The Gulf system is interesting

[Brent]

From the 8:05am TWD:

GULF OF MEXICO...
VERY ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN REMAINS OVER THE E GULF AND FLORIDA
COURTESY OF A MID/UPPER LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDING S FROM AN UPPER
LOW THAT HAS MOVED N INTO CENTRAL ALABAMA ACROSS THE N GULF
COAST TO OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA NEAR 89W. THE ATTENDANT
STATIONARY FRONT IS MEANDERING ACROSS THE SE UNITED STATES ALONG
31N/32N FROM THE W ATLC TO A 1004 MB LOW ALONG THE SE COAST OF
LOUISIANA AND A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDING SSW ALONG 25N88W TO A
1006 MB LOW ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO IN THE BAY OF CAMPECHE
NEAR 19N93W. A SECOND SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FORM 1004 MB LOW W
INTO TO TEXAS. THE MID/UPPER TROUGH CONTINUES TO IGNITE A STRONG
CONVECTIVE COMPLEX WHICH IS BEING PROPAGATED E/NE ACROSS THE
FLORIDA PENINSULA THIS MORNING. YET ANOTHER ROUND OF STRONG
SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS IS FORMING OVER THE NE GULF WITHIN THE
STRONGLY DIFFLUENT REGION SE OF THE SURFACE LOW. SATELLITE
IMAGERY INDICATES AN OVERALL MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NE AND THIS
AREA OF ACTIVITY IS AFFECTING MOST OF FLORIDA AND WILL CONTINUE
TO SPREAD INTO THE W ATLC AND THE N BAHAMA ISLANDS THIS MORNING.
EXPECT PERIODS OF SQUALLS ACCOMPANIED BY GUSTY WINDS AND HEAVY
RAINFALL N OF CUBA FROM 76W TO THE SURFACE TROUGH THROUGHOUT THE
DAY. THE UPPER TROUGH IS BEING RE-ENFORCED BY AN UPPER SHORTWAVE
TROUGH DROPPING SE FROM OVER TEXAS WITH A SQUALL LINE CURRENTLY
APPROACHING THE TEXAS COAST. THE UPPER TROUGH WILL REMAIN OVER
THE GULF TIL FRI WHEN THE PATTERN WILL BEGIN TO RELAX AS THE AN
UPPER LOW OVER THE NORTHERN MID-WEST MOVES TOWARD THE NE UNITED
STATES. THUS...SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN A POSSIBILITY
AT ANY TIME OVER THE E GULF FOR TODAY. ACTIVITY COULD BE MORE
DIURNALLY DRIVEN OVER THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND EXTREME S
FLORIDA WITH DEEP LAYERED S FLOW AND AN ALREADY MOIST ATMOSPHERE
KEEPING THE CHANCES OF SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS ABOVE AVERAGE...
ESPECIALLY DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. W OF THE UPPER TROUGH...
MID/UPPER LEVEL CONFLUENCE AND ASSOCIATED DRYING WILL PRODUCE
TRANQUIL WEATHER FOR THE NEXT DAY OR SO EXCEPT IN THE IMMEDIATE
VICINITY OF THE SHORTWAVE TROUGH EXITING TEXAS.

[dhweather]

One clue to it becoming something is the outflow/cloud fan that is forming. With the banding like convection. Maybe not to the surface but if it where in the middle of the Gulf this could be a Bill like storm.

Matt, you need to relax and not just throw things like this out there.
If there's something of significant interest, that's one thing.
The GOM has nothing of interest right now.

[Steve]

>>Matt, you need to relax

Fat chance of that ever happening

Steve

[StormChasr]

Can we cool our jets here!! It is gonna be a long season, and this blob of T-storms is just normal tropical weather. Nothing is developing now, and let's just relax. Tons of moisture out there, and all headed for Florida, but no cyclonic activity.

[Wpwxguy]

I would probably forget about that system, except for maybe the blow up in the southeast Gulf. However the MCS moving out over water from Texas is a nice blob for us blob watchers. This complex is moving a little farther south in the Gulf than the last system. This area should be around until Friday. Matt I'm just like you though I watch anything that pops up and even though others write it off, I'm still intriqued by it. I still don't see development but these systems can surprise you.

Bill

[GalvestonDuck]

Let's not be too hard on Matt. After all, it IS weather. And what better way to understand tropical weather than to observe all forms of it and to discuss with each other why we think something WON'T develop as well as why we think others WILL develop. I still consider myself an amateur (if even that)...mostly just an observer because of where I live. But I like to know what variables you guys see and where you see them when you determine the blobs from the blowups.

Brent, thanks for explaining that there is no surface circulation and for posting the TWD.