Arelene's Center Reformed 10 Miles South of Isle of Youth??

[Aquawind]

It is on the edge of the radar and I still don't see any cells wrapping at all. But it could be..

Paul

[Stormcenter]

Anyone else think this is a possibility?

It's not mentioned in the 11pm NHC discussion so they don't think it is as of now.

[chris_fit]

Key West is about to get hammered

[Brent]

I don't think so...

The Keys aren't going to have "extreme TS" conditions either. This is just barely a tropical storm right now...

[gatorcane]

I don't think so...

The Keys aren't going to have "extreme TS" conditions either. This is just barely a tropical storm right now...

Maybe they will hit 40-50mph Brent...in some of the squalls. The Keys tend to get windy due to the fact that they stick out into the ocean with no interference. Trust me, I've been down there during depressions and it gets VERY windy down there...

[Brent]

I don't think so...

The Keys aren't going to have "extreme TS" conditions either. This is just barely a tropical storm right now...

Maybe they will hit 40-50mph Brent...in some of the squalls. The Keys tend to get windy due to the fact that they stick out into the ocean with no interference. Trust me, I've been down there during depressions and it gets VERY windy down there...

That is true... there's nothing to block the wind either.

I just don't like the word "extreme" when talking about a tropical storm.

[LSU2001]

Kevin,
just a thought not bashing at all but you might want to watch your wording. Many on this board are very particular about wording. You have to remember that many people read this board who are not at all familiar with weather/tropics/ or this board and members. If you call for "extreme" conditions be sure about what you are saying. Just because some convection is moving in does not mean that TS conditions are occuring.
other than that you are doing a fantastic job with your posts and forecasts. I sure wish I had students like you who are not only very intelligent but also motivated.
Tim

PS. I am a science Teacher

[gatorcane]

Kevin,
just a thought not bashing at all but you might want to watch your wording. Many on this board are very particular about wording. You have to remember that many people read this board who are not at all familiar with weather/tropics/ or this board and members. If you call for "extreme" conditions be sure about what you are saying. Just because some convection is moving in does not mean that TS conditions are occuring.
other than that you are doing a fantastic job with your posts and forecasts. I sure wish I had students like you who are not only very intelligent but also motivated.
Tim

PS. I am a science Teacher

I 'm not sure what you mean by "many on this board" because this whole board is melodramatic by nature in my opinion. We are on here because we WANT to see development or else we wouldn't be here. [/quote]

[LSU2001]

What I mean is that the pros and the administrators and the mods are all particular about how we word things. It is IMPORTANT to remember that what you say will be read by someone who really does not know at all is going on and if this causes any confusion then it is a bad thing. I was not being melodramatic I was simply trying to advise a relatively new member.
TIm

[LSU2001]

my son runs CC what is your personal best if you don't mind sharing (teacher that can't spell for crap)
Tim
PS: He is a freshman and lettered in CC and track this year. I think is PB is 17:05 for the three mile course.

[MWatkins]

One minor note...

Radar that far out is seeing echos too far up to be something close to the surface.

Remember...the earth's surface is curved...yet the radar beam is going out on a straight trajectory. So when you see something out on the edge of a long-range radar return it is most likely something going on further up in the atmosphere than you may otherwise think.

In this case...it may very be a mid-level reflection of one of the vorticies rotating around the broader center.

Hope this helps...

MW

[mobilebay]

my son runs CC what is your personal best if you don't mind sharing (teacher that can't spell for crap)
Tim
PS: He is a freshman and lettered in CC and track this year. I think is PB is 17:05 for the three mile course.

jeeze...lol, my PR 19:57..lol, i'm a Junior to...well i'm a Junior now, my fastest time was last season Sophomore year. I am more of a distance runnger, 1/2 Marathons suit me . However, CC is definately one of my favorite sports, i'm just not that humongously great at it. I'm shooting for a PR of around 18:00 this year..if I make it i'll definately be a candidate for varsity. The Naples High School team got 3rd in the state...and FL is a big state lol . (girls got 10th in the state I think).

[Normandy]

Nope Kev, now that I look at sat loops now it seems that center I pointed out earlier really isn't doing much at all. The dominant center is obviously the one that is still exposed (its looking better now btw). That was probably just a little vortex that was spun out by the system.

[Droop12]

You wont be tomorrow night and saturday lol

[Aquawind]

One minor note...

Radar that far out is seeing echos too far up to be something close to the surface.

Remember...the earth's surface is curved...yet the radar beam is going out on a straight trajectory. So when you see something out on the edge of a long-range radar return it is most likely something going on further up in the atmosphere than you may otherwise think.

In this case...it may very be a mid-level reflection of one of the vorticies rotating around the broader center.

Hope this helps...

MW

More like Major note.. Badda Bing..


Paul