Best Wave Signature so far in 2005

[cycloneye]

NEW TROPICAL WAVE INTRODUCED ALONG THE AFRICAN COAST NEAR 17W
MOVING W 10-15 KT. THIS WAVE IS EXHIBITING PROBABLY THE BEST
SIGNATURE SO FAR THIS SEASON...WITH A CIRCULATION PRIMARILY IN
THE MID LEVELS ROLLING W OF SENEGAL AND GUINEA-BISSAU. BOTH THE
BAMAKO AND DAKAR UPPER AIR SOUNDINGS INDICATE THAT THE WAVE IS
ABOVE 850 MB AND DOES NOT REACH THE SFC AT THE MOMENT. ALTHOUGH
WIDESPREAD CLOUDINESS IS LOCATED BETWEEN AFRICA AND THE CAPE
VERDE ISLANDS...ALL DEEP CONVECTION IS ALONG THE ITCZ.




http://weather.noaa.gov/weather/current/GOOY.html

Senegal observations show some lower pressures as wave passed that country.And quickScat shows nothing that resembles a low level circulation but only a mid level one.

But the bottomline is that no tropical development is expected as there is a big trough in the eastern atlantic which cause the enviroment to not be favorable as shear is too strong there.But the time will come later in the next 3 months when the gates of the Cape Verde season will open.



I made this thread to have something to talk about days before the season start.

[dixiebreeze]

LOL Cycloneye -- nice little wave.

[gatorcane]

That trough should be getting replaced soon. Most of the models (GFS, CMC, UKMET, NOGAPS) predict a massive ridge building into a large portion of the atlantic.

[url]
http://moe.met.fsu.edu/tcgengifs/
[/url]

[cycloneye]

That trough should be getting replaced soon. Most of the models (GFS, CMC, UKMET, NOGAPS) predict a massive ridge building into a large portion of the atlantic.

[url]
http://moe.met.fsu.edu/tcgengifs/
[/url]

Yes the azores high will be fairly strong and take control of the eastern atlantic by next week.

[HURAKAN]

The Azores High should continue over the next 6 months or more, the Bermuda High had a busy 2004, now it should take a vacation and give the key to the Azores High.

[dhweather]

Way too early to say, but the GFS appears to lean towards a ridge building in behind the noreaster off of New England. Granted, this ridge is much weaker than what is building in the Azores.

We'll have a lot to watch next week!

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/gfstc2.c ... =Animation

[gatorcane]

Just saw an infrared loop of the Cape Verde area. I see the mid-level spin you are talking about....looking pretty nice for late May out there

[boca]

I see what your talking about cool for May.

[cycloneye]

EAST ATLANTIC TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 22W S OF 14N MOVING W 10 KT.
THE LAST FEW VISIBLE IMAGES FROM MET-8 SHOWED A WEAK CIRCULATION
ALONG THE ITCZ ABOUT ALMOST 500 NM SSE OF THE CAPE VERDE
ISLANDS. DEEP CONVECTION IS ALIGNED PRIMARILY ALONG THE
ITCZ...BUT MID-LEVEL CLOUDINESS IS CURLING WWD AROUND THE WAVE
AXIS FROM 10N TO THE SRN CAPE VERDES.

The above is from the 8:05 PM EDT discussion

At least this wave is hanging there wth a good signature and convection has persisted for over 48 hours but nothing that will develop from it as very hostil conditions prevail in the eastern atlantic.

[gatorcane]

any possibility that this wave can move into a more favorable environment within the next few days as the Azores High will build in as some of the models are predicting within the next 3-5 day?

[tailgater]

bump