No El Nino, but what about El Cross-Over?

[hurricanetrack]

Just by looking at the animation of the surface map on the 18Z GFS- one could surmise that there is at least a POSSIBILITY that there could be some development in the East-Pac spilling over in to the Atlantic (Basin).

Indeed a nice low pressure area develops in the East-Pac and then moves clean across Central America- to emerge in the NW Caribbean before scooting just south of Florida- via Cuba.

So- in 2003 we had ANA in April.
In 2004 we had the "March Hurricane"
Will 2005 bring us El-Cross-Over? If so, then Adrian will become Arlene? Yes? We'll see....this one really could be interesting.

[HurricaneBill]

The only EPAC storm I know of to cross from the EPAC to the Atlantic was Hurricane Cosme in 1989. Cosme became Tropical Storm Allison.

[cyclonaut]

Would'nt it be something if on top of keeping an eye out on the Atl,GOM & Caribbean we also had to watch the EPAC for frequent crossoverers.

[StormChasr]

Long shot

[Javlin]

You might right Stormchaser but it did happen in 49 and 89.All the models are coming to the same concenus for a change so not out of the realm of possibility http://moe.met.fsu.edu/tcgengifs/
If also the Subtropical jet starts to migrate N before long and the SST's in the part of the Carib well within range for support.Lets look at it later on the week and see if there all on the same page.