GFDL= Hurricane New Orleans

Anonymous · #1 Postby **Anonymous** » Tue Jun 07, 2005 7:19 pm

Not sure if its posted or not--I dont see it as a topic.

http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~arnottj/cgi-b ... =Animation

Rainband · #2 Postby **Rainband** » Tue Jun 07, 2005 7:22 pm

we all know what the gfdl did with adrian :roll:

Website · #3 Postby **Brent** » Tue Jun 07, 2005 7:22 pm

#4 Postby **HURAKAN** » Tue Jun 07, 2005 7:25 pm

Rainband wrote:we all know what the gfdl did with adrian

Great analogy.

cyclonaut · #5 Postby **cyclonaut** » Tue Jun 07, 2005 7:26 pm

That GooFy DL! :lol:

#6 Postby **Air Force Met** » Tue Jun 07, 2005 7:27 pm

Rainband wrote:we all know what the gfdl did with adrian

I think the GFDL is hosed here...especially on the movement. It looks as if the system is trying to organize further EAST than initialized. If that is the case...and if the LLC gets under the convection and moves more NNE and N than NNW...then this system has a decent chance at tropical storm status. It all depends on where it goes once the low forms.

#7 Postby **skysummit** » Tue Jun 07, 2005 7:28 pm

It surely looks like it's traveling NE to me...but what do I know! :roll:

hurricanedude · #8 Postby **hurricanedude** » Tue Jun 07, 2005 7:30 pm

OH NO!!!!!!
NOT FLORIDA.....
DO WE EVEN HAVE PLYWOOD AVAILABLE IN THIS STATE?

Anonymous · #9 Postby **Anonymous** » Tue Jun 07, 2005 7:31 pm

Is the GFDL run off of the GFS--I remember from last year that there was a model that was based on the GFS but cant rember which one it was. 18z GFDL and 18z GFS are identical.
http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/gfstc2.c ... =Animation

#10 Postby **HURAKAN** » Tue Jun 07, 2005 7:33 pm

hurricanedude wrote:OH NO!!!!!!
NOT FLORIDA.....
DO WE EVEN HAVE PLYWOOD AVAILABLE IN THIS STATE?

I think my dad saved the ones from last year!

#11 Postby **Air Force Met** » Tue Jun 07, 2005 7:33 pm

It's run off of GFS data (the GFDL).

AussieMark · #12 Postby **AussieMark** » Tue Jun 07, 2005 7:42 pm

the GFDL was ok last year wasn't it. It had Ivan as a category 4 within 3 days and thats what happened.

#13 Postby **wxman57** » Tue Jun 07, 2005 7:53 pm

The GFDL had a right bias last year. Tried to turn Frances to the north at 72 hours all across the Atlantic. Same thing with Ivan at times. I don't think that the GFDL is seeing the southwesterly wind shear across the northern Gulf as the upper low retreats.

As for movement, the ridge off the southeast U.S. is forecast to build southwestward into Florida in a few days. That should keep the system moving NNW-N rather than toward Florida. I think a sheared TS is most likely out of this disturbance.

#14 Postby **TSmith274** » Tue Jun 07, 2005 8:00 pm

Surely this thing won't be a hurricane.

Josephine96 · #15 Postby **Josephine96** » Tue Jun 07, 2005 8:07 pm

I saw some Wal Mart hiding in the claims area of my Wal Mart today.. Maybe I'll "borrow" it till November lol

Rainband · #16 Postby **Rainband** » Tue Jun 07, 2005 8:39 pm

TSmith274 wrote:Surely this thing won't be a hurricane.

highly unlikely

StormChasr · #17 Postby **StormChasr** » Tue Jun 07, 2005 9:12 pm

Surely this thing won't be a hurricane.
highly unlikely

Highly unlikely to be anything more than a tropical depression. This model has a definite bias--wasn't it predicting Adrian to be a cat 4??

#18 Postby **dhweather** » Tue Jun 07, 2005 9:30 pm

GFDL = Good For Damn Lies !!!!!!!!!!

canegrl04 · #19 Postby **canegrl04** » Tue Jun 07, 2005 9:39 pm

Meet the 2005 hurricane season-same as the last :eek:

CFL · #20 Postby **CFL** » Tue Jun 07, 2005 9:47 pm

The GFDL must be good for something if it's used by forecasters. Does it have any particular strengths?

GFDL= Hurricane New Orleans

GFDL= Hurricane New Orleans

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