Is the WPAC more slower than normal in 2005?

[cycloneye]

I haved seen this year that the WPAC season has been slower than other seasons for being late May.Kulap,Roke and Sonca haved been the only named systems in the Western Pacific so far.I remember seeing typhoons much more early by March in past years.Those who have more knowledge about the WPAC can replie as I dont look too much at that part of the world.

[senorpepr]

I haved seen this year that the WPAC season has been slower than other seasons for being late May.Kulap,Roke and Sonca haved been the only named systems in the Western Pacific so far.I remember seeing typhoons much more early by March in past years.Those who have more knowledge about the WPAC can replie as I dont look too much at that part of the world.

Mike Watkins was asking me the same question the other night on the Talkin' Tropics program when I was doing the Worldwide Tropical Update.

According to the data I have from a military tropical forecasting book, by the end of May, 3.5 named storms is what is considered normal. We're really not too far behind normal with three so far this year...


-Mike

[cycloneye]

I haved seen this year that the WPAC season has been slower than other seasons for being late May.Kulap,Roke and Sonca haved been the only named systems in the Western Pacific so far.I remember seeing typhoons much more early by March in past years.Those who have more knowledge about the WPAC can replie as I dont look too much at that part of the world.

Mike Watkins was asking me the same question the other night on the Talkin' Tropics program when I was doing the Worldwide Tropical Update.

According to the data I have from a military tropical forecasting book, by the end of May, 3.5 named storms is what is considered normal. We're really not too far behind normal with three so far this year...


-Mike

Ok Mike thanks for posting the answer.

[Aslkahuna]

From the JTWC Climatology,the average number of warned storms and typhoons by the end of May is 3.5 and 1.5 respectively and we have 3 and 2 right now. The past two years had been running above average for so early in the season. Usually a Post Niño season sees fewer than average numbers of storms (the last post Niño season-2003 saw 27 vs an annual average of 31.8).

Steve

[cycloneye]

From the JTWC Climatology,the average number of warned storms and typhoons by the end of May is 3.5 and 1.5 respectively and we have 3 and 2 right now. The past two years had been running above average for so early in the season. Usually a Post Niño season sees fewer than average numbers of storms (the last post Niño season-2003 saw 27 vs an annual average of 31.8).

Steve

Thanks Steve for those posting those stats.

[HurricaneBill]

From the JTWC Climatology,the average number of warned storms and typhoons by the end of May is 3.5 and 1.5 respectively and we have 3 and 2 right now. The past two years had been running above average for so early in the season. Usually a Post Niño season sees fewer than average numbers of storms (the last post Niño season-2003 saw 27 vs an annual average of 31.8).

Steve

1998 is a good example. Only 17 named storms, of which only 9 became typhoons. 7 became intense (Category 3+) typhoons, and 3 (Todd, Zeb, and Babs) became super typhoons.

2004 was above average with 29 named storms. 21 became typhoons, 13 became intense typhoons, and 7 (Sudal, Nida, Dianmu, Chaba, Songda, Ma-On, and Nanmadol) became super typhoons.

[mobilebay]

Hey maybe they will get that .5 storm and everything will be normal. PM me when they get it!

[James]

There are now two invests out there that don't look too badly organised.