GIV Recon

[Steve Cosby]

According to the TCPOD, there will be a possible GIV flight around the remnants of Adrian.

NOUS42 KNHC 191530
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1130 AM EDT THU 19 MAY 2005
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 20/1100Z TO 21/1100Z MAY 2005
TCPOD NUMBER.....05-002
<snip>
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY: PSBL MISSION ON REMNENTS
OF TS ADRIAN NEAR 22.5N AND 76.5W AT 22/1200Z, ALSO PSBL GIV
MISSION CENTERED AROUND 22/0000Z.

Given the way the upper air pattern is so distinct on satellite imagery, do you all think expending GIV resources this early is worth it?

[cycloneye]

Well they say possible so they may well cancel the mission.But being the synoptic pattern as it is now I think and is IMO not the best thing to do as there will be no threat to the US from what may be left as the upper pattern will steer it out to sea and become extratropical.

[TropicalWXMA]

Maybe. it all depends on how it gets through C. A. and how persisitant the shear stays... It will be very interesting...

[dhweather]

Since this storm is a bigtime first (first to hit El Salvador) and only the
fifth to make the crossover, why not let the GIV go?

The season could turn out to be a dud, so get data while you can!

[Steve Cosby]

Since this storm is a bigtime first (first to hit El Salvador) and only the
fifth to make the crossover, why not let the GIV go?

The season could turn out to be a dud, so get data while you can!

Well, I agree to a point - government operations and budgets being what they are, it would still seem to be better to err on the side of caution under the presumption that the predictions are correct and the season turns out be quite active.