Plenty of convection east of the Windwards (but)

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cycloneye
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Plenty of convection east of the Windwards (but)

#1 Postby cycloneye » Thu Jun 02, 2005 8:36 am

Image

Yes very atractive convection that may open eyebrows to some but the story about why of that activity is below.

Image

Big trough in the Eastern Caribbean extending into the Atlantic.The west side of the trough is very dry but the east side is moist and divergent flow east of the trough is causing the convection to flare up.The trough is forecast to move slowly west in the next few days but in the meantime unfavorable conditions for tropical development will be the rule in the Eastern Caribbean and east of the Windwards to around 45w.And to complement the unfavorable status there are still pockets of dust in the Atlantic.
Last edited by cycloneye on Thu Jun 02, 2005 8:57 am, edited 1 time in total.
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#2 Postby Brent » Thu Jun 02, 2005 8:38 am

Regardless... I don't think I've ever seen the tropics this active in EARLY JUNE. This is more like August.
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#3 Postby cycloneye » Thu Jun 02, 2005 8:43 am

Brent wrote:Regardless... I don't think I've ever seen the tropics this active in EARLY JUNE. This is more like August.


See my thread of trends are the key to follow as there are some things in model runs in the next couple of weeks in different areas but the problem is if really something will pop up soon.
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#4 Postby gatorcane » Thu Jun 02, 2005 9:37 am

Lot's of rain heading into the windwards....nice convection here.
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#5 Postby abajan » Thu Jun 02, 2005 1:38 pm

boca_chris wrote:Lot's of rain heading into the windwards...

I sure hope so. It'll clean some of this dust out of the atmosphere!
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