SPECIAL UPDATE: HURRICANE ADRIAN OFFICIAL

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Stormtrack03
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SPECIAL UPDATE: HURRICANE ADRIAN OFFICIAL

#1 Postby Stormtrack03 » Thu May 19, 2005 12:28 pm

http://asp1.sbs.ohio-state.edu/text/tro ... TPZ61.KNHC

209
WTPZ61 KNHC 191721
TCUEP1
ZCZC MIATCUEP1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE ADRIAN TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATE NUMBER 1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1015 AM PDT THU MAY 19 2005

DATA FROM AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT
ADRIAN HAS REACHED HURRICANE STRENGTH AND A SPECIAL ADVISORY ON
HURRICANE ADRIAN WILL BE ISSUED SHORTLY.

FORECASTER AVILA/KNABB
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#2 Postby dhweather » Thu May 19, 2005 12:29 pm

Boom - we're off to the races
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#3 Postby Stormtrack03 » Thu May 19, 2005 12:29 pm

dhweather wrote:Boom - we're off to the races


Indeed! 8-)
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#4 Postby depotoo » Thu May 19, 2005 12:31 pm

incredible! anyone think it will have a better chance of holding together in the crossover now?
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#5 Postby Stormtrack03 » Thu May 19, 2005 12:32 pm

depotoo wrote:incredible! anyone think it will have a better chance of holding together in the crossover now?


I believe it has a much better chance now, just depends on how fast it crosses over now.
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#6 Postby tracyswfla » Thu May 19, 2005 12:32 pm

here we go!
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#7 Postby dhweather » Thu May 19, 2005 12:33 pm

depotoo wrote:incredible! anyone think it will have a better chance of holding together in the crossover now?


I think that depends on the speed in which it crosses over.
The more time over land, in that terrian, the core will be torn up.

I'm surprised at the recon data being so strong - "excellent radar presentation"
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#8 Postby msbee » Thu May 19, 2005 12:33 pm

I still think those Central American mountains will tear it apart but it does depend on its speed
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#9 Postby Wpwxguy » Thu May 19, 2005 12:34 pm

Hurricane Adrian............Bamm! Adrian is pretty impressive on satellite.
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#10 Postby depotoo » Thu May 19, 2005 12:34 pm

well - if you stop the loops on the very last frame you can almost see it. think it has been peeking in and out all morning. just my opinion form my obs.
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#11 Postby soonertwister » Thu May 19, 2005 12:42 pm

Don't want to brag (OK, I do) but last night I predicted hurricane force winds for the 11 am PDT advisory... :D
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#12 Postby dixiebreeze » Thu May 19, 2005 12:53 pm

soonertwister wrote:Don't want to brag (OK, I do) but last night I predicted hurricane force winds for the 11 am PDT advisory... :D


Oh, go ahead and brag sooner -- credit where credit is due. :D
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#13 Postby dhweather » Thu May 19, 2005 12:54 pm

I guessed by 5 today! lol
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#14 Postby Stormtrack03 » Thu May 19, 2005 12:58 pm

soonertwister wrote:Don't want to brag (OK, I do) but last night I predicted hurricane force winds for the 11 am PDT advisory... :D



You made a good guess :).
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#15 Postby dhweather » Thu May 19, 2005 1:00 pm

Everyone will be in awe of me whrn this thing is a cat 5 headed to North Carolina! HA HA!
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#16 Postby GalvestonDuck » Thu May 19, 2005 1:10 pm

dhweather wrote:Everyone will be in awe of me whrn this thing is a cat 5 headed to North Carolina! HA HA!


Ever try crow?
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#17 Postby HurryKane » Thu May 19, 2005 1:12 pm

GalvestonDuck wrote:
dhweather wrote:Everyone will be in awe of me whrn this thing is a cat 5 headed to North Carolina! HA HA!


Ever try crow?


Does it come in pizza form?
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#18 Postby wxman57 » Thu May 19, 2005 1:19 pm

msbee wrote:I still think those Central American mountains will tear it apart but it does depend on its speed


I agree. It's a relatively small hurricane and there are a lot of mountains in Guatemala and wesern Honduras. I doubt it'll be more than an area of thunderstorms when it emerges into the Caribbean. And conditions in the Caribbean won't be THAT favorable for development.
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#19 Postby Stormtrack03 » Thu May 19, 2005 1:20 pm

wxman57 wrote:
msbee wrote:I still think those Central American mountains will tear it apart but it does depend on its speed


I agree. It's a relatively small hurricane and there are a lot of mountains in Guatemala and wesern Honduras. I doubt it'll be more than an area of thunderstorms when it emerges into the Caribbean. And conditions in the Caribbean won't be THAT favorable for development.



Interesting analysis.
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#20 Postby soonertwister » Thu May 19, 2005 1:51 pm

Here's an odd statement for you regarding Adrian...

The storm's winds are currently circulating counter-clockwise. WESH 2 chief meteorologist Dave Marsh said if the winds continue to circulate in that direction after it crosses Central America, the system will keep the name Adrian.


Huh?

http://newscenter.ninn.org/modules.php? ... &sid=10632
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