When will the 1st Atlantic storm form..?

Josephine96 · #1 Postby **Josephine96** » Sat May 21, 2005 8:49 am

Ok guys..

Not necessarily a poll here.. But when will Arlene become our 1st named storm..

I'm gonna go out on a limb and say mid to late June..

Scorpion · #2 Postby **Scorpion** » Sat May 21, 2005 8:51 am

Mid-Late July or early August.

Josephine96 · #3 Postby **Josephine96** » Sat May 21, 2005 8:54 am

Think it'll be that long Scorpion.. Maybe it will..

I'm interested to see what working at Wal Mart would be like if we have a hurricane bearing down on us lol

#4 Postby **Hurricanehink** » Sat May 21, 2005 9:34 am

I would guess a minor TS around June 18th, with the first real one forming July 28th.

cajungal · #5 Postby **cajungal** » Sat May 21, 2005 9:58 am

Probably last week of June. Just hope Arlene does not form anywheres in the Gulf. Because the last week of June is my birthday. (June 25th) Audrey formed on June 25th. Luckily, many, many years before I was born. My friend got stuck with Tropical Storm Bill on her birthday 2 years ago. And hers in only 5 days after mine. (June 30th)

krysof · #6 Postby **krysof** » Sat May 21, 2005 10:01 am

mid August

#7 Postby **gatorcane** » Sat May 21, 2005 10:05 am

It's hard to find anywhere in the Atlantic right nowwhere the shear is not going to rip apart anything that tries to develop...but in one month from now things should be different. I will say Arlene will form in June down in the NW or southern Caribbean...it will get picked up by these strong troughs that keep digging way south and be a minimal TS that hits somehwere in the GOM or Florida.

Scorpion · #8 Postby **Scorpion** » Sat May 21, 2005 10:06 am

Usually in May or June conditions simply aren't favorable. July should see the shear decrease drastically.

yoda · #9 Postby **yoda** » Sat May 21, 2005 10:07 am

Probably not until late June at the earliest...

canegrl04 · #10 Postby **canegrl04** » Sat May 21, 2005 10:37 am

I'm gonna say mid June

krysof · #11 Postby **krysof** » Sat May 21, 2005 10:58 am

maybe there will be an explosion of storms from mid August through September into early October.

iceangel · #12 Postby **iceangel** » Sat May 21, 2005 11:48 am

cajungal wrote:Probably last week of June. Just hope Arlene does not form anywheres in the Gulf. Because the last week of June is my birthday. (June 25th) Audrey formed on June 25th. Luckily, many, many years before I was born. My friend got stuck with Tropical Storm Bill on her birthday 2 years ago. And hers in only 5 days after mine. (June 30th)

It seems that lately, that the First few tropical threats are in the western Carribean, the BOC or Southern Gulf Of Mexico and threaten somewhere in the vicinity of Browsnsville, Texas! So I'll take a guess and say early to mid june!

Anonymous · #13 Postby **Anonymous** » Sat May 21, 2005 12:08 pm

Mid-Late June.

krisj · #14 Postby **krisj** » Sat May 21, 2005 2:16 pm

July 1st.

Matt-hurricanewatcher · #15 Postby **Matt-hurricanewatcher** » Sat May 21, 2005 2:23 pm

This is all that needs to be said. The unnamed subtropical storm. Say what you went.

http://www.weathermatrix.net/tropical/2 ... savsc_.gif

cyclonaut · #16 Postby **cyclonaut** » Sat May 21, 2005 2:42 pm

I think the Atlantic south of 20N & between 40 & 60W is primed for some earlyish development.

I'd say late June - early July.

#17 Postby **gatorcane** » Sat May 21, 2005 5:18 pm

We need something this board is ancy...and there's nothing to talk about in the Atlantic or EPAC :roll:

TS Zack · #18 Postby **TS Zack** » Sat May 21, 2005 5:36 pm

Late June, Earl July...Tropical Storm, don't think we could get a Hurricane yet.

#19 Postby **cycloneye** » Sat May 21, 2005 5:52 pm

July 6th.

kmanWX · #20 Postby **kmanWX** » Sat May 21, 2005 6:02 pm

Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:This is all that needs to be said. The unnamed subtropical storm. Say what you went.

http://www.weathermatrix.net/tropical/2 ... savsc_.gif

and??

When will the 1st Atlantic storm form..?

When will the 1st Atlantic storm form..?

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