Center Up further North...East

[Brent]

Sorry, not my problem.

[CFL]

When a LLC forms under a area of deep convection with outflow on the northeastern quad of it=Watch out. This could be playing a Alex.

What happened with Alex?

[Brent]

When a LLC forms under a area of deep convection with outflow on the northeastern quad of it=Watch out. This could be playing a Alex.

What happened with Alex?

Rapid intensification once it got organized. Caught just about everyone off-guard.

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

It was never forecasted to make hurricane. Then was a cat2 as it brushed the outerbanks. In became the strongest hurricane at highest lat in history. Big suprize. Also Charley is another one.

[tailgater]

IMO it's just a mid level vortex, if so when the T-storms in that area diminish we'll still have the old Naked swirl that's trying to fight off the drydry air. Happy Hunting

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

The old LLC is dieing in is energy is being sucked into the new one under the convection.

[jabber]

With all that dry air to the west, this storm will never be above cat 1, and even getting to thats a stretch.. I do not care where the center comes out.

[MWatkins]

To clairify I did not mean to imply that the center relocation was anything more than that...it is a shift about .3 degrees east and a pretty good shift north of the latest TPC advisory position.

It also probably means the net motion has been north (0 degrees) today...I am not concerned about any rapid intensification given the present appearance of the system in satellite imagery...but at least the concern that it is a TD has been put aside.

MW

[Wpwxguy]

The overall cloud shield has really blossomed in the last couple visible images. We shall see very soon.

[AL Chili Pepper]

It looks like the old LLC we've watched today is dissapating somewhat. I agree Mike that this could be the center trying to reform north and east. Storms are looking pretty potent in that area.

I just got home and was looking at the close up visible at tha NASA site, and that's the feeling I got too. It looks like that LLC is trying to tuck itself under the thunderstorm complex to the north of the old center...just off the southern tip of western Cuba. It's looking a little better organized. If we get the night-time flareup that sometimes happens...well?

[hiflyer]

that would match better from what the water vapor has been showing the latter part of this afternoon. wish the cuban radar on isle of youth was operating the eyw radar is covering the island but not much farther.

[DoctorHurricane2003]

This is what I have been feeling for the past few hours. I will have to wait for a more definitive answer from recon before I issue my analysis though.