South Florida Nearly In the 5 day Cone of Uncertainty

[gatorcane]

this better not decide to hit South Florida...even as a tropical storm or depression...I would say it would put people on edge in Florida to start the season

[cyclonaut]

Well if it were to bring lots of May rain to South Fla & would mean no hurricanes for later on.

[Rainband]

Well if it were to bring lots of May rain to South Fla & would mean no hurricanes for later on.

rotflmao

[gatorcane]

yes, 1E may save FL from Atlantic hurricanes the rest of the year! lol. If it were only that simple. Actually, I'm not sure how this theory holds with rain from an EPAC storm....

[jlauderdal]

this better not decide to hit South Florida...even as a tropical storm or depression...I would say it would put people on edge in Florida to start the season

I say we could use the rain. Also, putting people on edge in sofla might be a good thing after another season of near misses..you think people were apathatic before, wait until this season gets going.

[Ground_Zero_92]

The news stations here are already all over it and it's not even in the carribean yet. If this system strengthens quick (as it could) then holds together as it crosses over (or changes genders as some have pointed out) you will really see people on edge in about 3 days down here.

This is even more true since most of the stations are really making a point of stressing the cone of probabilites and not a cone with stress on a center line like they did last year. I guess Charley taught everyone a lot. Anyway, if you look at the "cone", South Florida is already in it.

I just hope it fizzles.

[DoctorHurricane2003]

I think it really depends...

If the EPAC storm comes from the SW into FL, then that falls under less likely FL landfalls, because a trough is pushing back the high.

If the EPAC storm comes from the SW, but stalls and turns west into FL, that would qualify as more likely FL landfalls because the Bermuda High is steering it into FL.

[gatorcane]

Any chance that a ridge builds of the eastern seaboard 7+ days out that would cause it to not move E and NE out into the Atlantic. I know we are looking far out here but I'm not quite sure if it will head in it's projected directions 7+ days out...

[dhweather]

It's not going to "hit" Florida.

Y'alls turn comes later in the year!

[Ground_Zero_92]

I think it is way to early to say this system is going to hit or not hit a certain area, especially when we are talking about a system that is at least 3-5 days out.

[Rainband]

I think it is way to early to say this system is going to hit or not hit a certain area, especially when we are talking about a system that is at least 3-5 days out.

Very good chance it won't hit Florida.

[Ground_Zero_92]

I think it is way to early to say this system is going to hit or not hit a certain area, especially when we are talking about a system that is at least 3-5 days out.

Very good chance it won't hit Florida.

I completely agree that the probability of this system "hitting" florida is slim to none. That said, how does the rule go? I think it's something like never sound the all clear until the system is past you latitude. That was more my point.

[DoctorHurricane2003]

I agree Jonathan, but it truly IS way too far out to know for sure...many variables, including a slower, steeper front or stalling and Bermuda High blocking could send it towards FL. Even if it did hit FL, however, it would most likely only be a depression or a weak storm.

[Scorpion]

Wow, it would be so interesting if it actually affected Florida in some way. I mean, its May and we're already talking about possible scenarios. Can't wait until the heart of the season. Sure gonna be crazy.

[gatorcane]

I wouldn't rule out anything if it makes it into the Caribbean in tact....I wouldn't be surprised if it gets blocked 5+ days out by some ridging in the Atlantic and maybe even stalls just northeast of Cuba....that would bring alot of moisture into Southern Florida around the traditionally wetter Northern part of the storm.

[feederband]

I think it is way to early to say this system is going to hit or not hit a certain area, especially when we are talking about a system that is at least 3-5 days out.

Very good chance it won't hit Florida.

Yet who in here would of thought we would even be discussing the possibilty?

[skysummit]

Yet who in here would of thought we would even be discussing the possibilty?

That's what I was juuuuuust thinking!

[jabber]

I have a feeling this is going to be a long season....

[boca]

It will be along season and this E Pacific storm will slide well South of Florida and will be a nonissue at least for this particular storm.

[gatorcane]

if storms are managing to get into the Atlantic from the Pacific that is not a good sign is it...but who knows....maybe this will be the only action we'll see until later on in August/Sept...I doubt that though...