Eastward forecast shift at 5pm?

[Dean4Storms]

I've been saying a Pensacola, FL landfall all along. The ridge is just not pushing it as much as the models want to allow it.

[Steve]

>>There is a large dry air mass between Arlene and SE TX. The showers to our east are just normal afternoon heating seabreeze showers. They are not a "direct influence" of Arlene.

Not a chance. No seabreeze storms here come from the east. Those are rotating bands of energy. They don't portend anything else. They're simply bands. Seabreeze here either moves S-N, SE-NW or SW-NE - never E-W.

Steve

[loon]

Indeed, our little storms are not moving directly from the east, but they are starting too. I believe we are hitting the outer edges of the mess to our west and Arlene to our east. Even if she tracks westerdly, she has alot of dry air to fight against. I wasn't saying she was beating the dry air, but her northward movement is being controlled by the squeeze play between the atlantic and that crap over west texas....I just think she is winning a little on the western front...

cheers
loon

[MGC]

Yep Dean I think you will be in the thick of things tomorrow. I never did think the east ridge would overpower the west ridge. Arlene is running up the weakness between the two ridges.....MGC

[cyclonaut]

Just to the east of Pensacola is will she'll land.But the center of this is a moot point,the significant weather has been & will be east of there.

[StormChasr]

Gulf Shores---Ivan's spawn.

[loon]

She is winning the war with things on her west side. We are now getting pop up thunderstorms in the extreme eastern Houston area come directly from her influence. I wouldn't doubt seeing westerly movement added soon or overnight as the ridge isn't really backing down over the atlantic....she's going to be fun to watch all the way into.....

some westward movement duely noted... =]