11:30 AM TWO more bullish with Eastern Caribbean area

#1 Postby **cycloneye** » Mon Jun 06, 2005 10:19 am

ABNT20 KNHC 061517
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1130 AM EDT MON JUN 6 2005

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A TROPICAL WAVE IS PRODUCING WIDESPREAD CLOUDINESS AND SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE NORTHEASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA AND ADJACENT LAND
AREAS. UPPER LEVEL WINDS HAVE BECOME MARGINALLY FAVORABLE...AND
SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS. AS IT MOVES SLOWLY NORTHWESTWARD...LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL MAY OCCUR OVER THE LEEWARD ISLANDS...U.S. AND BRITISH
VIRGIN ISLANDS...PUERTO RICO...AND THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
TUESDAY.

FORECASTER STEWART/KNABB

Josephine96 · #2 Postby **Josephine96** » Mon Jun 06, 2005 10:20 am

Stay dry Luis :wink:

Wnghs2007 · #3 Postby **Wnghs2007** » Mon Jun 06, 2005 10:22 am

Well I guess they have finally been looking at some of the computer models and the latest shear maps and seeing that it is possible that something could develop in the Coming days.

It is an area that definatley bears watching..No pun intended. :lol:

Josephine96 · #4 Postby **Josephine96** » Mon Jun 06, 2005 10:25 am

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
BEAR WATCH
MON JUN 6TH 2005 1123 AM

BEAR WATCH NUMBER 345 IN EFFECT

THERE IS NOW A BEAR WATCH IN EFFECT TILL 6PM LOCAL TIME. THE WATCH IS FOR ALL OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA

CONDITIONS ARE RIGHT FOR BEARS TO WANDER HIGHWAYS AND CLIMB TREES.

DO NOT TRY TO CONFRONT A BEAR IF SPOTTED. PLEASE RELAY BEAR SIGHTINGS TO THE NWS AND THEY WILL RELAY THEM TO WILDLIFE MANAGEMENT OFFICIALS.

THIS BEAR WATCH WILL BE CHANGED TO A BEAR WARNING AT FIRST SIGHTING.

{sorry couldn't resist lol}

Wnghs2007 · #5 Postby **Wnghs2007** » Mon Jun 06, 2005 10:26 am

Josephine96 wrote:SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
BEAR WATCH
MON JUN 6TH 2005 1123 AM

BEAR WATCH NUMBER 345 IN EFFECT

THERE IS NOW A BEAR WATCH IN EFFECT TILL 6PM LOCAL TIME. THE WATCH IS FOR ALL OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA

CONDITIONS ARE RIGHT FOR BEARS TO WANDER HIGHWAYS AND CLIMB TREES.

DO NOT TRY TO CONFRONT A BEAR IF SPOTTED. PLEASE RELAY BEAR SIGHTINGS TO THE NWS AND THEY WILL RELAY THEM TO WILDLIFE MANAGEMENT OFFICIALS.

THIS BEAR WATCH WILL BE CHANGED TO A BEAR WARNING AT FIRST SIGHTING.

{sorry couldn't resist lol}

I Said NO PUN INTENDED!!!! :rofl:

vacanechaser · #6 Postby **vacanechaser** » Mon Jun 06, 2005 10:29 am

Game On!!!!!!!!!!

Jesse V. Bass III
http://www.vastormphoto.com
Hurricane Intercept Research Team

Website · #7 Postby **Brent** » Mon Jun 06, 2005 10:32 am

chadtm80 · #8 Postby **chadtm80** » Mon Jun 06, 2005 10:35 am

I know its all in fun and games, BUT.. If you EVER post a joke like this IE: in there exact format you BETTER add a big disclaimer at the top explaining that the following is a Joke and nothing more

#9 Postby **cycloneye** » Mon Jun 06, 2005 10:37 am

Josephine96 wrote:SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
BEAR WATCH
MON JUN 6TH 2005 1123 AM

BEAR WATCH NUMBER 345 IN EFFECT

THERE IS NOW A BEAR WATCH IN EFFECT TILL 6PM LOCAL TIME. THE WATCH IS FOR ALL OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA

CONDITIONS ARE RIGHT FOR BEARS TO WANDER HIGHWAYS AND CLIMB TREES.

DO NOT TRY TO CONFRONT A BEAR IF SPOTTED. PLEASE RELAY BEAR SIGHTINGS TO THE NWS AND THEY WILL RELAY THEM TO WILDLIFE MANAGEMENT OFFICIALS.

THIS BEAR WATCH WILL BE CHANGED TO A BEAR WARNING AT FIRST SIGHTING.

{sorry couldn't resist lol}

Yes agree with chad. A disclaimer is needed for that.

Website · #10 Postby **Brent** » Mon Jun 06, 2005 10:37 am

Josephine96 wrote:SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
BEAR WATCH
MON JUN 6TH 2005 1123 AM

BEAR WATCH NUMBER 345 IN EFFECT

THERE IS NOW A BEAR WATCH IN EFFECT TILL 6PM LOCAL TIME. THE WATCH IS FOR ALL OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA

CONDITIONS ARE RIGHT FOR BEARS TO WANDER HIGHWAYS AND CLIMB TREES.

DO NOT TRY TO CONFRONT A BEAR IF SPOTTED. PLEASE RELAY BEAR SIGHTINGS TO THE NWS AND THEY WILL RELAY THEM TO WILDLIFE MANAGEMENT OFFICIALS.

THIS BEAR WATCH WILL BE CHANGED TO A BEAR WARNING AT FIRST SIGHTING.

{sorry couldn't resist lol}

Derek Ortt · #11 Postby **Derek Ortt** » Mon Jun 06, 2005 10:38 am

I do not see what is is Stewart is seeing.

