TWO for 1030pm Friday.. Note the bold line

[Josephine96]

000
ABNT20 KNHC 040207
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 PM EDT FRI JUN 3 2005

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE BETWEEN HONDURAS AND WESTERN CUBA IS
PRODUCING CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN
SEA NORTHWARD ACROSS CUBA...FLORIDA...AND THE EASTERN GULF OF
MEXICO. THIS SYSTEM REMAINS DISORGANIZED AND UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE
NOT FAVORABLE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION. ADDITIONAL
DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...SHOULD BE SLOW TO OCCUR. LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINS WILL LIKELY CONTINUE OVER THIS AREA...PRIMARILY OVER WESTERN
CUBA...ON SATURDAY.

A WESTWARD-MOVING TROPICAL WAVE IS PRODUCING CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS
OVER THE LESSER ANTILLES. THIS ACTIVITY WILL LIKELY CONTINUE DURING
THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE NOT FAVORABLE FOR
DEVELOPMENT.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
SUNDAY.

FORECASTER AVILA

Normally when they mention "slow to occur" it happens lol

[Aquawind]

Lets try not to duplicate these Outlook and Discussion threads everyone..

Paul

[Josephine96]

LOL sorry.. didn't see the 2nd 1 till it was too late

[Aquawind]

No probs.. Heck dhweather had that thing posted before 9:15! That is a tad premature..lol.. anyways it's simply a kindly reminder for everyone reading..

Paul

[Brent]

No probs.. Heck dhweather had that thing posted before 9:15! That is a tad premature..lol.. anyways it's simply a kindly reminder for everyone reading..

Paul

Hey... if it's out it doesn't matter. I've seen advisories for named storms come out a half hour before release time(10:30pm for 11pm), etc(sometimes even a little more)

[Josephine96]

I think the average time I see advisories is at :15 before..

[dhweather]

The "release" time varies - it will officially say "1030", but could be released at 1000, that's just how it goes.

[senorpepr]

The "release" time varies - it will officially say "1030", but could be released at 1000, that's just how it goes.

I believe the standard they follow is no later than 15 minutes past the valid time... no earlier than 30 minutes before the valid time -- although that could be an hour. A lot of agencies follow that policy.

[mobilebay]

The "release" time varies - it will officially say "1030", but could be released at 1000, that's just how it goes.

I believe the standard they follow is no later than 15 minutes past the valid time... no earlier than 30 minutes before the valid time -- although that could be an hour. A lot of agencies follow that policy.

Thanks Pepr, I did not know that. I was wondering why sometimes was earlier than others. I've been wondering that for years.

[Thunder44]

I believe the TWO's come out faster when there is less to talk about or they have nothing much new add from their previous TWO. It's the ones that come out later that you have to watchout for.

[hurricanefreak1988]

Hey... if it's out it doesn't matter. I've seen advisories for named storms come out a half hour before release time(10:30pm for 11pm), etc(sometimes even a little more)

If anyone's the expert on getting advisories first, it's you, Brent.

[Brent]

Hey... if it's out it doesn't matter. I've seen advisories for named storms come out a half hour before release time(10:30pm for 11pm), etc(sometimes even a little more)

If anyone's the expert on getting advisories first, it's you, Brent.

During the storms last year, I would start on the Weather Underground page at about :30 after(they have it before the NHC site) and would refresh frequently until it came out.

[senorpepr]

I believe the TWO's come out faster when there is less to talk about or they have nothing much new add from their previous TWO. It's the ones that come out later that you have to watchout for.

Speaking from experience (I also write meteorological bulletins) -- typically if the weather is nice the bulletin is ready WAY before it's sent out. Normally the bulletin still until the earliest possible time it could go out, directed by unit guidance. However, if the weather isn't so good and the forecast challenges are difficult, then adding those finishing touches will push it closer and closer to the valid time before it'll be sent out.