Closeup loop of caribbean

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cycloneye
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Closeup loop of caribbean

#1 Postby cycloneye » Fri May 13, 2005 12:00 pm

http://atmos.uprm.edu:8080/imageloop.jsp?set=gevis

http://atmos.uprm.edu:8080/imageloop.jsp?set=geir

You can see clearly a turning in the clouds in the west side of the convection.But so far no LLC is seen only a mid level one.And the 30-40 kt upper shear is also seen there.But nothing that looks like any imminent development.However if this area persists for another 48 hours then a more closer look to will be in order but anyway the main factor against development will be the shear.
Last edited by cycloneye on Fri May 13, 2005 12:37 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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gatorcane
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#2 Postby gatorcane » Fri May 13, 2005 12:01 pm

it's already been there for 3+ days now, see no reason why it won't be there tomorrow. :eek:
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#3 Postby vacanechaser » Fri May 13, 2005 12:32 pm

boca_chris wrote:it's already been there for 3+ days now, see no reason why it won't be there tomorrow. :eek:


It could be there a week from tomorrow, but with that kind of shear over it, forget about it.... Just will not happen.. You can see the colder cloud tops already fading and being pushed off to the east... We may not see anything until late June... Just my thoughts..

Jesse V. Bass III
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#4 Postby boca » Fri May 13, 2005 9:31 pm

looks like the system is shearing to the east.Great sat site Cycloneye.
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Rainband

#5 Postby Rainband » Fri May 13, 2005 9:52 pm

shear from all sides
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#6 Postby gatorcane » Fri May 13, 2005 9:52 pm

way too much shear....
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#7 Postby smerby » Fri May 13, 2005 10:10 pm

Although tropical development will be very difficult for this feature due to shear it may be a flood producer across the northern Caribbean. Last year was a disaster in Haiti from what could be a similar feature.

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#8 Postby gatorcane » Fri May 13, 2005 10:11 pm

exactly smerby...it's eerily similar to last year.... :eek:
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Josephine96

#9 Postby Josephine96 » Fri May 13, 2005 10:34 pm

Wind shear too great= No system.. Oh well.. the blob watch is on lol
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Rainband

#10 Postby Rainband » Fri May 13, 2005 10:57 pm

smerby wrote:Although tropical development will be very difficult for this feature due to shear it may be a flood producer across the northern Caribbean. Last year was a disaster in Haiti from what could be a similar feature.

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agreed and we know what happened with jeanne
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#11 Postby tailgater » Sat May 14, 2005 1:26 am

It'll be there in the morn again, the shear has been there all week it's probaly helping the convention flare up then tears the tops off.
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