Invest 91L: 26.5N 57W
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Invest 91L: 26.5N 57W
Nice little LLC with deep convection over top. This came out of nowhere.
Last edited by drezee on Thu Jun 09, 2005 8:40 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Is this one of the waves that Accuweather is talking about?
From Accuweather-
In addition to Tropical Depression number one, there are three tropical waves over the Atlantic Basin. One tropical wave located near 30 west and 15 north moving west at around 10 knots; no deep convection is associated with this system. The second tropical wave may get steered into Florida this weekend causing plenty of clouds and rain. Currently, the large wave extends from 18 north and 66 west to 4 north and 70 west tracking west at 10-15 knots. The third tropical wave is also moving west at 10-15 knots. This wave is over Central America along the 85/86 west line and 15 north.
From Accuweather-
In addition to Tropical Depression number one, there are three tropical waves over the Atlantic Basin. One tropical wave located near 30 west and 15 north moving west at around 10 knots; no deep convection is associated with this system. The second tropical wave may get steered into Florida this weekend causing plenty of clouds and rain. Currently, the large wave extends from 18 north and 66 west to 4 north and 70 west tracking west at 10-15 knots. The third tropical wave is also moving west at 10-15 knots. This wave is over Central America along the 85/86 west line and 15 north.
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Matt-hurricanewatcher
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Matt-hurricanewatcher
>>The convection is really flaring up. I think this is the system we thought would form in the Eastern Caribbean. But this is the energy from it.
I think what it is is wave energy that activated the upper low in the eastern Caribbean and gave it that look. But the axis of that energy should be intersecting with this system at some point causing enhanced convection (aka adding a little juice).
Steve
I think what it is is wave energy that activated the upper low in the eastern Caribbean and gave it that look. But the axis of that energy should be intersecting with this system at some point causing enhanced convection (aka adding a little juice).
Steve
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weatherwindow
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matt et al....perhaps this is what the models are picking up on north of the greater antilles at around 96 hours. gfs, cmc and nogaps are all depicting a significant trop low moving nw and eventually northeast into the atlantic. gfs scenario depicts a weak low in the windward passage at 96 hours, then moving it northeast. cmc and nogaps both spin up the low further east and north, more in line with the initial northwesterly motion of the 26/58 center......this could be the first stirrings of brett............rich
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cycloneye
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THE ATLANTIC OCEAN...
NARROWING MID/UPPER LEVEL RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS FROM THE W
CARIBBEAN ACROSS THE W ATLC FROM OVER E CUBA TO 32N76W WITH
ANTICYCLONIC FLOW W OF 68W. THIS IS ADVECTING TROPICAL MOISTURE
TO ACROSS ALL OF THE BAHAMAS. MID/UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IN THE
CENTRAL/WESTERN ATLC NOW EXTENDS FROM AN UPPER LOW NEAR 29N53W
TO A SECOND DEEP LAYERED LOW NEAR 26N56W TO THE N LEEWARD/VIRGIN
ISLANDS. CYCLONIC FLOW IS N OF 18N BETWEEN 50W-66W CLIPPING THE
NE CARIBBEAN FROM PUERTO RICO TO THE N LEEWARD ISLANDS. AT THE
SURFACE...A LOW LEVEL SWIRL REMAINS WITH A 1013 MB LOW ANALYZED
NEAR 26N56W WITH A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDING FROM 30N52W TO
22N61W. BAND OF SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS ARE WITHIN 75 NM OF 26.5N
FROM 51-58W AND SCATTERED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS ARE WITHIN 60 NM
OF 29.5N FROM 50W-54W. SECOND MID/UPPER TROUGH IS IN THE
EASTERN/CENTRAL ATLC EXTENDING THROUGH 32N28W SW TO A BASE NEAR
15N40W WITH A COLD FRONT SKIRTING THE N PORTION OF THE AREA FROM
32N32W W TO 31N39W WHERE IT CONTINUES NW AS A STATIONARY FRONT
OUT OF THE REGION NEAR 32N45W. THIS HAS SPLIT THE TYPICAL SUMMER
MID/UPPER LEVEL RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING ACROSS THE TROPICAL ATLC
FROM INLAND OVER AFRICA NEAR 11N15W TO 9N35W.
There is a surface low in that area of 1013 mbs according to TWD discussion at 8 AM.But there is plenty of troughness around that is not favorable for tropical development but as the saying says (never say never in the tropics).
NARROWING MID/UPPER LEVEL RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS FROM THE W
CARIBBEAN ACROSS THE W ATLC FROM OVER E CUBA TO 32N76W WITH
ANTICYCLONIC FLOW W OF 68W. THIS IS ADVECTING TROPICAL MOISTURE
TO ACROSS ALL OF THE BAHAMAS. MID/UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IN THE
CENTRAL/WESTERN ATLC NOW EXTENDS FROM AN UPPER LOW NEAR 29N53W
TO A SECOND DEEP LAYERED LOW NEAR 26N56W TO THE N LEEWARD/VIRGIN
ISLANDS. CYCLONIC FLOW IS N OF 18N BETWEEN 50W-66W CLIPPING THE
NE CARIBBEAN FROM PUERTO RICO TO THE N LEEWARD ISLANDS. AT THE
SURFACE...A LOW LEVEL SWIRL REMAINS WITH A 1013 MB LOW ANALYZED
NEAR 26N56W WITH A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDING FROM 30N52W TO
22N61W. BAND OF SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS ARE WITHIN 75 NM OF 26.5N
FROM 51-58W AND SCATTERED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS ARE WITHIN 60 NM
OF 29.5N FROM 50W-54W. SECOND MID/UPPER TROUGH IS IN THE
EASTERN/CENTRAL ATLC EXTENDING THROUGH 32N28W SW TO A BASE NEAR
15N40W WITH A COLD FRONT SKIRTING THE N PORTION OF THE AREA FROM
32N32W W TO 31N39W WHERE IT CONTINUES NW AS A STATIONARY FRONT
OUT OF THE REGION NEAR 32N45W. THIS HAS SPLIT THE TYPICAL SUMMER
MID/UPPER LEVEL RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING ACROSS THE TROPICAL ATLC
FROM INLAND OVER AFRICA NEAR 11N15W TO 9N35W.
There is a surface low in that area of 1013 mbs according to TWD discussion at 8 AM.But there is plenty of troughness around that is not favorable for tropical development but as the saying says (never say never in the tropics).
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Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
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Matt-hurricanewatcher
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cycloneye
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I edited the header. 
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Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
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mf_dolphin
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