Dry Maybut no Bermuda high for Florida

[boca]

Any one have any guesses on past history of relatively dry May and no Bermuda high present.I think we'll have alot more poleward systems rather than westerly moving systems if in fact the pattern doesn't change by late July or August. I have a gut feeling its just taking a little longer for the summer pattern to go into full swing.

[x-y-no]

Well, my bet is the pattern changes by late July/August.

Jan

[cyclonaut]

You don't really need a Bermuda High to have relatively dry conditions down here..In May we have'nt really reached the true rainy season yet & the fronts that do make it usually fall apart before getting here so we dont get much rain.

It hasn't been a drastically dry month IMO,@ least here where I live,I've seen some moderate showers the last few days & last evening it rained lightly for about 30 minutes.It has been pretty average in rainfall here @ my house but you cane drive 10 miles north or south & it has been quite a bit drier.

[Steve H.]

To say the Bermuda high is gone is just plain wrong. x-y-no hit it on the head, and that's what worries me. I think that a pattern reversal is coming in the next 30 days whereby the anomalously strong troughs hanging in the east will pull out, leaving the Caribbean, GOM and southeast at the mercy of any systems that develop. Not that I wish a storm on anyone, but I pray they stay clear of me this year

[chris_fit]

Steve H!!!

I live in Palm Bay Florida too!!

cool

[gatorcane]

I had no idea where/what Palm Bay was until a couple of weeks ago where I met somebody from there. Palm Bay is all of like 10 people and 1 traffic light I've heard....so I'm surprised you already don't know each other

[gatorcane]

boca, about the Bermuda High I bring up two points....

1) We can't say for sure what/where it will be come August/September using May
2) We shouldn't concentrate so much on it, there are other ways FL gets hit.

I will say that May this year is not like last year where we saw deep E winds from a Bermuda-high like feature already. We only saw this "ridging" for a string of days in mid May and that was it. Now it looks like the westerlies are dominating the rest of the month and we continue to have troughs move down the peninsula (remember though we had strong troughs last year all the way through July which caused Charley to hit the west coast of FL). So the speculation is that it is possible that the
Bermuda High feature won't be as strong this year as last year. Thus, the chances of Atlantic Hurricanes hitting FL may be less but the possibility is still there. It's all based on timing.

Nonetheless, I come to the second point. If the Bermuda High isn't as strong, that does not preclude the imminent possibility of Florida being hit from the GOM and Caribbean. In fact, if you look at historical tracks, South Florida gets hit just as much by the Caribbean and GOM than the Atlantic. Just because a hurricane comes in from the South and West and hits Southeast FL from that direction doesn't mean that Southeast FL be spared. If a major hurricane came up from the south and west and crossed over the everglades into Southeast FL there would be catastrophic
damge. The everglades won't weaken a storm that much trust me...

[StormChasr]

AARRGGGGHHHH <buries head under pillow.> Stop with the Bermuda High, pease. It is like listening to Wayne Newton records over and over again. :)

[cinlfla]

Palm Bay is all of like 10 people and 1 traffic light I've heard....

Wrong!!!!!

[Anonymous]

AARRGGGGHHHH <buries head under pillow.> Stop with the Bermuda High, pease. It is like listening to Wayne Newton records over and over again. :)

It makes a big difference if IVAN goes to New Orleans or Florida. Or if Frances goes to sea or East Coast.

[gatorcane]

Through 330 PM...isolated showers or thunderstorms will continue to develop along the sea breeze across Palm Beach and Broward counties. These showers or storms will drift slowly southeast and affect communities from caloosa through Delray Beach and to Pompano Beach.

This is what happens in South Florida during May when there is not a strong E windflow...storms develop in the Everglades off of the west coast/east coast seabreeze convergence and move out into the Atlantic...

plenty of rain around this year

[boca]

Hey Stormchasr I have Wayne Newton's collection don't make fun of my buddy, only kidding I hate country music.

[Steve H.]

Well, when I first got here in '87 there might have been only a few traffic lights in Palm Bay, but now the population is around 650,000. I think you're referring to Holopaw, Boca; near St. Cloud. BTW, I hear people living in Boca don't even own up to it anymore....they say they're from Delray Beach LOL. Hey Chris, do you go to Florida Tech or one of the local schools?

[gatorcane]

I graduated with Honors from the University of Florida. Go Gators!

[gatorcane]

yeah, boca raton is full of a bunch of snobs...so most people like to say they live in Delray or else you get the stereotype. lol.

[Steve H.]

Yeah, that's the way alt of the south Florida areas are. Though my daughter goes to the other school in Tallahassee

[Bocadude85]

HEY! Im proud to say I live in Boca

[StormChasr]

I graduated with Honors from the University of Florida. Go Gators!

HISSSSSS!!! BARRRRKKKK!! Got my Ph.D from the University of Georgia. Go Dawgs, and BITE those Gators.

[gatorcane]

stormchasr, just another reason for us to dislike each other

[HURRICANELONNY]

The pattern is different then it was last May. In fact the upper air winds down here in S FL. have been from the west and are suppose to stay in place most of this week. Complimentary of a monster low spinning in the NE. I hope the trend continues this season as I had enough landfalls down here.