Will Arlene become a hurricane or not?

#1 Postby **cycloneye** » Fri Jun 10, 2005 7:12 am

Close call now that the winds haved been bumped up to 55 mph at 8 AM.I say no but it will be very close 70 mph.

This is not a scientific poll only a sample to the members.

Droop12 · #2 Postby **Droop12** » Fri Jun 10, 2005 7:17 am

I think yes, only if she really gets her act together today. If she just fiddles around like she has been, no. But Im going to say yes for now, but thats subject to change.

chadtm80 · #3 Postby **chadtm80** » Fri Jun 10, 2005 7:19 am

Im going to say No.. (but hey I have been wrong every step of the way so far.. Get use to it.. lol )

#4 Postby **Air Force Met** » Fri Jun 10, 2005 7:21 am

I vote no. Still sticking with my 60 mph tropical storm at landfall. May be a little stronger, 65-70 and it's not out impossible that it could be a hurricane...but give it ~25% chance.

Aquawind · #5 Postby **Aquawind** » Fri Jun 10, 2005 7:22 am

That GFDL might be onto something.. If the shear is going to relax it's gonna be close.. Evidently the dry air is not stopping it..I was my usual conservative self and said no for now..

Paul

#6 Postby **Dave C** » Fri Jun 10, 2005 7:24 am

No,I see way too much dry air to keep wrapping into system
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/GMEX/WV/20.jpg

#7 Postby **cycloneye** » Fri Jun 10, 2005 7:24 am

I touught that this question never was going to be asked as the forecast was for a minimal to moderate storm to make landfall but that is why the tropics are full of surprises.

Agua · #8 Postby **Agua** » Fri Jun 10, 2005 7:25 am

I voted no; hope that helps.

Rainband · #9 Postby **Rainband** » Fri Jun 10, 2005 7:30 am

I vote no but after looking at the floater and that new burst of convection..maybe. :eek:

Website · #10 Postby **Brent** » Fri Jun 10, 2005 7:42 am

No... but it'll get close.

Droop12 · #11 Postby **Droop12** » Fri Jun 10, 2005 7:42 am

Well, with all the NO votes, I'll guess I'll jump the bandwagon lol

Wnghs2007 · #12 Postby **Wnghs2007** » Fri Jun 10, 2005 7:53 am

I voted Yes...But Barely. If Im wrong Im wrong but I just have a gut feeling that this is going to suprise some people.

#13 Postby **HURAKAN** » Fri Jun 10, 2005 7:59 am

#14 Postby **baygirl_1** » Fri Jun 10, 2005 7:59 am

I voted no, but based purely on unscientific methods: It looks like we are going to get her and, therefore, she doesn't need to strengthen any more! I'm afraid it might be just wishful thinking on my part, though...

#15 Postby **Pebbles** » Fri Jun 10, 2005 8:01 am

I voted no. Just don't think she's got what it takes right now. BUT then again she may hit min hurricane and I'll get to eat my first crow this year *giggles* ...maybe a craving from crow stew?

Christine

I smile because i have no idea what's going on!

2005 guess: 15/10/6
<----- Feel free to Rub the cute LUCKY Pebbles belly!

cyclonaut · #16 Postby **cyclonaut** » Fri Jun 10, 2005 8:22 am

I vote no & still calling for a western Fla panhandle landfall.

Might get up to 60 mph but would'nt bet on it.

#17 Postby **dhweather** » Fri Jun 10, 2005 8:31 am

I think it might make it to a minimal hurricane right before landfall

mf_dolphin · #18 Postby **mf_dolphin** » Fri Jun 10, 2005 8:51 am

I'm leaning toward the yes side as well. :eek: