms

We had a period of days roughly 2-7 degrees below normal... some days near normal... one day 14 degrees above normal... and now a period with temperatures 2-7 degrees above normal.


We have had normal rainfall.

We have seen a few thunderstorms.


THIS IS NORMAL.


And it is almost May... 5580 heights going to the North Pole will not bring very cold weather. Maybe a little below normal.

SUCH EXTREME DRAMA... OVER NORMAL SPRING
WEATHER.


Yawn....
Last edited by TT-SEA on Sun Apr 24, 2005 10:02 am, edited 2 times in total.
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TT-SEA

#5044 Postby TT-SEA » Sun Apr 24, 2005 9:09 am

It looks like another warm period on the way...

THE LOW LEVEL FLOW WILL ALSO BECOME OFFSHORE ONCE AGAIN...WITH DAYTIME TEMPS CLIMBING WELL ABOVE NORMAL. ASSUMING THE MODELS ARE CORRECT...THERE IS A CHANCE THAT PREDICTED TEMPS FOR THE MIDWEEK TIME FRAME MAY NOT BE WARM ENOUGH.


We will see.

But this is nicely balancing out our cool period at the beginning of the month.

Brennan... why don't you try forecasting this week out for a couple locations?
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TT-SEA

#5045 Postby TT-SEA » Sun Apr 24, 2005 9:15 am

*Brennan* wrote:You say that it is factual that this is a normal month... It would be normal for temps to be about 5 degrees above normal for a week and then 5 degrees below normal for the week after... When we have temps as far below normal as we had just recently, and then we got straight to temps in the upper 70's and 10-15 degrees above normal, THAT IS AN ABNORMAL WAY TO GET NORMAL MONTHLY TEMPERATURES... It is your opinion that this month is a typical april month... The way you look at it, which is the final average, sure it LOOKS NORMAL if you don't look in depth to how that average happened through the course of the month... You are missing a piece there.



Looking in depth as you say...

20 out of 23 days in the month of April have been within 5 degrees of normal.

11 out of 23 days have been within 2 degrees of normal.

One day 7 degrees below normal. One day 7 degrees above normal.

And one really warm day.


Wow. What a crazy month!! :D
Last edited by TT-SEA on Sun Apr 24, 2005 9:48 am, edited 1 time in total.
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TT-SEA

#5046 Postby TT-SEA » Sun Apr 24, 2005 9:35 am

If the forecast for this week is correct... we will see another 7 days with temperatures above normal.

Guess what??

That will leave April with 15 days at or above normal and 15 days with temperatures below normal.


And probably more than 80% of the days within 5 degrees of normal.


This is an incredibly normal April. Considering some of the wild swings we can see in this month it is pretty amazing how normal it has been!!
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#5047 Postby R-Dub » Sun Apr 24, 2005 11:05 am

Good morning everyone! Currently at LK Goodwin its 52 degrees and Partly Sunny. We had a trace of rain last night, but that was it! Looks like another day to play on the lake 8-)
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#5048 Postby andycottle » Sun Apr 24, 2005 11:09 am

Partly cloudy skies here with a temp of 53. Just a little rain here last night also, but wasn`t enough to add up in the rain gage. -- Andy
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#5049 Postby AnthonyC » Sun Apr 24, 2005 11:10 am

Not a bad day yesterday...not the greatest, but I'll take it for the end of April. The day started sunny and mild...by noon alot of high/middle clouds started to filter the sunshine. I went for a hike on Whidbey Island and at 3pm, a minor marine push came in...the temperature went from 68F to 57F within an hour. And the breezes also picked up.

This upcoming week looks awesome!! Could it be warmer than Friday?! Tuesday looks to be the warmest day...a think ALOT of places will go beyond the 80-degree mark...do I dare say 85F?!

Brennan...

Enough with the arguing. You're getting annoying. Just enjoy the warm/sunny weather. Why do you want rain/cold weather at the end of April? It's not winter anymore.

