It's Looking Alot Like Last Year across FL

#1 Postby **gatorcane** » Fri May 13, 2005 12:13 pm

The dominant E wind pattern that caused a dry South Florida pattern (wetter along the west coast) has begun across the FL peninsula as it did last year about this time. South Florida is seeing steady E winds at 15 Knots and dry conditions. Actually, this pattern is not typical for May. I've lived in FL for 20 years and the E wind dominance should not be this strong. I would expect to see some changes with Westerlies across the peninsula but there are none for the forseeable future. The ridge gets even stronger by next weekend. I'm afraid that we may yet again see the strong W. Atlantic ridge developing folks :eek:

#2 Postby **dixiebreeze** » Fri May 13, 2005 12:37 pm

You may be correct, boca_chris. Some of the Florida natives here say it is early for easterlies. Kind of nice, though.

#3 Postby **gatorcane** » Fri May 13, 2005 1:05 pm

Yeah, it's nice because it's keeping temperatures down along the East coast. Highs are in the lower 80s along the East coast where they should be higher than that this time of year. Seriously, I really think the pattern could be setting up like last year...I'm awaiting all of the arguments against my speculation but it's a bit early for such strong easterlies. :eek:

cyclonaut · #4 Postby **cyclonaut** » Fri May 13, 2005 1:22 pm

What a great day & breeze today here.Would love to hit the beach but cant for I cant shake a pesky cold I have had for a week now!

#5 Postby **gatorcane** » Fri May 13, 2005 5:32 pm

Seriously....how about how strong the Easterlies are for this time of year...reminds me ALOT of last year... :eek:

Does anybody else notice this? I strong believe May winds tell the story about the strength of the Bermuda high later in the summer which could mean higher chances of storms hitting FL from the east :eek:

wxwonder12 · #6 Postby **wxwonder12** » Fri May 13, 2005 5:43 pm

boca- chris... I have started my hurricane paryty already. Lots of Easterly winds at this point.

#7 Postby **gatorcane** » Fri May 13, 2005 5:52 pm

Yeah, get ready FL. It looks to me like we are going to see the ridging we saw last year with May telling the story already :eek:

cyclonaut · #8 Postby **cyclonaut** » Fri May 13, 2005 6:01 pm

If this system in the Caribbean causes huge problems for Haiti,DR & PR then it will seem disturbingly similar to last May.

In Miami it has already rained twice as much as last May however.

StormChasr · #9 Postby **StormChasr** » Fri May 13, 2005 6:12 pm

Yeah, get ready FL. It looks to me like we are going to see the ridging we saw last year with May telling the story already

7.5 trillion to one against a repeat, and he persists in the same story....lolol

#10 Postby **gatorcane** » Fri May 13, 2005 7:57 pm

No I we won't see the same as last year but I am expect a couple of major scares/hits for South Florida this year given how similar the pattern is looking to last year so far. I want to see how the rest of May pans out but the Easterlies are getting going just like last year around this time. Also the Caribbean/Haiti disturbance is very similar to last year :eek:

#11 Postby **gatorcane** » Fri May 13, 2005 8:21 pm

Just looked at winds across the FL peninsula tonight. All E between 10-20 knots even along the west coast....very unusual to have these winds people. Typically, the winds are variable in central and North FL in May, maybe a westerly component this time of year and South FL has SE winds maybe in the 10 Knot range. But the strong Easterlies are supposed to be at least all week... :eek:

#12 Postby **gatorcane** » Fri May 13, 2005 8:23 pm

StormChasr I will say that there is a 7.5 million to 1 chance Daytona will see a major hurricane from the East. They just don't get them that far north....you really need to be about Stuart/Ft. Pierce South.

#13 Postby **gatorcane** » Fri May 13, 2005 8:24 pm

Let me correct:

StormChasr I will say that there is a 7.5 million to 1 chance Daytona will NOT see a major hurricane from the East. They just don't get them that far north....you really need to be from about Stuart South.

StormChasr · #14 Postby **StormChasr** » Fri May 13, 2005 8:46 pm

StormChasr I will say that there is a 7.5 million to 1 chance Daytona will see a major hurricane from the East. They just don't get them that far north....you really need to be about Stuart/Ft. Pierce South.

Well, we got backended by Charley in 2004. Daytona/Ormond Beach saw sustained winds of 90 MPH, and gusts to 109. It was a rather strong cat 1, with some characteristics of a cat 2 in the small eyewall, upon exit over the Atlantic. Backenders aren't that unusual for Daytona area. Also, we had sustained 60-70 MPH winds for 48 hours from Frances. Many blue roofs are still here. Donna backended the Daytona area as a cat 2 in 1960, after hitting the Naples area as a strong 4, and crossing the state.

So, a hurricane is possible ANYWHERE. However, South Florida getting pounded repeatedly won't happen--oh there will be hurricanes hitting--possibly even this year--who knows.. But, a repeat of 2004 isn't in the cards. All it takes is ONE--remember, Andrew was in an El Nino year, with only 4 canes, and it was the most memorable '
'cane ever in Florida.

#15 Postby **gatorcane** » Fri May 13, 2005 8:49 pm

yeah stormchasr I agree. We won't see 4 hurricanes this year hit FL but I wouldn't be surprise if we see one major and maybe another one minor one...

boca · #16 Postby **boca** » Fri May 13, 2005 8:54 pm

It's going to be a long year, but I noticed 20mph 3 miles inland from the coast. Boca _Chris I hope your wrong with your speculations,but I think your right.My daughter is unfortunately at Boca Community Hospital with a acute ear infection, she is getting better and hopefully discharged on Sunday. I said to my son as we were in the parking lot its really blowing considering its only May.

#17 Postby **gatorcane** » Fri May 13, 2005 9:02 pm

BOCA MAN WHAT'S GOING ON! I WAS HOPING YOU WOULD BACK ME ON THIS! HOW ABOUT THE EASTERLIES? ALOT LIKE LAST YEAR ISN'T IT :eek:

SORRY ABOUT YOUR DAUGHTER'S EAR INFECTION. MY SISTER WOULD GET THOSE AND THEY ARE MISERABLE....

wxwonder12 · #18 Postby **wxwonder12** » Fri May 13, 2005 9:05 pm

boca chris you are right. Stand strong with your beliefs and don't let anyone tell you different. The East winds at this point are strong and I am saying it from W. Palm Beach.

#19 Postby **gatorcane** » Fri May 13, 2005 9:08 pm

thanks man...alot of people think I'm crazy but I really believe there is a correlation...they are strong and they are around all week...typically they aren't this strong...even along the west coast they are blowing E at 10-15....I was in the Tampa Bay area last year and it started about this time....it was weird because the west coast usually sees more westerlies in late spring and early summer. It takes until usually late July until the easterlies really pick up more along the West coast of FL.

boca · #20 Postby **boca** » Fri May 13, 2005 9:09 pm

Boca_Chris I got your back I just don't want another tree falling on my car in August. It's the same pattern as last year even though stormchasr is in denial.

It's Looking Alot Like Last Year across FL

It's Looking Alot Like Last Year across FL

i AGREE

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