Dr Gray raises his numbers again=15/8/4,June Update

[Radar]

Even though I'm still a very new amateur to hurricane watching and forecasting, I do have opinons on things I have been following and I believe we are in for another unordinarily busy season. BUT as it has been pointed before, it is still May and alot of things can change, there are 3 things we know for sure we can still do.

1. Prepare (for the worst of course)

2. Don't Panic (Prozac prescription if aromatherapy fails)

3. Pray for fish storm (and if storm does not turn out to sea and is headed your way pray that their is canned tuna and sardines in your pantry)

[LSU2001]

I am sticking with my numbers 13/8/6. Though I predict fewer named storms I believe that more storms will reach major status due to the extreme heat build up in the Atlantic and Caribbean (sp). God forbid that we get a long tracker like Ivan through the heart of all that warm water.
Tim

[cycloneye]

Even though I'm still a very new amateur to hurricane watching and forecasting, I do have opinons on things I have been following and I believe we are in for another unordinarily busy season. BUT as it has been pointed before, it is still May and alot of things can change, there are 3 things we know for sure we can still do.

1. Prepare (for the worst of course)

2. Don't Panic (Prozac prescription if aromatherapy fails)

3. Pray for fish storm (and if storm does not turn out to sea and is headed your way pray that their is canned tuna and sardines in your pantry)

Good recomendations.

[cycloneye]

Bumping for those who haven't seen the latest Dr Grays june update that will be on his site tommorow.

http://typhoon.atmos.colostate.edu/forecasts/

But our friend here Ola posted in a very advanced way with 4 days before May 31 as another site of Colorado University posted it.

http://hurricane.atmos.colostate.edu/Fo ... /june_zzz/

Click june05.html.

[drezee]

the official is out...


http://hurricane.atmos.colostate.edu/fo ... /june2005/

[MWatkins]

the official is out...


http://hurricane.atmos.colostate.edu/fo ... /june2005/

Just deleted my post...once again proving that S2K is the place to be to get timely info.

No surprises, however.

Once again...the huge concern:

The reader will note that we have raised our forecast considerably from what the statistics would indicate. This is due to the fact that we are in a new active era for Atlantic major hurricane activity, and Atlantic SST conditions are close to being the highest on record. We believe these unusually warm Atlantic SST conditions are high enough this year that they will trump most of our usual seasonal statistical predictors shown in Table 1.

MW

[cycloneye]

the official is out...


http://hurricane.atmos.colostate.edu/fo ... /june2005/

Just deleted my post...once again proving that S2K is the place to be to get timely info.

No surprises, however.

Once again...the huge concern:

The reader will note that we have raised our forecast considerably from what the statistics would indicate. This is due to the fact that we are in a new active era for Atlantic major hurricane activity, and Atlantic SST conditions are close to being the highest on record. We believe these unusually warm Atlantic SST conditions are high enough this year that they will trump most of our usual seasonal statistical predictors shown in Table 1.

MW

Definitly MW the place to be is in storm2k as the information comes rapid and official as this Dr Gray one which was posted at the forum with 5 days in advance.In any place on the net you will not find advance official information like storm2k does.

[reader12]

Charley-15 billion
Frances-9 billion
Ivan-15 billion
Jeanne-6.9 billion

45.9 billion

Hi all,
I'm new here, and I love this board.

In the Orlando Sentinel on Sunday they listed the figures for each storm, and Charley alone caused more than $45 Billion in damages....Ivan caused $40 Billion, so that $45 Billion total for all storms seems wrong, but then again who knows. Where did you find your figures?


*going back to lurker mode now*

[melhow]

yes SST near highest on record....

That's the most ominous part of his report...increased potential for a catastrophic or possibly even record breaking intensity maxi-hurricane.

...maxi-hurricane...

sounds like a job for DynoMat

[dhweather]

Well, it's "official" now

http://typhoon.atmos.colostate.edu/forecasts/

[cycloneye]

I fear a lot of sleepless nights for many of us.

[dhweather]

Luis - what? do you think someone might sit up all night watching
satellite images and the such? living all night on storm2k? ha ha ha ha

[Brent]

I fear a lot of sleepless nights for many of us.

Last year was complete hell in that department. Late to bed, up early.

[vbhoutex]

Luis - what? do you think someone might sit up all night watching
satellite images and the such? living all night on storm2k? ha ha ha ha

Moi? surely you jest!!!

[southerngale]

Last year, I kept a pillow and blankey in my nice, comfy chair here. All I need this year is a mini-fridge and port-o-potty.

[vbhoutex]

Last year, I kept a pillow and blankey in my nice, comfy chair here. All I need this year is a mini-fridge and port-o-potty.

Copy-cat!!!! Already set mine up!!!

[dhweather]

Luis - what? do you think someone might sit up all night watching
satellite images and the such? living all night on storm2k? ha ha ha ha

Moi? surely you jest!!!

I know, it's absurd to suggest.

[DoctorHurricane2003]

$40 Billion? $45 Billion? No. No No No No No. That is very wrong. In comparison, Andrew caused ~$30 Billion.

[southerngale]

Last year, I kept a pillow and blankey in my nice, comfy chair here. All I need this year is a mini-fridge and port-o-potty.

Copy-cat!!!! Already set mine up!!!

LOL, we both posted at the same time I guess. 1:02 pm. (well, obviously you first!)