Doubt Adrian hold together....

[MGC]

The mountains in Central America are going to disrupt Adrian's circulation to the point where I believe it will be a very weak system when it emerges into the Carb Sea. Adrian looks to be a rather small system which also lessens the odds of making it across. Adrian looks to be making a push for hurricane status this morning. Adrian looks to have taken a more northerly track and this might increase the risk to S Fla......MGC

[dhweather]

I think the further North it goes, the quicker it gets caught up in
the westerlies, and accelerates East. I still think Florida is all
clear for the remnants.

[depotoo]

mgc - wasn't charlie small though as well? does that necessarily mean that it can't make it across? is it because of the intensity?

[cyclonaut]

If it was small but powerful with a favorable enviroment downstream & moving fast enough it could survive & emerge in tact & could restrengthen.

In Adrian's case it is relatively small,not all that powerful & upper level conditions will not be favorable down stream so Adrian's days are pretty much numbered once it hits land.

[depotoo]

thanks cyclonaut

[MGC]

NHC issued last advisory this morning. Seems the mountains did their work. Odds are low that regeneration occurs....MGC

[StormChasr]

Guess that South Florida contingent can get some sleep (at least for this week).

[mobilebay]

Guess that South Florida contingent can get some sleep (at least for this week).

And that is one LARGE contingent. Every storm has a chance to hit South Florida.