ITCZ

#1 Postby **cycloneye** » Tue May 31, 2005 2:45 pm

The ITCZ or Intertropical Convergence Zone fluctuates between less active and more active at all times.Right now it looks more active with clusters of convection and a pair of tropical waves embedded in the axis of the ITCZ.Also the axis is getting close to 10n in the tropical atlantic which is normal by this time of the year.But the bottomline is that there are no signs of anything trying to develop.Anyway it is still early for that part of the Atlantic to heat up but being the waters so warm it is not out of the question that the Cape Verde season may have an early start.

Steve H. · #2 Postby **Steve H.** » Tue May 31, 2005 2:52 pm

That's a heck of a wave in the eastern Atlantic for this time of year. I would watch this one as it heads westward. There will be trouble this year, no doubt :roll:

Website · #3 Postby **Brent** » Tue May 31, 2005 3:00 pm

Sweet.

There's nothing like a Cape Verde long-tracker that takes 2 1/2 weeks to move across. The homegrown GOM and Western Caribbean/Western Atlantic systems just aren't as good.

#4 Postby **Cookiely** » Tue May 31, 2005 5:11 pm

Brent wrote:Sweet. There's nothing like a Cape Verde long-tracker that takes 2 1/2 weeks to move across. The homegrown GOM and Western Caribbean/Western Atlantic systems just aren't as good.

My nerves can't take those long trackers. You must be a very patient person Brent. I survive on 4-5 hrs. of sleep a night, and those long trackers take a toll on those few hours. :lol:

#5 Postby **cycloneye** » Tue May 31, 2005 6:44 pm

Many people dont like to track systems that are lost at sea as a fish but I like to track all of those.

#6 Postby **cycloneye** » Tue May 31, 2005 7:28 pm

Umm interesting complex in the ITCZ as a wave is located around 30w.

#7 Postby **cycloneye** » Tue May 31, 2005 7:41 pm

Upper diffluence near the W periphery of the ridge is
assisting convection associated with a wave along 30w/31w. This
wave should remain active as the ridge builds westward.

The above from the 8:05 PM EDT Discussion.

x-y-no · #8 Postby **x-y-no** » Tue May 31, 2005 7:58 pm

cycloneye wrote:Upper diffluence near the W periphery of the ridge is
assisting convection associated with a wave along 30w/31w. This
wave should remain active as the ridge builds westward.

The above from the 8:05 PM EDT Discussion.

Wow ... they actually expect the convection to hang together this early and that far east? That's pretty unusual.

Jan

#9 Postby **dixiebreeze** » Tue May 31, 2005 8:38 pm

That's an amazing wave for May 31! :eek:

#10 Postby **abajan** » Tue May 31, 2005 8:42 pm

I see it but I can hardly believe it! :eek:

This is going to be a very long season with many sleepless nights for me (and many others).

Sleepless in... Barbados

Website · #11 Postby **Brent** » Tue May 31, 2005 8:48 pm

mf_dolphin · #12 Postby **mf_dolphin** » Tue May 31, 2005 9:15 pm

If this was August we'd already have an ORGANE ALERT from GreatOne on this wave :-)

That is a pretty impressive wave at this point in the season. Buckle-up everyone. It's going to be a long ride I think.

#13 Postby **cycloneye** » Tue May 31, 2005 9:19 pm

mf_dolphin wrote:If this was August we'd already have an ORGANE ALERT from GreatOne on this wave That is a pretty impressive wave at this point in the season. Buckle-up everyone. It's going to be a long ride I think.

Agree about that person.

Yes it will be a looooong ride hopefully all go fish.Considering it is now early June by all efects the wave is impressive.

Ola · #14 Postby **Ola** » Tue May 31, 2005 9:21 pm

cycloneye wrote:Upper diffluence near the W periphery of the ridge is
assisting convection associated with a wave along 30w/31w. This
wave should remain active as the ridge builds westward.

The above from the 8:05 PM EDT Discussion.

Normally in early June nothing ever happens in the Atlantic because:

1. Water temperatures are too cool.

2. Upper level shear is strong.

Well, the ridge will build westward, and we all know the sst story south of 10 all the wa to Africa and west of 40W pretty much everywhere.

Dont blink

AL Chili Pepper · #15 Postby **AL Chili Pepper** » Tue May 31, 2005 9:23 pm

mf_dolphin wrote:If this was August we'd already have an ORGANE ALERT from GreatOne on this wave That is a pretty impressive wave at this point in the season. Buckle-up everyone. It's going to be a long ride I think.

#16 Postby **cycloneye** » Tue May 31, 2005 9:38 pm

Another view of the tropical wave although it is not a closeup it is at the extreme lower right part.

#17 Postby **Hybridstorm_November2001** » Tue May 31, 2005 9:45 pm

Interesting wave, but it has many things going against it. Still I have a feeling that we shouldn't rule anything out this season.

Hybridstorm_November2001

cyclonaut · #18 Postby **cyclonaut** » Tue May 31, 2005 10:02 pm

Brent wrote::eek:

#19 Postby **gatorcane** » Tue May 31, 2005 10:03 pm

This wave is impressive, I'm calling for an unusually early Cape Verde season start this year :eek:

#20 Postby **gatorcane** » Tue May 31, 2005 10:07 pm

It's looking better organized tonight with maybe more of a WNW movement? I see some rotation...too...good convection over the last several hours :eek:

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