We looked extensively this morning and just cannot see a surface feature, and cannot figure out if the CMC is developing the UL, or the weak TW

x-y-no · #12 Postby **x-y-no** » Mon Jun 06, 2005 10:49 am

Derek Ortt wrote:I do not see what is is Stewart is seeing.

We looked extensively this morning and just cannot see a surface feature, and cannot figure out if the CMC is developing the UL, or the weak TW

I agree there's no surface feature as of yet. This morning, one could see some low-level clouds moving east to west on the south side of the circulation feature, which appeared to me to be a mid-level phenomenon.

Things are looking more confused as the morning progresses and convection flares up ahead of the apparent center. It seems plausible that this could deepen to the surface if the convection sustains itself into tonight, though.

Jan

Thunder44 · #13 Postby **Thunder44** » Mon Jun 06, 2005 10:57 am

Stewart wrote that. Thank God for that man :lol:

#14 Postby **cycloneye** » Mon Jun 06, 2005 10:58 am

FZCA52 TJSJ 061447
CWFSJU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
1030 AM AST MON JUN 6 2005

PUERTO RICO AND U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS WATERS

AMZ700-062100-
SYNOPSIS FOR PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS WATERS
1030 AM AST MON JUN 6 2005

.SYNOPSIS...A TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED OVER HISPANIOLA EARLY THIS
MORNING...WILL CONTINUE MOVING SLOWLY WEST AND AWAY FROM THE LOCAL
ISLANDS THROUGH TONIGHT. BEHIND THIS WAVE...AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE
IN THE MID LEVEL OF THE ATMOSPHERE HAS DEVELOPED OVER THE CARIBBEAN
WATERS SOUTH OF PUERTO RICO. THIS FEATURE IS FORECAST TO MOVE SLOWLY
NORTH TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY...PRODUCING ACTIVE WEATHER ACROSS
THE LOCAL WATERS.

Low at mid levels has formed not at the surface yet.

Wnghs2007 · #15 Postby **Wnghs2007** » Mon Jun 06, 2005 11:01 am

Yep its about to get really wet for you Luis! Try to stay dry as Josephine96 said.

#16 Postby **cycloneye** » Mon Jun 06, 2005 11:04 am

SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A MID LEVEL CIRCULATION SOUTH OF PUERTO
RICO. THIS FEATURE IS FORECAST TO START DRIFTING SLOWLY NORTHWARD IN
THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAY...BRINGING A LOT OF MOISTURE TO OUR LOCAL
AREA. EXPECT MODERATE TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
THAT COULD AFFECT PUERTO RICO BY TUESDAY EVENING THROUGH AT LEAST
THE END OF THE WEEK. RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS WITH THIS FEATURE COULD
EXCEED TWO INCHES IN LOCALIZED SPOTS...WHICH MAY RESULT IN URBAN AND
SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY OR EVEN FLASH FLOOD WATCHES OR WARNINGS.

The above from the NWS in San Juan.No surface low right now as it is a Mid Level one.

Wnghs2007 · #17 Postby **Wnghs2007** » Mon Jun 06, 2005 11:09 am

cycloneye wrote:SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A MID LEVEL CIRCULATION SOUTH OF PUERTO
RICO. THIS FEATURE IS FORECAST TO START DRIFTING SLOWLY NORTHWARD IN
THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAY...BRINGING A LOT OF MOISTURE TO OUR LOCAL
AREA. EXPECT MODERATE TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
THAT COULD AFFECT PUERTO RICO BY TUESDAY EVENING THROUGH AT LEAST
THE END OF THE WEEK. RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS WITH THIS FEATURE COULD
EXCEED TWO INCHES IN LOCALIZED SPOTS...WHICH MAY RESULT IN URBAN AND
SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY OR EVEN FLASH FLOOD WATCHES OR WARNINGS.

The above from the NWS in San Juan.No surface low right now as it is a Mid Level one.

Well if we can get some convection to fire over the Mid Level Low then maybe it can reach the surface in the next couple of days. Like I said in another Thread I believe this will atleast become a TD in the end.

OtherHD · #18 Postby **OtherHD** » Mon Jun 06, 2005 3:40 pm

cycloneye wrote:
Josephine96 wrote:SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
BEAR WATCH
MON JUN 6TH 2005 1123 AM

BEAR WATCH NUMBER 345 IN EFFECT

THERE IS NOW A BEAR WATCH IN EFFECT TILL 6PM LOCAL TIME. THE WATCH IS FOR ALL OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA

CONDITIONS ARE RIGHT FOR BEARS TO WANDER HIGHWAYS AND CLIMB TREES.

DO NOT TRY TO CONFRONT A BEAR IF SPOTTED. PLEASE RELAY BEAR SIGHTINGS TO THE NWS AND THEY WILL RELAY THEM TO WILDLIFE MANAGEMENT OFFICIALS.

THIS BEAR WATCH WILL BE CHANGED TO A BEAR WARNING AT FIRST SIGHTING.

{sorry couldn't resist lol}

Yes agree with chad. A disclaimer is needed for that.

not only that, but the bear watch joke is SO played out. jmho

Agua · #19 Postby **Agua** » Mon Jun 06, 2005 4:35 pm

She hasn't posted since Chad's comment. With her normal Cane season rate of 50+ post per day, I wonder if her feelings are hurt?

#20 Postby **Pebbles** » Mon Jun 06, 2005 4:42 pm

*whispers* A him.... josephine is a guy. :wink:

After what...2 years? I still want to think girl too though with the name! *chuckles*

11:30 AM TWO more bullish with Eastern Caribbean area

11:30 AM TWO more bullish with Eastern Caribbean area

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