Two steps to the left now.

#1 Postby **Stormcenter** » Thu Jun 09, 2005 3:45 pm

Oh well now the track is little further west and the strike probabilites are also reflecting the change percentage wise.

http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/tr ... _5day.html

http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/at ... trike.html

Derek Ortt · #2 Postby **Derek Ortt** » Thu Jun 09, 2005 3:46 pm

The recon is not showing a left track at all. The recon center is 20.2N 84.1W. The NHC position is actually a 3-hour forecast position, not an exact position

kevin · #3 Postby **kevin** » Thu Jun 09, 2005 3:48 pm

Yes, why did they put it off by that amount???

#4 Postby **Stormcenter** » Thu Jun 09, 2005 3:50 pm

Derek Ortt wrote:The recon is not showing a left track at all. The recon center is 20.2N 84.1W. The NHC position is actually a 3-hour forecast position, not an exact position

I'm just going by the projected 5pm track.

Derek Ortt · #5 Postby **Derek Ortt** » Thu Jun 09, 2005 3:51 pm

nhc is only slightly off, because they already had their track before the vortex message. The official track is generated about 60-90 minutes prior to the advisory being issued

kevin · #6 Postby **kevin** » Thu Jun 09, 2005 3:52 pm

Ohhh I see. Well that makes sense. As you said they're only off a little bit.

Two steps to the left now.

Two steps to the left now.

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