Hurricanealley.com update, Upper Texas Coast: 2005 High Risk

[HouTXmetro]

http://www.hurricanealley.net/Forecast/ ... _small.gif

The most recent data indicates that the upper Texas Coast is under a High Risk >70% to be struck by a Tropical Cyclone this season.

*Runs to stock up on supplies

But seriously, it appears that the Hurricane Alley was right on in there High Risk areas last year which did not include Texas last year and we were not hit.

[cycloneye]

It looks like the revised update from hurricane alley is more troublesome for Puerto Rico than the last update. And also the GOM will have more homegrown systems than 2004 and shows how active the Cape Verde season may be.

[Brent]

Crap. The coastline hit by Ivan is too...

[vbhoutex]

Looks like it could be a very interesting season for us GOMers!!! This coupled with Jeff's research certainly seems to be pointing towards that. Surely don't want it, but it does seem the patterns are trying to set up in such a way that this may be the case. As always with the tropics, time will tell.

[cycloneye]

Looks like it could be a very interesting season for us GOMers!!! This coupled with Jeff's research certainly seems to be pointing towards that. Surely don't want it, but it does seem the patterns are trying to set up in such a way that this may be the case. As always with the tropics, time will tell.

And David you see that they have 3 homegrown GOM systems apart than those which may get in from the caribbean so it looks like an active 2005 for the GOM so be prepared at Houston and all the coastal areas not only in Texas but all along the gulf coast.

[GalvestonDuck]

[southerngale]

lol duckie!

Why Upper Texas coast this year and not last year?

I'm just wondering what pattern seems to be setting up this year that wasn't there last year that would cause Texas to possibly get a storm.

[sunny]

YOU ARE A NUT!!!

But I'm not liking that map a whole lot.

[chadtm80]

The map dosen't say anything we dont already know guys and gals.. If you live in a coastal area.. Then you may get hit

[cycloneye]

The map dosen't say anything we dont already know guys and gals.. If you live in a coastal area.. Then you may get hit

Agree 100% chad.The important thing to do is to be prepared even if in the map you are at low risk and hope for the best in your area.

[Rainband]

I agree be prepared

[Agua]

The map dosen't say anything we dont already know guys and gals.. If you live in a coastal area.. Then you may get hit

That about sums it up.

[cajungal]

We are under the red here; too in southeast Louisiana. If I am not mistaken, we were under the red last year, and we did not get hit. Except by Matthew which was just a rain maker. I am not going to get nervous and worry about it right now. It is not written in stone that anything shaded in the red will get actually hit. I am just going to take the 2005 season day by day. Funny, though, how they got almost the whole entire Gulf Coast in the red, except for southwestern Louisiana?

[cycloneye]

:eek: We are under the red here; too in southeast Louisiana. If I am not mistaken, we were under the red last year, and we did not get hit. Except by Matthew which was just a rain maker. I am not going to get nervous and worry about it right now. It is not written in stone that anything shaded in the red will get actually hit. I am just going to take the 2005 season day by day.

Good thinking canjugal.It is the best thing to do.

[Huckster]

:eek: We are under the red here; too in southeast Louisiana. If I am not mistaken, we were under the red last year, and we did not get hit. Except by Matthew which was just a rain maker. I am not going to get nervous and worry about it right now. It is not written in stone that anything shaded in the red will get actually hit. I am just going to take the 2005 season day by day. Funny, though, how they got almost the whole entire Gulf Coast in the red, except for southwestern Louisiana?

Hurricanes don't know about climatology, but based on history, the southwestern part of Louisiana has not been struck nearly as often as the southcentral or southeast. I don't have all my numbers available right now, but the difference even in southwest Louisiana between Cameron Parish and Vermilion Parish is rather extreme. Vermilion Parish has only seen the eye of a hurricane cross it a few times since 1851 (most recently Lili and Danny of 1985), while Cameron Parish has had numerous hits.

[cajungal]

Yet, it only takes one. Hurricane Audrey hit around Cameron Parish. Us here in Southeast Louisiana have been extremly lucky over the years.

[rainstorm]

am i mistaken, or is that basically the areas that canes strike most often anyway?

[george_r_1961]

Could be. But Texas got zip last year. Maybe they wont be so lucky this year. I kinda agree with you Helen but what they are trying to do here is predict where the highest risks are. Remember also when coastal NC gets hit we here in SE VA often get hit too.

[Yankeegirl]

[Javlin]

The thing to remember here guys is that just because you are shaded in red does not mean a Cat2 or something of the sort is going to happen.It just means that a named system MAY impact that area this season.There track record seems decent lets see how it plays out.