GOM system holding together 3mb drop in 1 hr buoy 42005

#21 Postby **Wpwxguy** » Mon May 30, 2005 4:21 pm

Buoy 42005.......

kevin · #22 Postby **kevin** » Mon May 30, 2005 4:51 pm

I can't find that bouy on the http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov map... =(

#23 Postby **Wpwxguy** » Mon May 30, 2005 5:01 pm

I'm sorry I was looking at the original thread title. The buoy number is 42002. Sorry about that.

kevin · #24 Postby **kevin** » Mon May 30, 2005 5:02 pm

Thanks!

#25 Postby **Wpwxguy** » Mon May 30, 2005 5:05 pm

Also, the new info for the hourly update has the pressure up again somewhat. I really don't think that anything will develop, however its still fun to watch.

#26 Postby **Dean4Storms** » Mon May 30, 2005 5:19 pm

A couple things here, convection in the Gulf is not all that deep and appears to more of a outflow/squall line type nature. This area would need to persist for at least a couple of days and the UL winds relax for anything of a tropical nature to form. I just don't see it out of this.

Anonymous · #27 Postby **Anonymous** » Mon May 30, 2005 5:19 pm

Nothing will probably come from it but isnt that how allison formed in 2001?

#28 Postby **Wpwxguy** » Mon May 30, 2005 5:27 pm

I do think so, we have to watch for persistance in the blow ups in the Gulf. This could all be gone by tomorrow morning or it may still be there.

Josephine96 · #29 Postby **Josephine96** » Mon May 30, 2005 5:44 pm

The blob watch is on.. lol

Anonymous · #30 Postby **Anonymous** » Mon May 30, 2005 5:48 pm

The NW Gulf is favorable with 5-15 kt of shear, but this system is moving rapidly, and into strong shear.

kevin · #31 Postby **kevin** » Mon May 30, 2005 5:54 pm

I'm only interested in what this system is going to bring to my area of Florida (Ocala) over the next few days. JAX seems to think we'll have several inches of rain.

southerngale · #32 Postby **southerngale** » Mon May 30, 2005 6:00 pm

kevin · #33 Postby **kevin** » Mon May 30, 2005 6:02 pm

LOL!!

CajunMama · #34 Postby **CajunMama** » Mon May 30, 2005 6:08 pm

lol frack!

Matt-hurricanewatcher · #35 Postby **Matt-hurricanewatcher** » Mon May 30, 2005 6:17 pm

I will check the maps but if the shear is only 5 to 15 knots. Then don't ever say it doe's not have a chance.

Matt-hurricanewatcher · #36 Postby **Matt-hurricanewatcher** » Mon May 30, 2005 6:19 pm

Wow the shear doe's appear low.
http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... g8shr.html

Matt-hurricanewatcher · #37 Postby **Matt-hurricanewatcher** » Mon May 30, 2005 6:24 pm

Its moving northeastward maybe 15 mph?

I think there is a weak broad LLC/MLC centered near 26/94.5...The clouds/Convection is arking into the system...I think this might be to disoreganized but who knows. It has deep convection to.

Matt-hurricanewatcher · #38 Postby **Matt-hurricanewatcher** » Mon May 30, 2005 6:31 pm

The Gfs 18z takes it into LA in around 12 to 16 hours. In holds it around that area for two or so days. It develops a low.

Could be flooding. :roll:

http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~arnottj/cgi-b ... =Animation

Cmc agrees with a weaker low.
http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~arnottj/cgi-b ... =Animation

The nogaps seems to think that the center is inland in Mexico around 100 or so west. In then forms a fairly nice system.

http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~arnottj/cgi-b ... =Animation

#39 Postby **dhweather** » Mon May 30, 2005 6:36 pm

Southerngale - that's blobalicious !

Matt-hurricanewatcher · #40 Postby **Matt-hurricanewatcher** » Mon May 30, 2005 6:36 pm

The surface maps appers to show the top end of a low pressure at around 25 north/93 west. Fellowed by a trough into LA?

http://weather.unisys.com/surface/sfc_map.html

GOM system holding together 3mb drop in 1 hr buoy 42005

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