I'm Becoming A Little Intriqued Here...

Sean in New Orleans · #1 Postby **Sean in New Orleans** » Fri Jun 10, 2005 10:59 pm

...I am very reluctant to call a change in course...I don't think we can really call a change for several hours, but, it sure appears this system is moving much more West than North right now. I've been sitting on my laurels with this system for the most part as I've been convinced it would go very far East of New Orleans to where we wouldn't have any effects other than tidal problems....but, now, I'm raising an eyebrow and watching a little closer.... http://www.srh.noaa.gov/radar/loop/DS.p ... kevx.shtml

#2 Postby **HollynLA** » Fri Jun 10, 2005 11:02 pm

I don't know why anyone is surprised. This is a tropical system right? Anything goes.

#3 Postby **LAwxrgal** » Fri Jun 10, 2005 11:06 pm

Arlene has done nothing she was expected to since her inception. Period.

That being said, I think (and hope) that this is a wobble.

Besides, with a storm this lopsided, we don't focus on the point of landfall, because most of the heavy-duty bad weather will be on the east side.

mobilebay · #4 Postby **mobilebay** » Fri Jun 10, 2005 11:10 pm

I agree. That new center has taken over and is moving WNW. Although i expect a more northerly turn later it certainly effects Arlene's final Destination.

#5 Postby **Wpwxguy** » Fri Jun 10, 2005 11:12 pm

Arlene has been one crazy gal. Don't think I wanna go out with either.

dwg71 · #6 Postby **dwg71** » Fri Jun 10, 2005 11:12 pm

LAwxrgal wrote:Arlene has done nothing she was expected to since her inception. Period.

That being said, I think (and hope) that this is a wobble.

Besides, with a storm this lopsided, we don't focus on the point of landfall, because most of the heavy-duty bad weather will be on the east side.

She was predicted to stay a TS and hit the upper gulf coast on saturday, sounds like she has done exactly what she was supposed to do.

#7 Postby **sponger** » Fri Jun 10, 2005 11:12 pm

Solid nw! I cant wait to see where this eye is tommorow.

Radar · #8 Postby **Radar** » Fri Jun 10, 2005 11:13 pm

Do you think the proverbial "Cone" will be widened again on the next update?

#9 Postby **LAwxrgal** » Fri Jun 10, 2005 11:13 pm

Sponger, I agree, last couple frames have definitely been NW.

#10 Postby **Wpwxguy** » Fri Jun 10, 2005 11:14 pm

She was predicted to stay a TS and hit the upper gulf coast on saturday, sounds like she has done exactly what she was supposed to do

She was suppose to be a minimal tropical storm.

#11 Postby **LAwxrgal** » Fri Jun 10, 2005 11:15 pm

Radar wrote:Do you think the proverbial "Cone" will be widened again on the next update?

I dunno... Left, right, left, right, left...

Welcome to hurricane season. :lol:

#12 Postby **LAwxrgal** » Fri Jun 10, 2005 11:15 pm

dwg71 wrote:
LAwxrgal wrote:Arlene has done nothing she was expected to since her inception. Period.

That being said, I think (and hope) that this is a wobble.

Besides, with a storm this lopsided, we don't focus on the point of landfall, because most of the heavy-duty bad weather will be on the east side.

She was predicted to stay a TS and hit the upper gulf coast on saturday, sounds like she has done exactly what she was supposed to do.

She wasn't supposed to have even formed, she should've dissipated due to the dry air and the shear.

#13 Postby **HollynLA** » Fri Jun 10, 2005 11:16 pm

And just think, it's only June 10th. We're in for one heck of a ride this season.

zoeyann · #14 Postby **zoeyann** » Fri Jun 10, 2005 11:18 pm

it's going to be a long night

#15 Postby **sponger** » Fri Jun 10, 2005 11:20 pm

Unfotenately, the last time I remeber an early June storm we went for a ride!

#16 Postby **Wpwxguy** » Fri Jun 10, 2005 11:23 pm

Here's something for the eyes, as if they are not tired enough already. You can pick out the circulation on radar on this infrared image. In the middle of the blob.
http://www.rap.ucar.edu/weather/satelli ... M&itype=ir

Sean in New Orleans · #17 Postby **Sean in New Orleans** » Fri Jun 10, 2005 11:24 pm

Well, concerning path...remember just last season the NHC called it pretty wrong with Charley. But, it's still too soon to tell...Mississippi isn't out of the woods, IMO...

#18 Postby **Stormcenter** » Fri Jun 10, 2005 11:43 pm

Sean in New Orleans wrote:Well, concerning path...remember just last season the NHC called it pretty wrong with Charley. But, it's still too soon to tell...Mississippi isn't out of the woods, IMO...

I personally never thought MS was ever out of the woods.

#19 Postby **TampaFl** » Fri Jun 10, 2005 11:51 pm

Wpwxguy wrote:Here's something for the eyes, as if they are not tired enough already. You can pick out the circulation on radar on this infrared image. In the middle of the blob.
http://www.rap.ucar.edu/weather/satelli ... M&itype=ir

This loop shows it even better.

http://adds.aviationweather.gov/satelli ... e&itype=ir

Stratosphere747 · #20 Postby **Stratosphere747** » Fri Jun 10, 2005 11:53 pm

It would take Arlene moving due west and hitting Galveston/Surfside or even as far south as Corpus Chirsti, before NO would see anything.

Seems to loopsided, as of now.

I'm Becoming A Little Intriqued Here...

I'm Becoming A Little Intriqued Here...

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