National Weather Service New Orleans la

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sunny
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National Weather Service New Orleans la

#1 Postby sunny » Fri Jun 10, 2005 7:19 am



Local statement from wwltv.com

http://weather.wwltv.com/cgi-bin/findwe ... ans,LA#HUR


517
fxus64 klix 101101
afdlix


Area forecast discussion
National Weather Service New Orleans la
600 am CDT Friday Jun 10 2005


Discussion...a tropcial storm watch for Arlene is in effect for
the northern Gulf Coast region including much of the local
forecast area. Arlene is expected to enter the Gulf later today
and then move north-northwest toward the Mississippi coastal area
tonight and Saturday. Refer to the latest advisories issued by the
National Hurricane Center and local action statements issued by
this office for further information.


Otherwise...scattered thunderstorms should again be on tap today
as subtle disturbances aloft pass over the region. Once Tropical
Storm Arlene passes...high pressure looks to rebuild over the Gulf
Coast region while weak southwest flow aloft transitions into a
more northwesterly component as ridging builds over the western
states. Rain chances and temperatures should also return closer to
normal or seasonal values.
&&


Preliminary point temps/pops...
mcb 88 70 85 71 / 50 40 60 40
btr 89 71 88 72 / 50 40 40 40
msy 89 75 87 76 / 50 40 60 40
gpt 88 73 85 74 / 50 60 80 60
&&


Lix watches/warnings/advisories...
la...tropical storm watch laz038-040-046>050-056>070.
MS...tropical storm watch msz080>082.
Southeast la and MS coastal waters...tropical storm watch from kpql to the
the Atchafalaya River out 60 nm including tidal lakes.
&&


... Tropical Storm Arlene emerging into the southeastern Gulf of
Mexico...

... A tropical storm watch is in effect for all of southeast
Louisiana and coastal Mississippi...

... Areas affected...
in southeast Louisiana... this statement is primarily for the
following parishes in Louisiana...

Ascension... Assumption... Baton Rouge... Iberville... Jefferson...
Lafourche... Livingston... Orleans... Plaquemines... St Bernard... St
Charles... St James... St John The Baptist... St Tammany... Tangipahoa
and Terrebonne

In addition... .this statement is primarily for the following counties
in Mississippi...

Hancock... Harrison and Jackson

... Watches and warnings...

The tropical storm watch is in effect along the northern Gulf Coast
from Morgan City Louisiana to Indian Pass Florida. This includes
areas adjacent to Lake Pontchartrain and Lake Maurepas.

... Storm information...

At 700 am CDT... Tropical Storm Arlene was located near 22.6 north
and 84.8 west or about 50 miles north of the western tip of Cuba.
Arlene is moving toward the north-northwest near 10 mph and this
general motion is expected to continue with an increase in forward
speed during the next 24 hours.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 55 mph and some
additional strengthening is possible during the next 24 hours.
Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 140 miles to the
northeast of the center.

... Precautionary/preparedness actions...

Residents in the watch area should be on guard later tonight and
Saturday for above normal tides... wind gusts to tropical storm
force... 40 mph or higher... and occasional heavy rain. Residents in
low lying coastal areas and near tidal lakes should take action to
protect property exposed to tidal flooding.

Across inland areas... heavy rainfall will also cause flooding of low
lying and poorly drained areas. Residents along rivers should
monitor river levels and the latest river forecast.

... Storm surge flood and storm tide impacts...

Tides are currently running near normal levels. However... as Tropical
Storm Arlene approaches the central Gulf Coast region... tide levels
will begin to run 2 to 4 feet above normal later tonight and Saturday
and some flooding of low lying areas and roadways along the coast and
around Lake Pontchartrain will be possible. Additional wave action
will also compound the effects of the storm surge.

... Wind impacts... .

East to northeast winds around 20 to 30 mph with gusts 40 mph and
higher will begin to impact lower southeast Louisiana and coastal
Mississippi early Saturday and eventually spread northward during
the afternoon and early evening hours.

... Next update... .

The next statement will be issued around 1030 am CDT.
Last edited by sunny on Fri Jun 10, 2005 8:36 am, edited 1 time in total.
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#2 Postby Rocketman » Fri Jun 10, 2005 7:34 am

Not good. Gonna be a wet one :) :(
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#3 Postby sunny » Fri Jun 10, 2005 7:35 am

Yep. I'm gonna make me a nice shrimp stew and potato salad, and prepare to work on my cross stitch and watch movies. That is, until I loose power :eek:
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#4 Postby Aquawind » Fri Jun 10, 2005 7:41 am

Might even be a hurricane watch posted later today at this rate.. :eek:

Paul
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#5 Postby Rainband » Fri Jun 10, 2005 7:41 am

Looking at the latest Satellites you all might be ok in LA :eek: This is the tropics so anything is possible.
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#6 Postby sunny » Fri Jun 10, 2005 7:43 am

Aquawind wrote:Might even be a hurricane watch posted later today at this rate.. :eek:

Paul


Okay, who wants cake - I will be a baking fool at this rate :eek:
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#7 Postby sunny » Fri Jun 10, 2005 7:44 am

Rainband wrote:Looking at the latest Satellites you all might be ok in LA :eek: This is the tropics so anything is possible.


The mets here are being very cautious this morning. They still think we will not bear the brunt of the storm, but like you said anything is possible.
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#8 Postby tailgater » Fri Jun 10, 2005 7:51 am

Shrimp Stew I'm in, when we eating :clap:
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#9 Postby sunny » Fri Jun 10, 2005 7:53 am

tailgater wrote:Shrimp Stew I'm in, when we eating :clap:


LOL - 'bout 2 or so?
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#10 Postby tailgater » Fri Jun 10, 2005 7:56 am

I'll bring the "Freedom bread" kay
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#11 Postby sunny » Fri Jun 10, 2005 7:57 am

lol - deal!
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Rainband

#12 Postby Rainband » Fri Jun 10, 2005 7:57 am

better to be cautious than to get bit in the butt :lol:
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#13 Postby Steve » Fri Jun 10, 2005 7:58 am

Freedom bread? Ugh. Don't let politics corrupt our culture! LMAO. Anyway, I cooked up a bunch of shrimp fajitas last night and I have plenty left for this evening. Beer will be purchased tonight to go witht he breezes and whatever rain we get. Party!

Steve
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#14 Postby tailgater » Fri Jun 10, 2005 8:13 am

Steve wrote:Freedom bread? Ugh. Don't let politics corrupt our culture! LMAO. Anyway, I cooked up a bunch of shrimp fajitas last night and I have plenty left for this evening. Beer will be purchased tonight to go witht he breezes and whatever rain we get. Party!

Steve

I hear ya Steve my attempt at humor. :lol:
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