MM5 - Model CRAZINESS!!!

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dhweather
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MM5 - Model CRAZINESS!!!

#1 Postby dhweather » Tue Jun 07, 2005 2:16 pm

Take this with the reminder that models are not an exact science.

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/mm5fsutc ... =Animation
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#2 Postby tallywx » Tue Jun 07, 2005 2:18 pm

Wouldn't that be something, if after all this New Orleans gets their doomsday cat 5...in JUNE.
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#3 Postby x-y-no » Tue Jun 07, 2005 2:21 pm

Wheeeeeeee!!

Well, if that happens, it'll shock the stuffing out of me! :roll:
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#4 Postby bbadon » Tue Jun 07, 2005 2:21 pm

Big June storms can definitely happen. Hurricane Audrey in 1957 Reclassified Cat 4 Cameron, LA
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#5 Postby Brent » Tue Jun 07, 2005 2:21 pm

x-y-no wrote:Wheeeeeeee!!

Well, if that happens, it'll shock the stuffing out of me! :roll:


:roflmao:
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#6 Postby southerngale » Tue Jun 07, 2005 2:21 pm

x-y-no wrote:Wheeeeeeee!!

Well, if that happens, it'll shock the stuffing out of me! :roll:


lol - no kidding!
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#7 Postby melhow » Tue Jun 07, 2005 2:22 pm

I was reading in another post where the MM5 is fairly accurate? Yes...no??
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#8 Postby PTrackerLA » Tue Jun 07, 2005 2:23 pm

bbadon wrote:Big June storms can definitely happen. Hurricane Audrey in 1957 Reclassified Cat 4 Cameron, LA


Heaven forbid we have a major to deal with in June, imagine what a season this would be!
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#9 Postby Javlin » Tue Jun 07, 2005 2:25 pm

I couldn't help but to start laughing.There is one thing to add the projected path by some of the models is over the warmest SST's in the GOM.The problem for this system will be shear on the W side though.
Last edited by Javlin on Tue Jun 07, 2005 2:28 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#10 Postby BreinLa » Tue Jun 07, 2005 2:25 pm

Oh boy here we go!!!!!! Already
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#11 Postby dhweather » Tue Jun 07, 2005 2:27 pm

x-y-no wrote:Wheeeeeeee!!

Well, if that happens, it'll shock the stuffing out of me! :roll:


But you'll be within your predicted date! :D
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#12 Postby Aquawind » Tue Jun 07, 2005 2:28 pm

LOL.. They are hitting on the bottle and the pipe at the MM5 Data input center.. It has the low northeast of the islands moving west like the ridge has a hold of it as well even though it fades away... it's all crazy talk again..noooooo! :eek:


I am gonna hate watching the ridge riders this year..


Paul
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#13 Postby Air Force Met » Tue Jun 07, 2005 2:30 pm

tallywx wrote:Wouldn't that be something, if after all this New Orleans gets their doomsday cat 5...in JUNE.


No cat 5 coming from this system...that's for sure. :-)
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#14 Postby Stratusxpeye » Tue Jun 07, 2005 2:35 pm

Craziness that model def looks crazy but who knows. would be nice :) ill be right there when she comes onshore wherever it may be.
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#15 Postby Trader Ron » Tue Jun 07, 2005 2:37 pm

Only three or four Cat Fives that have hit the CONUS.

I will take that bet everytime. :lol: :lol: :lol:
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#16 Postby wxman57 » Tue Jun 07, 2005 2:38 pm

Air Force Met wrote:
tallywx wrote:Wouldn't that be something, if after all this New Orleans gets their doomsday cat 5...in JUNE.


No cat 5 coming from this system...that's for sure. :-)


Agreed -- too much SW wind shear. Probably sheared TS at most.
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kevin

#17 Postby kevin » Tue Jun 07, 2005 2:45 pm

What caused this model to go insane??
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RE:

#18 Postby Hybridstorm_November2001 » Tue Jun 07, 2005 2:53 pm

Could be the first major storm to make landfall in the U.S in June since 1957. Wow what a season this would be if it happen :eek: :eek: :eek: :eek:


Hybridstorm_November2001
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Re: RE:

#19 Postby melhow » Tue Jun 07, 2005 2:55 pm

Hybridstorm_November2001 wrote:Could be the first major storm to make landfall in the U.S in June since 1957. Wow what a season this would be if it happen :eek: :eek: :eek: :eek:


Hybridstorm_November2001


Wha?
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#20 Postby skysummit » Tue Jun 07, 2005 2:56 pm

I doubt it....too many people are talking about shear killing this system once it gets into the GOM. If not though...holy smoke!
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