Impressive looking this early off Africa........

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Dean4Storms
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Impressive looking this early off Africa........

#1 Postby Dean4Storms » Tue May 10, 2005 8:39 pm

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#2 Postby cycloneye » Tue May 10, 2005 8:55 pm

Image

Nothing that looks like a closed circulation in that area but maybe a slight turning going on as the barbs show.This may be a new wave that may be introduced soon by TPC.

Image

Probably the convection will die as dry air is around but neverless interesting to say the least however dont get too excited about this developing.
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#3 Postby dixiebreeze » Tue May 10, 2005 11:49 pm

Wow -- and it's only May 10! :eek:
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#4 Postby george_r_1961 » Wed May 11, 2005 2:11 am

On the loop take a look to the north of the wave and you will see westerly winds. These westerlies have to go away before anything will develop down there. Also notice that the convection starts to fizzle as the waves move farther west, Shear and unfavorable SST's. The curtain has not risen on the Cape Verde show yet folks :roll:
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#5 Postby senorpepr » Wed May 11, 2005 2:50 am

Waves at this time of year aren't all uncommon. Shear, SSTs, and SAL are a huge factor this time of year for these waves.
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#6 Postby BayouVenteux » Wed May 11, 2005 10:02 am

Prohibitive SAL, SSTs, and shear values aside...it IS May and while the official start of hurricane season is only weeks away, the general latitude of convection coming off the African continent is still a few degrees too far south. That's why it's called the "Cape Verde" season, not the "Cape Palmas" season. :wink:

To those of us already watching exiting African waves, be patient. Late July and early August will be here before you know it and then the action will start to heat up.

I don't EVEN want to think about what September – the "Mean" :grrr: season – may hold.
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#7 Postby Dean4Storms » Wed May 11, 2005 5:20 pm

I agree and I didn't mean to imply that anything would develop down there this time of year. Still, some of these waves do look impressive and it is rather unusual to see that deep of convection to develop offshore. If this was even late June they would be impressive but still not likely to form.

If the convection is rolling off Africa with these waves like this come mid-July onward it will be another long season in my opinion.
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#8 Postby BayouVenteux » Wed May 11, 2005 5:22 pm

Dean4Storms wrote:If the convection is rolling off Africa with these waves like this come mid-July onward it will be another long season in my opinion.

Indeed!
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#9 Postby cycloneye » Thu May 12, 2005 8:58 am

As expected it poofed.When late july,august and september arrive then this part of the world will be the one to watch every day.
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