Tops warming on IR loop

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dhweather
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Tops warming on IR loop

#1 Postby dhweather » Fri Jun 10, 2005 9:55 pm

I think she's probably done with strengthening.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html
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Re: Tops warming on IR loop

#2 Postby Stormcenter » Fri Jun 10, 2005 9:55 pm

dhweather wrote:I think she's probably done with strengthening.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html


Yes I noticed that too.
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#3 Postby Andrew92 » Fri Jun 10, 2005 9:57 pm

I really should take TWC with a grain of salt, but Dr. Steve Lyons did say that that's not indicative of it strengthening or not, just that it means rainfall won't be as heavy. And the warming may only be temporary too.

-Andrew92
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#4 Postby Aquawind » Fri Jun 10, 2005 9:58 pm

Davorak looks less impressive as well..ATM

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html

Paul
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#5 Postby Steve » Fri Jun 10, 2005 10:08 pm

It's been a pulsing system all along. Chances are it cranks again late tonight and strengthens throughout the morning hours. Trouble is, it's only got until the morning before it's already inland. So if it pulses up late, there could still be some heavy weather. If not, well it's only a tropical storm anyway. It's nice out here tonight. There has been some intermittent light rain and a gust or two, but nothing serious. I've got a 6 pack of Abita Wheat and a 5th of Appleton's rum just in case decent rainbands decide to head on over this way.

Steve
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#6 Postby dhweather » Fri Jun 10, 2005 10:08 pm

I don't think we'll see jack.
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#7 Postby HurryKane » Fri Jun 10, 2005 10:09 pm

dhweather wrote:I don't think we'll see jack.


Bet ya see Jill.
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#8 Postby dhweather » Fri Jun 10, 2005 10:11 pm

At the rate we're going, Jill won't be here either.
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#9 Postby air360 » Fri Jun 10, 2005 10:11 pm

Lets stick with the A storm for right now...we can get down to J's in due time ;)
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#10 Postby Normandy » Fri Jun 10, 2005 10:12 pm

Eh, id rather the convection start collapsing when its making landfall......
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#11 Postby HurricaneGirl » Fri Jun 10, 2005 10:15 pm

Like Steve said, it's probably just going through one of it's flare up / flare down pulsating cycle things. Been watching it do that all day.
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#12 Postby dhweather » Fri Jun 10, 2005 10:16 pm

With the most recent image, it appears to be falling apart.
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#13 Postby Andrew92 » Fri Jun 10, 2005 10:18 pm

dhweather wrote:With the most recent image, it appears to be falling apart.


I disagree. If anything, it looked like a little yellow or orange is trying to wrap around the center of circulation. It may appear subtle, but this storm appears to instead be getting better organized to me.

Just because the convection has weakened a little doesn't mean, in my opinion, that it's getting weaker. I believe that this will be a hurricane at landfall, but we shall see.

-Andrew92
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#14 Postby AL Chili Pepper » Fri Jun 10, 2005 10:19 pm

She almost looked that bad earlier this evening before popping another flare. I don't know what to think about this. 989 mb? Sure doesn't look like it, but hey...what do I know?
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#15 Postby Normandy » Fri Jun 10, 2005 10:19 pm

Plus, its not like the pressure had jumped incredibly....it was last reported at 989.
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