The Squadron in action for Western Caribbean

[cycloneye]

000
NOUS42 KNHC 071600
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
200 PM EDT TUE 07 JUN 2005
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 08/1100Z TO 09/1100Z MAY 2005
TCPOD NUMBER.....05-011

I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. SUSPECT AREA (WESTERN CARRIBEAN)
FLIGHT ONE FLIGHT TWO
A. 08/2000Z A. 09/0600Z
B. AFXXX 01AAA INVEST B. AFXXX 0201A CYCLONE
C. 08/1645Z C. 09/0230Z
D. 17.5N 85.5W D. 18.0N 85.5W
E. 08/1830Z TO 09/0000Z E. 09/0400Z TO 09/0900Z
F. SFC TO 10,000FT F. SFC TO 10,000FT

2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY: CONTINUE 12 HOURLY FIXES.

From tommorow afternoon the missions will fly.

[Brent]

Cyclone!

[hurricanefreak1988]

I'm smelling a 1-1 tie...

[jabber]

Let the season begin.

[tracyswfla]

Way to fast.... I thought I had til mid July... I should know better, especially after Charley knocking on my front door!

At least it is still tax free for me....better get to HD!

[StormChasr]

Worst case would be a weak TD. This thing isn't generating any strong tropical storms, or cat 1's. The environment isn't that hospitable, and it will most likely be a rainmaker.

[LaPlaceFF]

Anyway, I think it's nothing to get excited about. I learned how to read the Recon reports. BTW is zulu time 5 hrs ahead of Central time?

[dhweather]

Anyway, I think it's nothing to get excited about. I learned how to read the Recon reports. BTW is zulu time 5 hrs ahead of Central time?

Yes. 6 in the winter.

[Anonymous]

B. AFXXX 01AAA INVEST B. AFXXX 0201A CYCLONE

They must think its gonna form by the 2nd trip

[senorpepr]

B. AFXXX 01AAA INVEST B. AFXXX 0201A CYCLONE

They must think its gonna form by the 2nd trip

Actually, I just posted about this.

Actually, they normally just say INVEST... or in this case 01AAA INVEST. 01 meaning the first mission to this particular system, the first two A's for the first active invest, and the third A for the Atlantic. The second mission, labelled 0201A CYCLONE is a standard title. 02 meaning the second mission, 01 meaning the first depression (should it develop into one) and CYCLONE being a standard name for a depression. However, it should be noted this is standard procedure and it DOES NOT mean that the NHC nor the 53rd Wx Recon Squadron believes it will definately become a TD.

So in short, no they don't believe it will.

[Aquawind]

Thanks for the clarification Mike

Paul

[senorpepr]

Of course, S2K's Worldwide Tropical Update Webpage (http://tropicalupdates.nhcwx.com/) has a recon page that automatically updates every couple of minutes. This will refresh to the latest TCPOD, RECCO ob, VORTEX, and supplementary VORTEX. Make sure and check it out at http://tropicalupdates.nhcwx.com/recon.htm. Also, check out the Atlantic page for more information at http://tropicalupdates.nhcwx.com/atl.htm.

Furthermore, hopefully I'll be able to decode some of the observations here on the message board tomorrow. :knocks on wood:

[Wpwxguy]

Its fine to not be optimistic about development, but I would not be too pesimistic about it not developing. With the way the latest model runs are going, it could get quite interesting.