Top 10 worst places for an extreme hurricane to strike?

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Brent
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#41 Postby Brent » Tue Jun 07, 2005 4:24 pm

Ivan had a larger windfield meaning longer period of winds. 80 mph for say, 4 hours is going to do a lot more damage than 80 mph in 1 hour.
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#42 Postby jdray » Tue Jun 07, 2005 4:29 pm

Derek Ortt wrote:I would like to see a scale be able to take duration of the winds into consideration as well, as duration is just as important as intensity in a high wind regime


This is why Dora did a number up here in 1964. She was only a Cat 2, (slowed before landfall) but had winds @ hurricane strength for 15 hours or so before weakening into a strong TS. This caused over 230 million in damages in 1964 dollars, almost 2 billion in today's dollars. This was an area that was nowhere near the population now.

Frances did a lot of damage up here as well, although no hurricane winds, plenty of TS winds for almost 3 straight days. This caused a lot of widespread power and phone outages due to lines being down all over the place.

A slow moving weak storm can sometimes cause as much damage as a fast moving powerful one.

*imagine andrew moving at only 2-3mph........... :shudder:
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#43 Postby DoctorHurricane2003 » Tue Jun 07, 2005 4:59 pm

Um there were only a few houses in Erin that were completely demolished on the beach.....and that was due to a tornado, not sustained hurricane winds or gusts. Total damage in Erin was ~$650 million vs. ~$13 Billion in Ivan.

We should put this argument to rest because most likely, unless someone out in the middle of nowhere provides credible proof of wind speeds exceeding category 3 status, the NHC will keep Ivan a Category 3. Not 1, 2 or 4......3.
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#44 Postby Brent » Tue Jun 07, 2005 5:04 pm

DoctorHurricane2003 wrote:We should put this argument to rest because most likely, unless someone out in the middle of nowhere provides credible proof of wind speeds exceeding category 3 status, the NHC will keep Ivan a Category 3. Not 1, 2 or 4......3.


The debate is what winds Pensacola saw, I think everyone agrees Ivan was a 3, just not in the city proper, on the barrier islands between Gulf Shores and the NAS.
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#45 Postby Hybridstorm_November2001 » Tue Jun 07, 2005 5:14 pm

Yes intense hurricanes can, AND HAVE, struck Southern New England. For more information I suggest reading the excellent report contained at the below link:


http://www.geo.brown.edu/georesearch/es ... cotash.htm


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Last edited by Hybridstorm_November2001 on Tue Jun 07, 2005 5:46 pm, edited 3 times in total.
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#46 Postby DoctorHurricane2003 » Tue Jun 07, 2005 5:14 pm

And still it is too difficult to tell. There are only two credible sites in Pensacola......PNS and NAS. In between you could easily have seen higher winds and gusts. So truly, we'll never know for sure.
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#47 Postby LSU2001 » Tue Jun 07, 2005 9:25 pm

The following is a direct quote from the article
According to Landsea, the worst-case "triple-whammy scenario" would be one in which a Category 5 hurricane crashes directly into Miami, veers off, and then slams into New Orleans, causing severe flooding all along the Gulf Coast before losing its punch. If this scenario were to occur, there's a real possibility the United States could suffer two $100 billion losses at once.
so which is it 16 billion or 100 billion loss in NOLA
Tim
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#48 Postby Brent » Tue Jun 07, 2005 9:27 pm

lsu2001 wrote:The following is a direct quote from the article
According to Landsea, the worst-case "triple-whammy scenario" would be one in which a Category 5 hurricane crashes directly into Miami, veers off, and then slams into New Orleans, causing severe flooding all along the Gulf Coast before losing its punch. If this scenario were to occur, there's a real possibility the United States could suffer two $100 billion losses at once.
so which is it 16 billion or 100 billion loss in NOLA
Tim


Yeah... there's a nightmare scenario for everything.
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RE:

#49 Postby Hybridstorm_November2001 » Wed Jun 08, 2005 10:07 am

Bump!


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Re: RE:

#50 Postby GalvestonDuck » Wed Jun 08, 2005 10:15 am

Hybridstorm_November2001 wrote:Bump!


Hybridstorm_November2001


No need to bump it. Those who have read it...have read it. Those who haven't will still have it marked as unread and the next one to respond will send it back up to the top for the rest of us.
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