Anthony
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#5050 Postby andrewr » Sun Apr 24, 2005 11:13 am

This is interesting, I was reading through this section on komotv.com called "Ask Steve" and there was a question about freezing temperatures in Seattle. Supposedly Seattle averages 4 days a year where the temperature never gets above freezing and before last year it hadn't happened since 1998! Also they average 60 days where the temperature gets below freezing and I have no idea when the last time that happened was. Sure illustrates the boring winters we've been having.

http://www.komotv.com/asksteve/story.asp?ID=29479
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#5051 Postby R-Dub » Sun Apr 24, 2005 11:17 am

Had the Weather Channel on in the backround just now, and they said there were two strong tornados in the Yakima area. First I have heard of it, it is that time of the year though!
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TT-SEA

#5052 Postby TT-SEA » Sun Apr 24, 2005 11:30 am

Definitely that time of the year.

And more common in the flat areas to the east of the mountains.
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TT-SEA

#5053 Postby TT-SEA » Sun Apr 24, 2005 11:35 am

Must not have been that strong. No news locally on any tornadoes and even the Yakima news has it as a small story.

Sounds like some funnel clouds and if they did touch down there was no damage.

I remember funnel clouds (and water spouts) happening all the time in coastal Southern California. It is very common down there.
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#5054 Postby R-Dub » Sun Apr 24, 2005 11:41 am

Yeah I couldn't find much on those tornados either TT. I think TWC overreacted a little :roll: They had in bold letters on the screen "strong tornados hit Yakima WA" but no injurys when they were doing the piece.
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TT-SEA

#5055 Postby TT-SEA » Sun Apr 24, 2005 12:05 pm

Beautiful day outside right now.

Mostly sunny with a few puffy cumulus clouds and a temperature already up to 60 degrees here!! :D

Since you had no rain... it looks like you might be turning on the irrigation system this week Randy.
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TT-SEA

#5056 Postby TT-SEA » Sun Apr 24, 2005 12:30 pm

Lot of readings in the low and mid 60's around the Eastside (and its early).

Around 65 degrees at a couple stations in Bellevue.

Clouds will probably slow this down later. But still... its already pretty warm!!
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TT-SEA

#5057 Postby TT-SEA » Sun Apr 24, 2005 1:29 pm

Looks like a very dry week. Even at the end of the week with the flow at the upper levels straight from the north... we still have 850mb temperatures between 3-6C.

So that means even with this pattern we still low to mid 60's and sunshine. Nice!!

Image
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Guest

#5058 Postby Guest » Sun Apr 24, 2005 2:07 pm

TT, cualquier perdedor.. Usted es un 100% de chiste completo.. Y además, usted nunca dijo aún cuál ubicación usted hablaba acerca de cuando usted decía que todo esas cosas acerca de es 2-7 grados encima de o debajo de normal.. ¿Y hablaba usted acerca de alto y bajo combinado y promediado para un promedio diario o era usted haciendo el día alto? No suene convenciendo también..

Y para la semana próxima yo no pienso acerca de días fríos.. Dije.. ¿ALGUNAS NOCHES FRIAS ADELANTE? LEA O VUELVA el JARDIN DE LA INFANCIA USTED CAMISA de PLAD, JADEO FEO WEARIN, 2 DIA ASNO EQUIVOCADO FORECASTIN, la NEGACION CUANDO SU INJUSTICIA, no ADMITIRA CUANDO USTED LO SABE, la CARA FEA VERDE, ASNO de HAVIN *& #$%&@...

B*&%^ 2 Obtienen en mí en la PAZ de mornin.. Así que groupo largo de el de perdedor.

Try reading that and defend yourself ...hoyo de asno...
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TT-SEA

#5059 Postby TT-SEA » Sun Apr 24, 2005 2:26 pm

Stunning day outside.

64 degrees and sunny here. Should be close to 70 degrees out here in North Bend!!

I am glad its not gloomy and rainy with highs in the mid 50's!! :D



Looking back at some historical records... it is amazing how normal this month has been. I was surprised at the extremes we can see in April.

April of 2005 is about as normal as it gets!! 8-)
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TT-SEA

#5060 Postby TT-SEA » Sun Apr 24, 2005 2:50 pm

Heading out to the park for awhile.

Too beautiful to be inside.

My 4-year boys are in shorts, t-shirts, and sandals!!

When wife lets them dress like that... you know its nice!!
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