Accuracy of the Hurricane models In Predicting Adrianne

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gatorcane
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Accuracy of the Hurricane models In Predicting Adrianne

#1 Postby gatorcane » Tue May 17, 2005 9:53 pm

I'm wondering if the hurricane models will have any trouble in forecasting the path and intensity with this very unusual situation...??? It could be a good test for them. Thoughts and comments welcome...
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#2 Postby feederband » Tue May 17, 2005 9:57 pm

I just hope I wake up from this weird dream..... :roll:
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#3 Postby boca » Tue May 17, 2005 10:05 pm

I think this time the models will have a good handle on it because especially this time of year if you look from Adrian and follow the upper cloud movement to the NE of the system you can usually see which way the system will go.
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#4 Postby gatorcane » Tue May 17, 2005 10:08 pm

funny boca that the upper clouds that we see over South Florida right now are from the storm :eek:
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#5 Postby Derecho » Tue May 17, 2005 11:39 pm

The models forecast the formation of this system well before it formed. And the motion it has now, even before it formed.

And the tracks from the reputable models fall within a very narrow range, as these things go.

May well turn out to be an unusually predictable system, trackwise.
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#6 Postby depotoo » Tue May 17, 2005 11:46 pm

seems so incredible, doesn't it??? who would have thunk it, huh? lol :eek:
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