Recon Reports Here,New Vortex=984 mbs,83kts N Quad

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cycloneye
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Recon Reports Here,New Vortex=984 mbs,83kts N Quad

#1 Postby cycloneye » Wed May 18, 2005 12:11 pm

000
NOUS42 KNHC 181600
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1200 PM EDT WED 18 MAY 2005
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 19/1100Z TO 20/1100Z MAY 2005
TCPOD NUMBER.....05-001

I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY: PSBL LOW LEVEL INVEST ON REMNENTS
OF TS ADRIAN NEAR 16N AND 86.5W AT 20/2000Z, ALSO PSBL GIV
MISSION CENTERED AROUND 21/0000Z.

II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. TROPICAL STORM ADRIAN
FLIGHT ONE
A. 19/1700Z
B. AFXXX 0101E ADRIAN
C. 19/1130Z
D. 13.0N 90.5W
E. 19/1600Z TO 20/0000Z
F. SFC TO 10,000FT
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAREPRPD.shtml?

They will fly in the pacific side as well when it enters the Caribbean starting the missions tommorow at 1:00 PM EDT flying over Adrian.
Last edited by cycloneye on Thu May 19, 2005 2:09 pm, edited 8 times in total.
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#2 Postby dhweather » Wed May 18, 2005 12:18 pm

Cool! It will be nice for the data!!
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#3 Postby x-y-no » Wed May 18, 2005 12:19 pm

Good deal. I do think it calls for it.

Jan
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#4 Postby cycloneye » Wed May 18, 2005 12:35 pm

dhweather wrote:Cool! It will be nice for the data!!


I would liked for them to go from this afternoon.
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#5 Postby dhweather » Wed May 18, 2005 12:44 pm

With the last few hours of images showing much better organization,
a flight now would be nice.
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#6 Postby skysummit » Wed May 18, 2005 12:44 pm

They may just re-schedule?
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#7 Postby dhweather » Wed May 18, 2005 12:45 pm

skysummit wrote:They may just re-schedule?


I doubt it - they'll wait.
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#8 Postby x-y-no » Wed May 18, 2005 12:47 pm

It takes time to get a flight organized. I doubt they can move it up any earlier than they already have it.
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#9 Postby Brett Adair » Wed May 18, 2005 12:49 pm

I believe that RECON will deem this thing a hurricane later this afternoon if it isn't done before then.
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#10 Postby sponger » Wed May 18, 2005 12:51 pm

Definately looking impressive this afternoon! I dont think a cat 2 by land fall is out of the question. Either way, the flooding will be terrible!
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#11 Postby cyclonaut » Wed May 18, 2005 1:17 pm

dhweather wrote:With the last few hours of images showing much better organization,
a flight now would be nice.

Agree 100%
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#12 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Wed May 18, 2005 1:18 pm

Remember the strong is is. Then the faster it moves the better chance it has of making it.
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#13 Postby cycloneye » Thu May 19, 2005 6:10 am

Well today they will fly into Adrian so let's see what they find later this afternoon at around 1:00 PM EDT.
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#14 Postby cycloneye » Thu May 19, 2005 7:30 am

The mission has left Biloxi base.It will be close to the storm around 1:00 PM EDT so stay tuned.

269
URNT11 KNHC 191235
97779 12334 50287 89100 76200 33010 76//1 /5750
RMK AF302 0101E ADRIAN OB 01
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#15 Postby gatorcane » Thu May 19, 2005 7:52 am

also if it stays on the northern side of the code there is less land...
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#16 Postby HURAKAN » Thu May 19, 2005 8:41 am

It would be cool to see if the RECON can find an stronger system, it doesn't look like a hurricane right now but it could be a stronger system as indicated by Dvorak that now classifies the storm as 3.5.
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#17 Postby cycloneye » Thu May 19, 2005 9:45 am

HURAKAN wrote:It would be cool to see if the RECON can find an stronger system, it doesn't look like a hurricane right now but it could be a stronger system as indicated by Dvorak that now classifies the storm as 3.5.


Agree.
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#18 Postby dhweather » Thu May 19, 2005 9:50 am

The warm sun is providing fuel, so the morning will interesting to watch
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#19 Postby cycloneye » Thu May 19, 2005 9:54 am

The recon mission this afternoon will tell the truth about how strong Adrian is so let's not expeculate if it is a hurricane now as the recon will provide the answer.
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#20 Postby gatorcane » Thu May 19, 2005 10:04 am

okay, looking forward to the recon data. ..
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